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French elections: Deadline for candidates to drop out in order to block far-right

Candidates in France face a Tuesday deadline to register for the run-off round of a high-stakes parliamentary election, as President Emmanuel Macron's centrist camp and the left-wing alliance scrambled to prevent the far right from taking power.

Published: 2 July 2024 10:55 CEST
Updated: 2 July 2024 16:08 CEST

French elections: Deadline for candidates to drop out in order to block far-right

France's Prime Minister Gabriel Attal giving a speech after the announcement of the results of the first round of French parliamentary elections. Photo by Ludovic MARIN / AFP

On Sunday, French people go to polls for the decisive final round of the snap election Macron called after his camp received a drubbing in European elections last month.

His gamble appears to have backfired, with the far-right Rassemblement National (RN) of Marine Le Pen scoring a victory in the first round of voting last Sunday.

Macron’s centrists trailed in third place behind the left-wing Nouveau Front Populaire (NFP) alliance.

Listen to the team from The Local discussing all the election latest on the Talking France podcast. Download here or listen on the link below

Faced with the prospect of the far right taking power in France for the first time since the country’s occupation by Nazi Germany during World War II, Macron’s camp has begun cooperating with the NFP.

The rivals are hoping that tactical voting will prevent the RN winning the 289 seats needed for an absolute majority – especially in the ‘triangulaires‘ or three-way second round contests.

Candidates have the right to withdraw between the rounds and in constituencies that face a three-way run-off between candidates are the far-right, the centre and the left the third-placed candidate is being urged to drop out in order to avod splitting the anti far-right vote.

The deadline to decide whether to stand down is 6pm on Tuesday. According to a provisional count by AFP, at least 200 left-wing or centrist candidates have already dropped out.

Although NPF leaders immediately said that they would withdraw candidates, the Macron camp said only that withdrawals would be made on a ‘case by case’ basis.

Speaking to broadcaster TF1 on Monday evening, Prime Minister Gabriel Attal once again urged voters not to give the far-right an absolute majority.

“That would be catastrophic for the French,” he said, adding that the far-right would fuel divisions in society.

Third-place candidates who qualified for the second round have been urged to drop out to present a united front against the far right.

Meanwhile an RN candidate has withdrawn from the race after photos surfaced of her wearing a Nazi cap. Ludivine Daoudi on Sunday came third in her district in the northwestern area of Calvados, but a photo of her allegedly wearing a cap from the Luftwaffe air force of Nazi Germany sparked controversy online.

“Only a strong republican front, uniting the left, centre and conservatives, can keep the far right at bay and prevent France from tipping over,” daily Le Monde said in an editorial.

Le Pen has urged voters to give the RN an absolute majority, which would see Jordan Bardella, the 28-year-old RN chief with no governing experience, become prime minister.

But most projections show the RN falling short of an absolute majority – although the final outcome remains far from certain.

The RN garnered 33 percent of the vote last Sunday, compared to 28 percent for the NFP alliance and just over 20 percent for Macron’s camp.

Speaking on television on Monday night, Bardella derided efforts by Macron’s camp and the left-wing coalition to put up a united front, suggesting that the “dishonourable” alliance had been formed out of desperation.

He accused the French president of coming “to the rescue of a violent extreme-left movement” he himself had denounced just days ago.

Macron convened a cabinet meeting Monday to decide a further course of action.

“Let’s not be mistaken. It’s the far right that’s on its way to the highest office, no one else,” he said at the meeting, according to one participant.

The emotion was palpable, with several ministers dropping out of the race.

“We’ve known happier meetings,” one minister told Le Monde.

France’s Euro 2024 star Jules Kounde was the latest football player to call on voters to block the far-right.

“Obviously I was disappointed to see the direction our country is taking with a big level of support for a party that is against our values of unity and respect, and that wants to divide the French people,” said Kounde, the 25-year-old Barcelona defender.

“Nothing is decided yet, and I think it will be important to block the far right and the RN,” he added, after France beat Belgium 1-0 in Duesseldorf to reach the Euro 2024 quarter-finals.

