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BREXIT

France’s foreign minister says no-deal Brexit now ‘most likely’

French Foreign Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian said on Tuesday that he considered a no-deal Brexit "the most likely scenario" as Prime Minister Boris Johnson pressed ahead with his quest to leave the EU on October 31st, with or without a divorce agreement.

France's foreign minister says no-deal Brexit now 'most likely'
France's foreign minister Jean-Yves Le Drian. Photo: AFP

“It's the most likely scenario,” Le Drian told reporters in Paris when asked about the prospect of Britain crashing out of the union without a deal  on the movement of goods and people in and out of the Europe.

Le Drian said “there will be drawbacks, that's inevitable”, citing fisheries as one of the issues that could cause tensions between Britain and France.

READ ALSO LATEST The ultimate no-deal Brexit checklist for Britons living in France


British Prime Minister Boris Johnson in the House of Commons, where he faces rebellion from his own MPs. Photo: AFP

But even if Britain's 46-year membership of the EU does come to an abrupt halt next month, Le Drian said: “There will have to be discussions at some point, even if only about landing airplanes and the Eurostar (cross-Channel rail service).”

He also repeated France's opposition to any further postponement of Britain's departure date, barring a game-changing event in British politics  such as early elections.

His remarks came as Johnson engaged in a showdown on Tuesday in parliament with opposition MPs and Conservative Party who are trying to prevent him taking Britain out of the EU without a deal.

Johnson on Monday repeated his determination to leave the EU on October 31st “no ifs or buts.”

Member comments

  1. A tad harsh, Boggy.
    With things changing by the moment, it’s asking a bit much of a small scale publisher to digest, write a response, and promulgate the news before the lights have gone off.
    Anyone can tap into social media sites and get a ‘latest’ version of events, but rarely are these versions either accurate, factual, or informative. Of course, this doesn’t stop people forwarding such speculation or nonsense to everyone on their contact list.
    At times like these; it beholds us all to give a little air to any statement, proclamation, or opinion before accepting it as anything other than subjective.
    Facts, on the other hand, are precious. They are imperative to good decision making.
    By definition all reporting is history and history is both dynamic and subject to change. Rarely does history prove to be without nuance.

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2024 EUROPEAN ELECTIONS

‘Don’t be like Brits, who cried after Brexit’ – warns French prime minister

France's prime minister on Thursday warned the French against casting votes for the far right in next month's European elections, saying they risked becoming like Brits who backed Brexit only to have second thoughts when it was too late.

'Don't be like Brits, who cried after Brexit' - warns French prime minister

Prime Minister Gabriel Attal faces an uphill struggle to narrow a yawning gap with the far right before France votes on June 9th, with polls forecasting a major defeat for the government of President Emmanuel Macron.

Attal accused the far-right Rassemblement Rally (RN) of pursuing policies that would equate to France no longer being in the European Union, even if the party insists it no longer wants a French “Frexit” withdrawal from the bloc.

Listen to the team from The Local (including some Brits) discussing France’s European election campaign in this week’s Talking France podcast. Download here or listen on the link below

“Don’t be like the British who cried after Brexit,” Attal told RTL.

“When you say you are not going to respect the rules of the single market anymore, not pay France’s dues and stop respecting most of the treaties, the reality is that we are no longer in the EU.”

Attal referred to recent UK polls showing that, if there was a repeat of the 2016 referendum on EU membership, Britain would vote to stay.

“A large majority of British regret Brexit and sometimes regret voting for something that was negative for their country,” he said.

Painting a bleak picture of post-Brexit Britain, Attal said there was “more illegal immigration than ever” and “massive economic problems”.

“France will not be stronger by being alone,” he said.

The latest poll published Monday by Ifop for Le Figaro showed the RN scoring 33.5 percent in the polls, way ahead of the government alliance based around Macron’s Renaissance party on just 16 percent.

Attal, 35, last week went head-to-head in a TV debate with the head of the RN list Jordan Bardella, 28, with government supporters crowing afterwards the premier has exposed a lack of substance in his opponent.

But there has been little sign of the debate making an impression on polls, with questions also asked over why Attal needed to impose himself instead of the little-known head of the pro-Macron list Valérie Hayer by taking on the debate.

Analysts add that the government list is in danger of even coming third in the election behind the Socialist list led by ex-commentator Raphaël Glucksmann, which scored 14.5 percent in the Ifop poll.

“Will France be the country that sends the largest contingent of far-right lawmakers to the European Parliament?” asked Attal.

If the far right arrived in force at the parliament, he said, it “could have the capacity to block European institutions, which would lead to very dangerous consequences for our country.”

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