A large bubble of warm air is making its way to central Europe next week, reported German media outlet Focus on Thursday.

And temperatures in the late 20s are forecast in Germany – with highs of 30C possible.

Average temperatures will rise by 5 to 10C early next week – a huge jump from the current weather which has been dominated by torrential rain showers and wind.

It’s not yet possible to make precise forecasts for individual cities or districts. But signs show that some regions will certainly get a blast of warmth.

Since the air is arriving from the west, the chances of warm to hot weather are highest in western Germany. On the Rhine, Main and Moselle rivers, residents can look forward to T-shirt and shorts weather.

Along the Rhine, the mercury could reach 30C locally as early as Wednesday. However, forecasters are still divided as to whether the highest temperatures will be logged on Wednesday or Thursday.

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Still uncertain for east, north and south

So the west is going to be warm – and it is very probable that the rest of the country will also get a share of the hot air, although it’s not yet certain.

The further east you go, the later the warm air arrives. And in the next few days we’ll be able to see whether the hot summer temperatures will also reach the north. In the south, too, the thermometer could stay below 25C – at least that’s what some forecasts suggest.

The uncertainty in the forecasts is also fuelled by so-called outliers. For example, there are warm outliers that forecast 30C across Germany. But there are also cold outliers that predict barely 20C. The truth usually lies in between. And depending on which weather model is also used in the weather apps, the mercury jumps accordingly.

To be able to judge the weather situation, it’s always helpful to look at the overall big picture because that usually doesn’t change so much.

What we can see is a bubble of warm air forming over Spain and France, and moving to the east – therefore also to Germany. 

How far north the warm air will advance and how quickly it moves towards Germany remains to be seen.

But the summer air cannot be stopped. So next week at least some people in the Bundesrepublik will have to dig out their summer clothes and the sunscreen. Or go for a dip in an outdoor pool, many of which opened around Germany last week.

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Vocabulary

Heatwave – (die) Hitzewelle

Warm bubble or air/warm air – (die) Warmluftblase

Outliers (die) Ausreißer (or singular der Ausreißer)

Average temperatures – (die) Durchschnittstemperaturen (or singular die Durchschnittstemperatur)