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Torrential rain clouds Germany’s future

Germany faces a soggy future of extreme rainfall and flooding in the coming decades caused by climate change, according to the country's leading meteorologists and disaster protection officials.

Torrential rain clouds Germany's future
The foreboding sky above Wackernheim in 2010. Photo: DPA

Already living in a damp climate, Germans should expect a lot more precipitation and extreme weather by 2040, experts from the German Weather Service (DWD), the Federal Environment Agency (UBA), the Federal Agency for Technical Relief (THW) the Federal Office of Civil Protection and Disaster Assistance (BBK) warned this week.

“Particularly in coastal areas, the amount of (heavy rainfall and flooding) could double compared to the period between 1960 and 2000,” said Paul Becker, the vice president of the DWD.

The four agencies called a joint press conference in Berlin on Tuesday to highlight the dangers climate change could pose to Germany.

“By the year 2100 we expect torrential rains in winter, that is in the months of December, January, and February, across much of Germany,” Becker said.

The DWD defined heavy precipitation as a downpour of up to 100 litres of rain per square metre in 24 hours.

The UBA underscored the threat to Germany’s infrastructure including water supplies, energy and transportation from extreme weather.

“These findings increase pressure to do something to counteract the unavoidable impact from climate change,” said Jochen Flasbarth, head of the UBA. “Protecting our climate should be priority number one.”

Volker Strotmann of the THW said disaster relief agencies were already seeing a surge in incidents related to the changing weather. THW put in twice as many man hours in 2010 compared to 2009.

However, Christoph Unger, president of the BBK, said due to Germany’s demographic decline, fewer volunteers would be available to cope in the event of a natural disaster.

“If we want to keep our current high level of civil protection measures in Germany, we’ll have to spot changing threats and react beforehand,” Unger said.

The Local/DPA/rm

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INDUSTRY & TRADE

‘It’s all the same to me’: Why German auto workers are learning to install heat pumps

Emrullah Karaca has made brakes for the past 20 years, but he is now learning to assemble heat pumps instead, as the Continental factory where he works in northern Germany is slated to close.

'It's all the same to me': Why German auto workers are learning to install heat pumps

Production of the car component at the town of Gifhorn will end in 2027 and move to Croatia, the Czech Republic and Wales to keep the costs “competitive”, according to Continental, which will cut about 7,000 jobs worldwide.

The relocation means a new career for 49-year-old Karaca, one of a rising number of workers in companies supplying Germany’s vital automotive sector who are being hit by a tsunami of redundancies.

Facing up to the double shock of the end of combustion engines and rising competition from China, European suppliers like Bosch, ZF and Webasto have all announced cuts — which have piled up to the point where the issue has cast a shadow on the forthcoming EU elections.

Brussels has promised to do more to boost the domestic car industry and tackle unfair competition from cheaper Asian rivals.

But EU plans to outlaw the sale of new fossil fuel-powered cars from 2035, meaning some jobs will inevitably become redundant.

Battery transition

The upcoming closure to the Continental plant in Gifhorn has been the catalyst for Karaca and the other 800 employees working there to start retraining in another area.

A local heating systems company, Stiebel Eltron, has proposed to take over the site and retain some employees for future production.

“Brakes or heat pumps, it’s all the same to me,” said Karaca, whose two parents both worked for Continental at the factory.

Making exhausts, headlights, gear boxes or brakes has long been a steady job with suppliers in Germany alone employing some 270,000 people.

But the technologies they have specialised in are obsolescent and the process of making battery cars is a less labour-intensive undertaking.

“If today you need 100 people to produce a normal motor, then with the electric motor you only need 10,” said Jutta Rump, a business professor at Ludwigshafen University.

In Gifhorn, Stiebel Eltron is offering the prospect of further employment to some 300 of Continental’s workforce.

Another 100 could find a home at a nearby Siemens mobility plant that supplies rail companies.

Poor prospects

What jobs remain are under increasing pressure from Chinese competitors, who are hauling in a growing share of the market.

The Chinese battery-maker CATL has grown in short order to become the world’s third largest auto supplier, in a sector still led by Bosch, according to consultancy Roland Berger.

In Germany, one in three companies in the sector is planning to move part of its production abroad in the coming years to cut costs, according to a study by the German carmakers association VDA.

The axe has already fallen on 3,400 workers at Ford’s factory in Saarlouis, in the west of Germany.

The plant closure takes with it a whole network of local suppliers, whose workers staged a six-day strike in March to get better redundancy terms.

Among them, 33-year-old Luca Thonet, employed by Ford supplier Lear, said he would like to stay in the region, close to the French border.

“But there is almost no industry left in the region, and the other factories are not in a very good situation either,” he told AFP.

Thonet cited the situation at ZF, the second-largest German auto supplier, which announced the closure of two sites in its domestic market.

The ZF works council fears some 12,000 job cuts could be in the pipeline, with a number falling in the same region as Saarlouis.

Germany may be facing a shortage of workers, but not all sectors are equally impacted.

In IT, product development, or sales “there’s a lack of qualified personnel”, said expert Rump. “That’s not the case in production.”

By Lea PERNELLE

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