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EUROPEAN UNION

Brexit, a sign of anti-elite revolt: analysts

Rural areas with high numbers of migrant workers, former industrial hubs and poor areas around cities, those without a university education and older voters were all among the 52 percent who voted Brexit.

Brexit, a sign of anti-elite revolt: analysts
It was Britain’s poorer and less-educated citizens who pushed it out of the European Union. Photo: AFP

It was Britain’s poorer and less-educated citizens — angry at not having shared in the economic benefits of a new world order — who pushed it out of the European Union, in a vote that threatens elites, analysts say.

They are those who suffered the worst hangover from the economic crisis, and whose precarious economic position makes them most fearful of rising immigration — to the benefit of far right groups in the E.U. and Donald Trump in the United States.

“I see the same pattern everywhere I look,” said William Galston, a senior fellow at the U.S.-based Brookings Institution.

“The demographic splits within the U.K. are exactly the same category for category as the demographic splits within the American electorate in this presidential election.”

Rural areas with high numbers of migrant workers, former industrial hubs and poor areas around cities, those without a university education and older voters were all among the 53.4 percent who voted Brexit.

Mr. Galston said this was the same demographic backing controversial Republican candidate Mr. Trump in the U.S., as well as eurosceptic and far-right parties enjoying a rise in support across Europe.

“They mistrust political elites because up until now they haven’t seen any political parties who appear to recognise their discontent and respond to it.”

Mr. Galston said while he did not expect these forces to prevail in the United States as they did in the Brexit vote, they were a “major warning signal to established parties throughout Europe”.

Fears are high of a domino effect, with eurosceptic, leftist and far right parties from France to the Netherlands crying victory after the shock Brexit result was announced and calling for similar votes in their own countries.

Political scientist Melanie Sully of the Vienna-based Go-Governance Institute warned Europe was facing a “crisis of democracy” that could be exploited by xenophobic, far right parties.

“If you don’t have any trust in politics, it’s exactly the sort of black hole populists can march into and capture the mood and build on it, to perpetuate their own falsehoods,” she told AFP.

At the root of this surge in anti-establishment sentiment is a feeling of fear, loss of control, and traditions and identity lost among those who are struggling economically, analysts say.

“Before we talk about populism, the anti-establishment, we have to talk about the social position of these people. What do they earn? How do they see their everyday lives?” said Tetiana Havlin, a sociologist at the University of Siegen in Germany.

“In everyday life nobody thinks about anti-globalisation, anti-establishment. They just see their challenges”, she said.

“This of course gives fertile ground for populism… but in the end this is about what people feel.”

Observers point to two main drivers of the surge in scorn for the elite: the hangover from the 2008/2009 economic crisis and the refugee crisis.

“You have a lot of people who took a big hit. These are people who feel economically vulnerable, and when you put demographic fears on top of economic vulnerability this is what you get,” said Mr. Galston.

“I don’t think it’s mysterious anymore, we may have been scratching our head a year ago but we should be in no doubt now.”

Many young people who voted ‘Remain’ are furious at the number of older British voters who backed ‘Leave’ — lumbering them, as they see it, with the consequences of their decision for decades to come.

Ms. Havlin said that many of these voters saw the E.U. as a source of security and stability when Britain joined in 1973, a time she refers to as “the prosperity years”.

Now older, these voters reeling from austerity and a sense of growing threats at Europe’s borders, feel “threatened and insecure”.

Dominique Moisi, of the French Institute of International Relations (IFRI) said the Brexit earthquake was a dark moment in Europe’s history, comparing it unfavourably to the fall of communism.

“Remember Star Wars: there is the light side and the dark side of the force. The light side was the fall of the Berlin Wall. The dark side is Brexit.”

 

POLITICS

‘A Brexit-style exit would not benefit Italy at all’: The Brit-Italian candidate running for MEP in Italy

Former British member of the European Parliament Sir Graham Watson is now an Italian candidate with a strongly pro-European message.

‘A Brexit-style exit would not benefit Italy at all’: The Brit-Italian candidate running for MEP in Italy

Sir Graham Watson, who represented South West England in the European Parliament between 1994 and 2014, is looking to make a comeback by representing North-East Italy under the pro-European party Stati Uniti d’Europa (‘the United States of Europe’).

For Sir Graham, an Italian citizen through his marriage of 37 years, his party’s manifesto aligns with both his political stance and his personal one.

“I’m definitely not a fixed person in the slightest,” he says. “I spend time here in Florence, time in Canada, time in Scotland and I’ve also worked in Brussels, Germany and Hong Kong.”

“I’m what you might call a vagrant,” he jokes, adding that Theresa May’s famous comment about citizens of the world being “citizens of nowhere” is not true in his case. 

The 68-year-old has spent the last 10 years as a semi-retired professor after he left the European Parliament back in 2014. 

He had little to no intention of returning, but says the party’s leaders, former Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi and ex-Foreign Minister Emma Bonino, reached out and asked him to represent the north-east of the country, which includes the regions of Veneto, Emilia-Romagna, Friuli-Venezia Giulia and Trentino-Alto Adige.

READ ALSO: Can foreign residents in Italy vote in the European elections?

He is running as capolista (lead candidate) for Stati Uniti d’Europa, an alliance between Renzi’s Italia Viva and Bonino’s Più Europa, plus smaller groups such as the European Liberal Democrats. Its manifesto reads “A stronger Europe is a stronger Italy.”

“I think they invited me firstly because I’m qualified and secondly because they wanted to practise what they preach by adding people from different walks of life,” adds Sir Graham. 

“I am an Italian citizen but I’m more Scottish than anything.”

He mentions success in the ballot would be evidence to the people of the UK that there is still a place for them in Europe.

“Let me make myself clear, I’m here to serve Italy and my constituents, largely because I do not want the same things happening to them as to us,” he says.

“We British became the unwelcome guest. If in the end we had not opted to leave, we might have been thrown out anyway.”

Sir Graham said he was also compelled to accept Renzi and Bonino’s invitation as he became “increasingly concerned” about the rise of the far right in Europe.

READ ALSO: ‘The acceptable extreme’: Italy’s PM paves way for far right in EU elections

He fears Giorgia Meloni’s Brothers of Italy party may get the most seats and says the message relayed by hard-right populist League party leader Matteo Salvini along with Marine Le Pen and Nigel Farage that the European Union is taking away people’s sovereignty, is untrue.

“A Brexit-style Italian exit from the Union would not benefit Italy at all and that’s what made me want to stand,” he continues. 

“I know being in the north-east I’d probably have to take on Salvini, but I welcome that. It gets the political blood coursing through the veins.”

In response to Salvini’s slogan meno Europa (‘less Europe’), he says: “What does it even mean? It means more Russia, more China, fewer investments, less work and less opportunity.

“I’m happy to take Salvini on.”

The elections for European Parliament are due to take place between June 6th to June 9th. Find out more information here.

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