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ELECTION

Greens overtake SPD as strongest opposition

The Greens' claim to being Germany’s main opposition party was bolstered on Wednesday by a new poll putting them ahead of the centre-left Social Democrats for the first time ever.

Greens overtake SPD as strongest opposition
Photo: DPA

The Forsa poll taken for news magazine Stern and broadcaster RTL put the environmentalist Greens’ support on 24 percent – one point ahead of the Social Democrats (SPD).

The result is a shot in the arm for the Greens’ claim to have become the strongest opposition to Angela Merkel’s ruling centre-right coalition.

The Greens appear to be benefiting from the SDP’s slide, having gained one of the two points lost by the SDP since last week’s poll. The SPD dropped from 25 percent a week ago to 23 percent this week, while the Greens gained a point from 23 per cent to 24 percent.

The turnaround represents a major shift in Germany’s political landscape, as the SPD has always been regarded – along with Merkel’s Christian Democrats (CDU) – as one of the dominant Volksparteien or “people’s parties.”

Merkel’s Christian Democrats and their Bavarian sister party the Christian Social Union picked up the other point lost by the SDP to poll 31 percent of the vote. Their junior coalition partners the Free Democrats continue to languish on a paltry five percent of the vote.

Manfred Güller of the Forsa Institute told Stern that the SDP’s efforts to appear more left-wing than they actually are has left voters feeling the party is misrepresenting itself.

“It’s not the claims against the government’s energy decisions or their criticism of the changes to Hartz IV that seem to be the problem, it’s that many important SPD party members are far too centrist,” he said.

Güllner believes that the Greens new found strength in the changing political climate following the September 2009 elections comes from their top-level politicians such as Jürgen Tritten and Renate Künast, who appear solid and trustworthy to voters.

“The Greens are benefiting from the weakness of the other parties” added Güllner. “They’re picking up voters from the SPD, but also from the CDU coalition.”

Overall, however, the left continues to dominate the polls, with the Greens and SDP jointly polling 47 percent and Merkel’s CDU/CSU-FDP coalition reaching 36 percent.

The Forsa Institute, one of Germany’s leading pollsters, surveyed 2,501 people between the 27th September and 1st October.

The Local/DAPD/rm

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2024 EUROPEAN ELECTIONS

From Swexit to Frexit: How Europe’s far-right parties have ditched plans to leave EU

Far-right parties, set to make soaring gains in the European Parliament elections in June, have one by one abandoned plans to get their countries to leave the European Union.

From Swexit to Frexit: How Europe's far-right parties have ditched plans to leave EU

Whereas plans to leave the bloc took centre stage at the last European polls in 2019, far-right parties have shifted their focus to issues such as immigration as they seek mainstream votes.

“Quickly a lot of far-right parties abandoned their firing positions and their radical discourse aimed at leaving the European Union, even if these parties remain eurosceptic,” Thierry Chopin, a visiting professor at the College of Europe in Bruges told AFP.

Britain, which formally left the EU in early 2020 following the 2016 Brexit referendum, remains the only country to have left so far.

Here is a snapshot:

No Nexit 

The Dutch Freedom Party (PVV) led by Geert Wilders won a stunning victory in Dutch national elections last November and polls indicate it will likely top the European vote in the Netherlands.

While the manifesto for the November election stated clearly: “the PVV wants a binding referendum on Nexit” – the Netherlands leaving the EU – such a pledge is absent from the European manifesto.

For more coverage of the 2024 European Elections click here.

The European manifesto is still fiercely eurosceptic, stressing: “No European superstate for us… we will work hard to change the Union from within.”

The PVV, which failed to win a single seat in 2019 European Parliament elections, called for an end to the “expansion of unelected eurocrats in Brussels” and took aim at a “veritable tsunami” of EU environmental regulations.

No Frexit either

Leaders of France’s National Rally (RN) which is also leading the polls in a challenge to President Emmanuel Macron, have also explicitly dismissed talk they could ape Britain’s departure when unveiling the party manifesto in March.

“Our Macronist opponents accuse us… of being in favour of a Frexit, of wanting to take power so as to leave the EU,” party leader Jordan Bardella said.

But citing EU nations where the RN’s ideological stablemates are scoring political wins or in power, he added: “You don’t leave the table when you’re about to win the game.”

READ ALSO: What’s at stake in the 2024 European parliament elections?

Bardella, 28, who took over the party leadership from Marine Le Pen in 2021, is one of France’s most popular politicians.

The June poll is seen as a key milestone ahead of France’s next presidential election in 2027, when Le Pen, who lead’s RN’s MPs, is expected to mount a fourth bid for the top job.

Dexit, maybe later

The co-leader of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party, Alice Weidel, said in January 2024 that the United Kingdom’s Brexit referendum was an example to follow for the EU’s most populous country.

Weidel said the party, currently Germany’s second most popular, wanted to reform EU institutions to curb the power of the European Commission and address what she saw as a democratic deficit.

But if the changes sought by the AfD could not be realised, “we could have a referendum on ‘Dexit’ – a German exit from the EU”, she said.

The AfD which has recently seen a significant drop in support as it contends with various controversies, had previously downgraded a “Dexit” scenario to a “last resort”.

READ ALSO: ‘Wake-up call’: Far-right parties set to make huge gains in 2024 EU elections

Fixit, Swexit, Polexit…

Elsewhere the eurosceptic Finns Party, which appeals overwhelmingly to male voters, sees “Fixit” as a long-term goal.

The Sweden Democrats (SD) leader Jimmie Åkesson and leading MEP Charlie Weimers said in February in a press op ed that “Sweden is prepared to leave as a last resort”.

Once in favour of a “Swexit”, the party, which props up the government of Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson, in 2019 abandoned the idea of leaving the EU due to a lack of public support.

In November 2023 thousands of far-right supporters in the Polish capital Warsaw called for a “Polexit”.

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