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ENERGY

Is energy in Norway really ‘free’ when prices enter negatives?

After almost two years of high bills, consumers in Norway are now seeing energy prices enter negatives at certain times. However, it doesn't mean the energy you are receiving is totally free.

Power grid
Energy prices in many parts of Austria are expected to see a permanent reduction starting July 6th. Photo by Rose Galloway Green on Unsplash

In the last year and a half, an energy crisis has left households in Norway dealing with record-high prices.

There is, however, a rare situation that can be seen as the exact opposite of what most have become accustomed to: households getting money off their bills to consume power.

What do negative energy prices mean for consumers?

It doesn’t happen often, but when it does, it makes the domestic headlines.

When electricity prices in Norway fall below zero in a certain part of the country, the residents of the area in question “get paid” for using electricity, as energy producers have to pay to sell electricity when the prices enter negative.

As Flow Power explains, negative prices refer to times when too much energy is generated. This has two effects: generators are discouraged from producing energy, and consumers are encouraged to use more power. The end result is that supply and demand are usually swiftly balanced out.

In order for it to take place, usually, several factors need to align: an abundance of snow in the mountains, heavy rainfall, limited electricity exports, lower energy consumption than usual (due to, for example, warm weather and summer vacations), or high energy imports (such as imports of nuclear power from Sweden).

You still have to pay grid rent and other fees

Electricity bills in Norway consist of multiple parts (electricity used, grid rent, and taxes/fees), and it’s important to note that negative prices refer only to the electricity used; they do not include the electricity companies’ surcharges, such as grid rent and other taxes/fees.

Grid rent is paid to the company that owns the electricity grid you are connected to, and it consists of a fixed part and a variable part that depends on how much electricity you use (regardless of what the electricity you use costs).

In addition, the vast majority of people in Norway have to pay a set amount in electricity tax to the state for every kilowatt hour they use, as well as VAT on this.

So, for it to actually pay for a consumer to use electricity, the negative price would need to be lower than the said tax plus the VAT on it, plus whatever you pay in grid rent – as well as any potential surcharges.

Furthermore, as negative prices are usually short-lived, the negative balance tends to end up lowering your average price, so the consumers don’t actually get paid.

Instead, electricity companies take the negative price into consideration when they calculate the average price per kilowatt hour you have used in the period covered by your bill (provided you’re on a spot contract).

Recent instances of negative energy prices

Negative energy prices have been seen in Norway several times during 2023. September 19th, saw prices in southern Norway enter negatives. July also saw days when energy prices entered into minus figures. 

In mid-May Norway saw the longest period of negative prices it had experienced, the energy sector outlet Europower reported at the time. 

“The negative prices in certain hours are mainly due to low consumption of electricity in combination with high production,” power analyst Tor Reier Lilleholt at Volue Insight told the newspaper E24.

“The main reason why there are negative prices now is solar production in Europe. This leads to massive imports. At the same time, there is a lot of snowmelt in the mountains and a lot of water in the rivers,” Lilleholt said.

Periods with negative energy prices in Norway also occurred in July and November of 2020, as well as October 2021.

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ECONOMY

What lower inflation in Norway means for you 

Inflation in Norway continues to slow. However, the cost of living in the country isn’t slowing as quickly as economists expected. Here’s what that means to you. 

What lower inflation in Norway means for you 

Inflation is slowing 

Norway’s Consumer Price Index, CPI, which measures changes in prices for household goods and services, has slowed yet again. 

Between April last year and the same month this year, prices in Norway rose by 3.6 percent. It marks the third time that price increases have been below four percent since the start of 2022. 

The figures, released by Norway’s national data agency Statistics Norway, mark the fourth month in a row where the 12 monthly inflation figure has been lower than the yearly figure from the month before. This means prices are rising less rapidly than before. 

“Price growth decreased for the fourth month in a row in April. Prices are still higher than they were at the same time last year for most goods and services, but they are generally rising more slowly than before,” Espen Kristiansen at Statistics Norway said. 

Food remains one of the biggest contributors to inflation 

The price of food and non-alcoholic beverages rose by 3.3 percent from March to April, according to Statistics Norway. 

Chocolate, soft drinks, coffee, and citrus foods saw the biggest price increases, which the national data agency called “unusual.” 

What wasn’t unusual, however, was the cost of food rising following Easter, when many supermarkets ran offers to compete for customers. 

“The rise must be seen in the context of the fact that large offer campaigns in connection with Easter dampened prices in March,” Kristiansen said. 

The figures for April show that food prices in Norway have increased by 6.8 percent compared to a year ago. 

The rising cost of food and drink in Norway could potentially outgrow wages this year, even if expected pay bumps will outpace forecasted inflation overall. 

Economists expected inflation to fall more 

Inflation hasn’t eased as much as some experts were expecting. Core inflation, which excludes energy prices and taxes, was measured at 4.4 percent year on year in April. This is above what economists surveyed by the newswire Reuters expected. 

Norges Bank, the country’s central bank, raised the policy rate to a 16-year high of 4.5 percent in December. The bank has said that inflation should generally be around two percent, so it has used interest rates to curb price increases. 

As inflation isn’t falling much quicker than expected, economists predict that the central bank may wait until December before slashing rates – which for consumers means that loan and mortgage repayments will remain high for the foreseeable future. 

“The fall in inflation has not been much greater than Norges Bank has thought. This, therefore, indicates that an interest rate cut may come in December instead of September,” Kjersti Haugland, chief economist at DNB Markets, told public broadcaster NRK

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