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POLITICS

Are Sweden’s politicians capable of intellectual honesty?

Amid debates marked by cheap shots and misdirection, liberal commentator Nima Sanandaji wonders whether Swedish politicians are capable of honest, reasoned debate in an election year.

Are Sweden's politicians capable of intellectual honesty?
A view inside Sweden's parliament, the Riksdag. Photo: Anders Wiklund/TT

You can accuse Swedish politicians of many things. But rarely of being intellectually honest during an election year. Recently Ibrahim Baylan, education policy spokesman for the Social Democrats, met his Moderate Party counterpart Tomas Tobé in a heated debate on Sveriges Telvistion (SVT). It was a great chance for the two to discuss the many problems facing Sweden's failing school system.

Sadly, the opportunity was wasted. 

Things got off track when Baylan accused the Moderates of prioritizing lower taxes ahead of devoting more money to schools. At first glance, the claim may sound reasonable. But in fact, the center-right government has reduced taxation through one key reform: less generosity in the sick- and disability leave system. Funding for schools has actually increased over the years the Moderate-led Alliance coalition has been in power. Meanwhile, the local taxes that pay for schools and other welfare services have not been cut. And for technical reasons, tax reductions in the state-level can actually lead to more money for local authorities.

Tobé then responded by accusing the Social Democrats of prioritizing public handouts rather than creating more jobs. Again, this might initially appear to be a reasonably effective argument for someone from a center-right party trying to rebut someone left of centre. But what does it have to do with schools? Besides, if we take the parties at their word, the Moderates are considering raising taxes whilst the Social Democrats promise not to focus on handouts as an alternative to work.

Thus, Baylan and Tobé turned what could have been debate about a major issue facing voters – the state of Sweden's schools – into a spat about economic policies they suspect their opponents have, but which their opponents deny having.

Following the spectacle, columnist Sam Sundberg of Svenska Dagbladet (SvD) lamented over having a special "embarrassment pillow" on his couch behind which he tries hide when debates derail in the way that Baylan's and Tobé's did. I am sure he will have use for it in the months ahead if Sweden's major parties continue with such tactics.

It makes one wonder whether the Sweden's political parties are actually more interested in taking cheap shots at their opponents rather than actually engaging in a serious discussion about the issues. And when it comes to looking for answers as to why Sweden's schools have suffered so much in recent years, perhaps the simplistic and intellectually dishonest climate surrounding Swedish political debate is a sensible place to start.

Dr. Nima Sanandaji, a Swedish writer of Kurdish origin, has written numerous books and reports about policy issues in Sweden. He is a regular contributor to The Local.
 

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POLITICS IN SWEDEN

Politics in Sweden: This year’s EU election will be a white-knuckle ride for smaller parties

With as many as three of Sweden's parties at risk of being kicked out of the European parliament, the stakes in this year's European elections are higher perhaps than ever before.

According to the latest polling by Verian for Swedish public broadcaster SVT, one party – the Liberals – is already polling below the formal four percent threshold to enter the European Parliament, but two more, the Christian Democrats and the Centre Party, are worryingly close, with each polling at both 4.5 percent. 

If the poll is right, the Social Democrats are set to be the big winners in the election, gaining two additional seats, while the Left Party and the far-right Sweden Democrats are both in line to gain one additional seat.

But as well as the Liberal Party, the Centre Party, Christian Democrats, and Green Party all set to lose one seat each, but as they each currently have more than one seat, they will nonetheless keep their representation in parliament. 

Tommy Möller, a professor of politics at Stockholm University, told the TT newswire that the two parties likely to be the most worried ahead of election day on June 9th are the Liberals and the Centre Party. 

For the Liberals, it matters partly because it has long seen itself as Sweden's most pro-EU party. At its highpoint 15 years ago, it had three seats in the EU parliament, but it sank to just one in the 2020 European elections.

If the party were now to lose the last of its seats, the leadership of party chairman Johan Persson, Möller argued, would be put into question. 

"This could prompt an internal debate on party leadership," he told the TT newswire. "There's no doubt that if the Liberals, who (...) promote themselves as the most pro-EU party, lost its mandate, it would be a massive blow."  

He said he would also not rule out a leadership challenge against the Centre Party's leader Muharrem Demirok should his party lose both its seats in the EU parliament, given how badly he has struggled as leader to gain any visibility with voters .

"Obviously the Centre Party is fighting an uphill battle in the opinion polls. If it loses its seat, that would obviously add to the lack of confidence in the party leader, which could prompt an internal leadership debate," Möller said. 

For the Christian Democrats, the Verian poll is in some ways encouraging. Thus far the indications are that Folklistan, the party formed by the former Christian Democrat MEP Sara Skyttedal, is far below the 4 percent threshold, with only an estimated 1.5 percent of the vote.

While it is no doubt nibbling away at Christian Democrat support, it has so far not managed to drag the party down to the 4 percent threshold. 

Möller said he did not expect anyone to call for party leader Ebba Busch to stand down, almost regardless of the result.  

"I don't think there will be calls for her resignation, but obviously, the mandate you have as a leader is always linked to how well its going for the party in opinion polls and elections," he said.  

Return of the Greens?

Even though they are projected to lose one of their seats, if the Green Party succeeds in winning 9.5 percent of the vote on June 9th, as the polls suggest, it will still be seen as decent result, showing that the party, which has been struggling in domestic politics, at least does well in the EU elections.

If the party retains its third seat, it will be seen as a resounding victory. 

According to a popularity poll by the Aftonbladet newspaper, the party's lead MEP, Alice Bah Kuhnke, is both the second most popular politician standing in the election and the most unpopular, reflecting just how polarising party has become in Sweden. 

In the poll, 30 percent of respondents said they had high or very high confidence in Bah Kuhnke, second only to the Left Party's candidate and former leader, Jonas Sjöstedt, on 42 percent. But at the same time, 64 percent of respondents said they had "low confidence" in her.  

According to Johan Martinsson, the head of opinion research at Demoskop, who carried out the poll, this should not worry the Greens too much.

"As long as the relevant group of voters have a large amount of confidence, it doesn't really make any difference if you are despised by those who oppose you. It can almost be a good thing as it makes it easier to get attention."

Could the election mark a turnaround for the party, which has voted in two new leaders this year? 

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