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What does the ‘exceptionally weak’ Swedish krona mean for you?

Ignoring a few months in the financial crisis, the Swedish krona is now weaker than it's been in a century. What does that mean for internationals planning to moving here, or those who already have?

What does the 'exceptionally weak' Swedish krona mean for you?
The weak krona means executives coming from Europe and the US will be able to buy a more expensive house. Photo: Hasse Holmberg/TT
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The krona dropped still lower last week after Sweden's central bank signalled that with inflation still stubbornly under target there was now no chance of an end to negative interest rates this summer. You now need 10.6 kronor to buy a euro, up from 8.2 back in 2012. 
 
“It's quite clear that the krona is exceptionally weak,” Andreas Wallström, Chief Analyst at Nordea Markets, tells The Local. “Apart from the financial crisis, you have to go back 100 years to find it weaker…although of course the euro didn't exist back then, so it's sort of a synthetic euro.”
 
He doesn't expect change any time soon. 
 
“There's currently nothing really pointing to a strengthening of the krona. If you look at growth relative to the eurozone, we are really in for a slowdown now, whereas growth in Europe is quite strong.” 
Richard Falkenhäll, Senior FX Strategist at SEB, agrees:  “We have probably, along with Switzerland, the lowest short-term interest rates in the world right now, at -0.5, and that's despite several years of very strong growth.”
 
“That's a very negative thing for the Swedish krona, so I think we have to get used to a weaker Stocky [krona] at least this year and probably into next year.”  
 
If you're a tourist, of course, this is wonderful news: a pint of beer that would have cost you a jaw-dropping nine euros five years back now costs under seven.  
 
But if you're an international who's come to Sweden to work, or is planning to, it's rather less appealing. 
 
“You should make sure that you don't get paid in Swedish krona,” Wallström says, slightly tongue-in-cheek. 
 
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Jamie Hart, Managing Director at the recruitment firm Michael Page in Stockholm, says the low exchange rate is less of a problem for a foreigner negotiating their salary ahead of a move to Sweden, as their pay will normally be set by the real cost of living. 
 
“It will just cost the companies more to match up to the euro equivalent,” he says. “Generally speaking if you're recruiting people, the exchange rate is not what you base pay on, it's based on the cost of living.” 
 
People moving to Sweden may also find buying a house is a less daunting prospect that it was. 
 
“As the housing market in Sweden has lost about 10 percent in the last year, at least in Bromma where I work, you are getting a double effect,” says Pär Gunnarsson, who works for Swedish estate agents Fastighetsbyrån. 
 
And while he hasn't noticed an increase in the number of foreign buyers, he suspects those that come are able to spend more. 
 
“When you buy a house in Stockholm or Sweden, it's basically because you're moving here, and you buy the house you can afford. I don't think we have more foreign buyers in Stockholm, but maybe they can buy a more expensive house.” 
 
The exchange rate is more of an issue for workers who negotiated a pay deal back in 2012, when the krona was much higher.
 
If you negotiated an annual salary of 800,000 kronor back then, you've now taken a pretty substantial €21,000 cut in your annual euro earnings. 
 
“For an expat today having an income in krona, you probably just have to get used to earning less,” Falkenhäll says. “It's the same for us Swedes. It's starting to get quite expensive to travel abroad.” 
 
But Wallström believes it's not all bad news, as the low exchange rate combined with strong global demand is leading to boom times for Swedish exporters. 
 
“Swedish exporters are enjoying happy days and there is a  labour shortage in many sectors, so the demand for foreigners is likely to increase,” he says. 
 
Those already working in export-driven industries are in a powerful position to negotiate a pay increase, while those applying for jobs can probably afford to be quite demanding when it comes to salary. 
 
“There's a big demand for international skillsets particularly in the technology field, digital and engineering,” Hart says. “There's a big demand for people who want to move.” 
 
For many of people he recruits from the UK and Europe, salary is not the only reason to move to Sweden anyway. 
 
“There's upside in terms of quality of life, the length of your commute, the number of hours you work,” he says. “There's still positives about working in Sweden.” 
 
Still want to move to Sweden? Looking for a new job? Find your dream English-language role on The Local Jobs.
 

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Three ways Sweden’s slashed interest rate will boost your finances

Sweden's central bank, the Riksbank, has lowered the policy rate for the first time in eight years. How could this affect the finances of those of us living in Sweden?

Three ways Sweden's slashed interest rate will boost your finances

Lower mortgage rates

The policy rate is not the same as the interest rate on your mortgage, although they are linked. In a policy rate prognosis from March, the bank predicted that the policy rate could drop to as low as 2.75 percent by the end of 2025, a drop of 1.25 percentage points since the beginning of 2024.

If mortgage rates drop by the same amount, you could expect a drop in the monthly cost of a 3 million kronor mortgage of around 3,000 kronor a month, not including the tax rebate for interest costs.

Higher property prices

As mortgage rates get lower, the housing market is likely to improve, as buyers know their monthly costs aren’t going to skyrocket due to ever-rising interest rates.

If you already own a home and you’re planning on buying and selling at the same time in the market, this will affect you less, as the price of your new home will most likely go up at the same rate as the price of your old home, but this is good news for anyone planning on selling.

It’s worse news for first-time buyers, who will have to save a larger deposit as prices go up, but on the other hand they’ll get lower mortgage rates and a more stable policy rate makes it easier to plan ahead for the future without being surprised by ever-increasing rates.

A stronger Swedish economy

The Riksbank’s decision to lower the interest rate is proof that the bank believes inflation is over – for now at least. This means that we can expect to see inflation remain at a more stable level, and we’re unlikely to see anything close to the ten percent inflation we saw at the end of 2022.

Lower inflation means that Swedish monetary policy won’t need to be as cautious or restrictive in the future, as the government and the central bank no longer need to put all their efforts into fighting inflation.

That’s not to say that authorities will start stimulating the economy just yet – they’re likely to proceed with caution to make sure inflation really is down for the long-term – but Thursday’s interest rate announcement indicates that the “economic winter” Finance Minister Elisabeth Svantesson warned of in September last year could be drawing to a close.

Is it all good news?

In the short term, the value of the krona is likely to worsen somewhat, as the central bank has lowered Sweden’s interest rate ahead of other major central banks. The krona weakened slightly after the bank’s announcement on Thursday, dropping 8 öre in value against the dollar and 7 öre against the euro.

This is good news for people with income in other currencies, but bad news for those of us who are paid in kronor.

Having said that, a stronger Swedish economy is good news for the value of the krona in the long term, although it’s difficult to predict when the krona will start to gain in value and by how much.

At the end of last year, Riksbank governor Erik Thedéen described the krona as “undervalued”, and underlined the importance of having strong foundations in the Swedish economy.

“The Swedish economy is, at its foundations, well-managed, and sooner or later this will lead to a stronger exchange rate,” he said. “Sweden has strong finances, a well-educated labour force, responsible salaries and a good underlying level of competition.”

“As anyone who has tried to predict the exchange rate knows, it’s genuinely difficult to say exactly when it will go up and by how much, but it can also happen quickly when the trend is broken and the krona starts to gain in value.”

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