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ECONOMY

Sweden’s central bank ‘still planning to raise interest rates in April’

The governor of Sweden's Riksbank central bank has told MPs he still intends to raise rates by at least 0.25 percentage points in April, despite the failure of several banks in the US.

Sweden's central bank 'still planning to raise interest rates in April'
The governor of Sweden's Riksbank Erik Thedéen, is questioned by the Committee on Finance in the Swedish parliament. Photo: Screenshot

“We intend to increase [the core interest rate] by 25 points,” Erik Thedéen said when questioned by the Swedish parliament’s finance committee about the impact of the US bank failures on monetary policy in Sweden.

But he said that his team at the bank would continue to monitor the situation. 

“We do not see any risks here and now, but we have a group at the Riksbank which is working 24/7 and following the developments and I expect that the Swedish Government Offices and the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority are doing the same.” 

Interviewed by the TT newswire after his appearance in the parliament, Thedéen said that the failure of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank in he US would without doubt affect Sweden. 

“It’s absolutely clear that what is happening in the financial markets now will have an impact on the data. It will, for example, be significantly more expensive for companies to finance themselves and it could be so that that will affect people’s willingness to consume and invest,” he said.

“The big spillovers for the Swedish economy are through lending costs, share price developments and the demand situation,” he said. 

However, Thedéen said that it remains his judgement that the risks to Sweden’s economy from overly high inflation exceeded those that would result from further increasing interest rates. 

“Inflation is worse than rent hikes,” he said. “We have a broad based inflation which we still haven’t been able to reverse in any clear way.” 

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ECONOMY

Swedish inflation drops below 4 percent for first time in two years

Sweden's consumer price index fell to 3.9 percent in February, reinforcing predictions that the central bank will keep lowering interest rates this year.

Swedish inflation drops below 4 percent for first time in two years

The yearly inflation rate according to the consumer price index (CPI) was down from 4.1 percent in January, according to number crunchers Statistics Sweden.

Experts had predicted an inflation rate of 4.0 percent, according to Bloomberg.

“The effect of increasing interest rates for household’s mortgages is easing, which can explain the decreasing inflation rate in April,” Statistics Sweden analyst Carl Mårtensson said in a statement.

Inflation measured instead according to the CPIF metric – the consumer price index with interest rate fluctuations taken out of the equation – meanwhile rose slightly from 2.2 to 2.3 percent.

However, that still beats expectations, which had predicted CPIF inflation of 2.4 percent.

YOUR SWEDISH MONEY:

That puts it slightly above the Riksbank’s inflation target of two percent, and experts predicted that Wednesday’s inflation news strengthened the likelihood that the bank will cut interest rates further.

The Riksbank last week slashed Sweden’s so-called policy rate for the first time in eight years.

The policy rate is the central bank’s main monetary policy tool. It decides which rates Swedish banks can deposit in and borrow money from the Riksbank, which in turn affects the banks’ own interest rates on savings, loans and mortgages.

If bank interest rates are high, it’s expensive to borrow money, which means people spend less and as a result inflation drops.

But now that inflation appears to be holding relatively steady around the two percent target, it means that the bank might be able to start lowering the policy rate yet again.

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