OPINION: The best France can hope for now is 12 months of chaos

Analysts say the most likely outcome of the snap election is a hung parliament that could lead to months of political paralysis and chaos.

With a total of 76 candidates elected outright in the first round, the final composition of the 577-seat National Assembly will be clear only after the second round.

If the RN takes an absolute majority and Bardella becomes prime minister, this would create a tense period of “cohabitation” with Macron, who has vowed to serve out his term until 2027.

The election results fuelled fresh criticism of Macron’s decision to call the vote in the first place, a move he took with only a tight circle of advisors.

The chaos risks damaging the international credibility of Macron, who is set to attend a NATO summit in Washington immediately after the vote.

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Ask the experts: How far-right is France's Rassemblement National?

Co-founded by a former member of the SS and led for decades by a man who described the Holocaust as “a detail of history”, few people would dispute that France’s Rassemblement National (formerly Front National) began life as an extremist far-right party.

These days its focus is on winning elections, senior members condemn overt racism and its leader is a smartly-suited young Frenchman with Italian and Algerian roots – but has the party really changed at all?

Rassemblement National’s 2024 policies

One of the reasons that it can be hard to pin down what the party stands for is the vagueness of its policies – its manifesto is short on detail and party leaders frequently change their minds or contradict themselves when journalists ask them to define their exact plans for France.

Follow the latest French election coverage HERE, and listen to the team at The Local discussing the latest developments on the Talking France podcast. Download here or listen on the link below

In their manifesto, lines about putting street harassers on the sex offenders’ register and recognising endometriosis as a chronic health condition appear beside targets to drastically cut immigration, limit welfare payments to foreigners and introduce a ‘national priority’, which would favour of French citizens when it comes to jobs, housing and benefits, ignoring EU rules on the matter.

Mujtaba Rahman, Managing Director for Europe at Eurasia Group, told The Local that to understand the RN, you must “look at the totality of things that they are committed to”.

“You have to look at what they said in 2022, in their EU programme and now in this slightly revised programme (for the 2024 parliamentary elections). The totality of commitments that they are talking about would put them in on a collision course with Emmanuel Macron, the EU, the financial markets and the French Constitution.

“It is very naïve to believe that simply because they want to pursue power they would jettison all of the fundamental elements of their electoral programme.”

According to Rim-Sarah Alouane, a human rights researcher, French legal scholar and PhD candidate at the University of Toulouse, “[Rassemblement National] is still on the extreme right of the political spectrum.”

“The RN has gone through a facelift. They look more social – tackling issues that have traditionally been tackled by the left and mainstream parties.

“But the soul is still rotten. It is still a xenophobic, anti-Semitic, anti-woman party, except you have to read between the lines now.”

According to Professor Emile Chabal, a Reader in history at the University of Edinburgh and author of the book France, “The party’s DNA is still there, but it is less audible. There is still a core interest in immigration.

“When all else fails RN can always say something about immigration or foreigners, but now they are asked about more topics, so they have less time to talk about immigration.

“They’ve more or less coalesced into a protectionist, nationalist, anti-immigration party that is trying to be respectable within the standard parameters of French politics, but they are building on the rich tradition of the French far-right that goes back even to the revolution.”

From Front National to Rassemblement National

What was then Front National began under the leadership of Marine Le Pen’s father, Jean-Marie Le Pen, the former street brawler, who notably called the Nazi gas chambers a “detail history”.

Chabal said: “The Front National began in 1972 as a motley group of activists trying to form a new political movement, and it involved people nostalgic for Pétain [the head of the Nazi collaborationist regime in France during WWII], French Algeria, former sympathisers with the Nazi regime, and to some extent ultra-right Catholics, though they did not have a very prominent role.”

In those days it was largely an activist group rather than a serious political party, but it gradually moved into the party political sphere and its first big milestone was in the 2002 presidential election when – to the shock of the country – Jean-Marie Le Pen made it to the second round of the election, before being sounded defeated by Jacques Chirac.

But for many, the pivotal moment was in 2012 when Jean-Marie’s daughter Marine took over the leadership, and shortly afterwards renamed the party Rassemblement National (national rally).

