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GERMANY AND RUSSIA

Convicted hitman freed from Germany in Russian prisoner swap

Vadim Krasikov, one of the Russian nationals exchanged in a prisoner swap announced between Moscow and the West on Thursday, had been serving a life sentence in Germany for murder.

A general view taken on October 7, 2020 in Berlin shows the courtroom at the beginning of the trial of Vadim Krasikov, accused of gunning down a former Chechen commander in Berlin
A general view taken on October 7, 2020 in Berlin shows the courtroom at the beginning of the trial of Vadim Krasikov, accused of gunning down a former Chechen commander in Berlin in 2019. Krasikov has been released as part of a prisoner swap between Russia and the West. (Photo by Odd ANDERSEN / various sources / AFP)

Krasikov, alias Vadim Sokolov, was found guilty of gunning down former Chechen separatist commander Zelimkhan Khangoshvili in broad daylight in a Berlin park in 2019.

The case sparked a major rift between Germany and Russia, with tit-for-tat diplomatic expulsions.

Krasikov stayed silent during his trial, speaking only through his lawyer, and has remained surrounded by mystery right up until the exchange came to light.

Through his laywer, Krasikov claimed he had been misidentified and was really a Russian construction engineer named Vadim Sokolov, but a Berlin court found him guilty of murder in December 2021.

According to German prosecutors, Krasikov approached the Georgian national from behind on a bicycle, firing two shots from a Glock 26 pistol equipped with a silencer.

After the victim fell to the ground, Krasikov allegedly shot him in the head, killing him on the spot, before getting back on his bicycle and fleeing.

Police divers later recovered the handgun, a wig and a bicycle from the nearby Spree river.

Berlin judges said the killing had been ordered by Moscow, but the Kremlin at the time slammed what it called a “political” ruling.

Mirror murder

Krasikov was born in 1965 in what is now Kazakhstan, then part of the Soviet Union, according to the Bellingcat investigative website.

In June 2013, Krasikov was the prime suspect in the murder of a Russian businessman who had been the subject of several previous assassination attempts, the website said.

The crime in Moscow was reportedly similar in many ways to the Berlin murder –- in both cases, the killer had approached his target on a bicycle, shot him in the back and in the head, and left on his bike.

Krasikov is likely to have been a member of an elite unit of the FSB, Russia’s state security service, according to Bellingcat.

President Vladimir Putin first hinted that he wanted Krasikov as part of a potential prisoner swap during an interview with US journalist Tucker Carlson in February.

Without mentioning him by name, Putin referred to Krasikov in the context of negotiations over a deal to free jailed US journalist Evan Gershkovich — one of the prisoners released in Thursday’s exchange.

Gershkovich, a Wall Street Journal reporter, was sentenced in July to 16 years for spying in a case rejected as a “sham” by the White House.

“There is a person serving a sentence in a US ally. That person, out of patriotic sentiments, eliminated a bandit in a European capital,” Putin said.

Asked after Putin’s TV interview whether Krasikov was an agent for the FSB, Putin’s spokesman Dmitry Peskov said: “I will leave that question without an answer.”

Navalny plan?

Krasikov’s name had also previously come up in other potential prisoner swaps involving high-profile figures, including the late opposition leader Alexei Navalny.

Shortly after Navalny’s death, his ally Maria Pevchikh said Putin “was offered to exchange… Krasikov” for Navalny and two US citizens.

According to US media reports, Krasikov was also named during efforts to negotiate the freedom of Paul Whelan, a former Marine also among Thursday’s crop of freed prisoners.

Prosecutors in Berlin said Krasikov travelled as a tourist in the days before the murder, arriving in Paris where he visited sights before travelling to Warsaw.

Commenting on Khangoshvili’s murder, Putin described the former Chechen commander as a “fighter, very cruel and bloody” who had joined separatists against Russian forces in the Caucasus and also been involved in bombing attacks on the Moscow metro.

According to German media, Khangoshvili had survived two previous assassination attempts in Georgia before seeking asylum in Germany.