“She is a career politician and she is interested in the conquest of power. She thinks about how to make the party work as an electoral force,” Chabal noted.

Her strategy was known as ‘dédiabolisation’ or detoxifying the image of the party – for example through censuring party candidates who make openly racist statements. She also publicly broke with her father over his anti-Semitic remarks, which she judged an impediment to the party’s electoral success.

In both 2017 and 2022, Le Pen made her way into the second round of the French presidential elections – both times being defeated by Emmanuel Macron.

The RN within French politics

But has the party really changed? Or only changed its presentation and image?

Marta Lorimer, lecturer in politics at Cardiff university and researcher of the far right, told The Local: “There are some ways that the RN has changed since 1972. It has moderated in some areas. For example, it no longer defends the death penalty and has become a little more accepting of homosexuality.

“But in terms of its proper ideological core, its position on French identity, that has not changed. Those have been consistent over time. There has been a moderation in how the party communicates, but not in the nature of its ideas.”

Chabal said: “There are three broad tendencies of the far-right in France.

“The first strand is ultra-right conservative Catholicism, which has a very long pedigree going back to French revolution.

“Key tenants include very conservative positions on society and culture, as well as very critical aggressive position toward other religious minorities, such as Muslims and Jews. This tendency had its moment in the sun in 2013 during the anti-gay marriage protests (Manif pour tous).

“It’s noteworthy that the Front National as a party, under Marine Le Pen, did not take part. Individual activists may have, but not the party as a whole. Social issues are almost entirely absent in Le Pen’s policy focus.”

“Then there is the second tendency which you might call ‘the civilisational far right’ – this view sees France, and the west, as declining, but declining because of Arabs, Muslims or the Left. Éric Zemmour has been the vehicle for that.

“The RN represents a third trend in the far right, something you might call ‘protectionist and nationalist’.

“All three strands of the far right share a dislike of foreigners and other religions, but they express that in different ways. In terms of the RN, they are all about protecting French workers.

“That is partly a result of people who vote for the party – the main demographic is people aged 25-40 who live outside of or close to the main cities, who usually have families, who might own a car, who are in employment, but in poorly paid jobs. They resent people who don’t work and they resent immigrants who they see as being on benefits.

“They are looking for social protection, and they are looking for the state to do more… to bring back their local GP practice, to develop the roads, to increase pensions that sort of thing, and they are hostile to environmental policies, because they see those as being very expensive.”

In comparison to Europe

Within Europe, the far right has become a strong force in several countries – so how does RN compare to movements in countries like Italy, Poland, Germany and the UK?

Marta Lorimer, said that when compared to other European far-right parties, “RN shares an ideological core with them in that it is a party that is nativist, authoritarian (in certain respects), and populist as well.”

“Its economic policy is more on a state-focused bent when compared to other more ‘liberal’ (in an economic sense) oriented parties.”

Chabal echoed Lorimer’s analysis: “In France, what is unusual is how the RN is anchored with working people.

“In Poland, the far right is ultra conservative Catholic. The emphasis is on values and issues like reproductive rights. In Italy, Meloni’s party is a bit like Le Pen in terms of trying to appear acceptable, but they have more clearly liberal economic policies,” he said.

As for similarity with the RN and the far-right in the UK, Chabal said “some people who voted for Brexit did so in the hopes that this would help the UK to build and protect its own workers, but if you look at a figure like Nigel Farage, he is more like Zemmour than Le Pen.”

Meanwhile, Rahman said that the Rassemblement National’s place on the political spectrum can be visible simply based on where it sits in the EU parliament.

“The RN group (Identity and Democracy) sits further to the right than Meloni’s ECR party – Meloni’s party is willing to work with Von der Leyen on bits of her agenda. They are willing to be constructive and support elements of Von der Leyen’s mandate.

“But the group where Le Pen sits and where her party may sit – because there is an ongoing discussion about the formation of the new political group that would sit further to the political right – their goal is not to be constructive. Their goal is to hollow out the European Union, to work against the institutions.

“This isn’t a more palatable version of Meloni. It is an ideology that stands in opposition to everything the European Union represents,” Rahman said.

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