He had been living in Germany for several years and also went by the name Tornike Kavtarashvili.

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POLITICS

Why Germany may have to re-negotiate its 2025 budget

The German coalition only recently managed to piece together a budget deal - but there are already concerns that there will be a massive funding gap. It means politicians may have to go back to the drawing board.

Why Germany may have to re-negotiate its 2025 budget

The coalition partners in the government – made up of the Social Democrats (SPD), Greens and Free Democrats (FDP) – finally agreed the budget for 2025 in July after a long struggle. 

But there are already major doubts about its feasibility concerning the financing of the plans.

Germany’s total budget volume is around €481 billion. Among the key points are greater security, societal cohesion, tax relief for residents and businesses, family support, ambitious climate action and greater economic growth.

READ ALSO: Kindergeld and tax relief – How Germany’s planned budget could affect you

But the Finance Ministry has thrown a spanner in the works. According to the ministry, headed up by the FDP’s Christian Lindner, proposals to halve the funding shortfall of €17 billion cannot be implemented in full. 

Lindner had the financing options analysed legally and economically by a team of experts – and his ministry said this revealed big concerns.

In order to further reduce the deficit, “further discussions within the federal government and as part of parliamentary deliberations” are necessary, the Finance Ministry said on Thursday, according to Der Spiegel.

The ministry was keen to stress, however, that the option of suspending the debt brake “does not exist constitutionally or economically”.

One of the most controversial and hotly-debated parts of next year’s spending plans centred on whether it was possible to soften Germany’s infamous debt-brake (Schuldenbremse) – a self-imposed cap on annual borrowing. In the end Finance Minister Lindner got his way with Germany maintaining the debt brake.

German Finance Minister Christian Lindner gestures as he addresses a press conference on the draft 2025 federal budget and financial plan to 2028, in Berlin, Germany on July 17, 2024.

German Finance Minister Christian Lindner gestures as he addresses a press conference on the draft 2025 federal budget and financial plan to 2028, in Berlin, Germany on July 17, 2024. Photo by RALF HIRSCHBERGER / AFP

Is it back to there drawing board?

Since taking on further debt is currently out of the question, the coalition is likely to face more tricky discussions on where to make cuts if the expert advice is followed. 

The Finance Ministry has once again brought lower social welfare spending into play – something Lindner has been pushing for, but the Social Democrats and Greens have put their foot down on.

From the Finance Ministry’s point of view, “further consolidation measures must be developed in the area of consumption”.

The ministry added: “Measures to strengthen the accuracy of social spending, on which no political agreement has yet been reached, could also reduce the need for action.”

How was the funding gap originally set to be tackled?

The current plans to reduce the funding hole in the budget involve converting grants to infrastructure companies like Deutsche Bahn into loans. In addition, residual billions from the federal development bank KfW from the settlement of the gas price brake were to boost spending plans. This was set to reduce the financial gap to around €9 billion.

Chancellor Olaf Scholz (SPD), Vice-Chancellor Robert Habeck (Greens) and Lindner had only reached an agreement on the draft federal budget for 2025 using these options. Lindner, however, had made his scepticism clear from the outset and assigned the management of these considerations to the Chancellery.

According to the Finance Ministry, there are legal questions surrounding these ways of closing the funding gap.

After last year’s catastrophic constitutional court ruling that threw Germany’s spending plans into disarray resulting in a €60 billion shortfall, the government will be keen to avoid any other potential budget disasters. 

What happens next?

The Finance Ministry is due to submit the draft budget for 2025 to the Bundestag by August 16th where it will be reviewed and voted on. This is still set to happen.

But the coalition partners may have to take some time out from their vacation to think about whether they are on the right track to plugging the €17 billion funding hole. 

“If the three gentlemen need to talk to each other, they can do so at any time, and of course they are in constant dialogue,” government spokesman Wolfgang Büchner said when asked by broadcaster Tagesschau on whether debates are expected during the summer break. 

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