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POLITICS

What’s been added to Norway’s revised national budget?

Norway's government has tweaked its revised budget to get support from the Socialist Left Party for a parliamentary majority. From cheaper dental bills to increased child support, here's what you need to know.

Pictured is Norway's parliament.
Norway has agreed on a revised national budget with the Socialist Left Party. Pictured is Norway's parliament. Photo by AFP / Jonathan Nackstrand.

Norway will tap its oil fund for 1.2 billion kroner in extra funding, in addition to the public spending announced when the revised budget for 2024 was unveiled earlier in the spring.

The country’s minority government, comprised of the Labour Party and Centre Party, has turned to the Socialist Left Party to secure a majority for its budgets.
During the negotiations to secure support, new policies are typically put forward by the Socialist Left Party.

The budget was agreed on Monday and will pass through parliament before summer recess.

“It has been crucial for us that the revised national budget should give people throughout Norway a better everyday economy, ensure safety and predictability for people and business,” fiscal spokesperson Ole André Myhrvold from the Center Party said.

Families will see child benefits increased for all children over six. This support will increase 256 kroner a month or 3,072 kroner per year. Once the budget has gone through parliament, payments will be increased from September 1st.

Younger people will also benefit from cheaper dental bills. The cost of dentistry will be heavily subsidised, 75 percent for 25-and-26-year-olds.

More student accommodation would also be built. Student organisations have warned recently that too many pupils at universities have been forced into the private rental market.

The country’s state housing bank would also receive more money, tenants’ rights would be strengthened, and housing support would be increased. The parties have said that a housing package will help get more people onto the property ladder.

READ ALSO: Everything you need to know about the Norwegian State Housing Bank

Significant investment will be made in offshore wind. The parties have promised to invest at least 35 billion kroner in offshore wind. The money will be used to finance and develop 5-10 TWh of energy. The oil industry will have taxes increased to pay for the investment in wind farms.

Several opposition parties have praised the budget for increasing child support. However, the main opposition party, The Conservative Party, was critical of the use of oil money.

“Despite the fact that the government and Socialist Left Party have turned the revised national budget into a completely new state budget, there are no proposals to give Norway more to live on after oil,” the Conservative’s fiscal policy spokesperson Tina Bru has said.

“The use of oil money is increasing, and taxes are still at a record high level. This is not a budget for the future,” she added.

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ECONOMY

Why Norway is now unlikely to cut interest rates before 2025

In a change from earlier plans, Norway's central bank announced Thursday that it was unlikely to cut interest rates before 2025.

Why Norway is now unlikely to cut interest rates before 2025

The current key policy rate of 4.5 percent will likely remain unchanged for the rest of the year, Norges Bank announced on Thursday.

“If things go as we now believe, the key interest rate will remain at 4.5 percent for the rest of the year, before it is gradually reduced,” Ida Wolden Bache, governor of the central bank, said.

The key policy rate was last raised at the end of last year and was the 14th interest rate increase since the autumn of 2021.

When the central bank last presented its forecast and expectations for the key policy rates in March, it said it would lower rates during the second half of the year – most likely in September.

Therefore, consumers in Norway can no longer expect their loan or mortgage repayments to become cheaper in 2024. In recent months, many economists had predicted the central bank would delay implementing cuts until the end of 2024.

One of Norway’s largest banks, DNB, and the country’s national data agency, Statistics Norway, forecast interest rate cuts to arrive in December.

The bank had been using cuts to prevent the economy from overheating and curb inflation. While inflation has fallen slightly below expectations, factors like high wage growth and a stronger-than-expected economy have influenced the bank’s decision.

“The committee’s assessment is that the interest rate is high enough to bring price growth down to the target within a reasonable time, but that there will be a need to keep the interest rate up somewhat longer than previously estimated,” the bank said in its explanation.

Chief economist at Sparebank 1 Gruppen, Elisabeth Holvik, told the Norwegian newswire NTB that the bank had also held off cutting interest rates to prevent the Norwegian krone from weakening any further.

Wolden Bache said that the weak krone had contributed to inflation.

“The devaluation of the krone that we have behind us still contributes to keeping price growth up,” she said.

The central bank’s governor also kept the door open to an interest rate increase if required.

Kyrre Knudsen, chief economist at Sparebank 1 SR-Bank, told NRK that the positive is that once the bank implements cuts, interest cuts will be made up to 2027.

“There were probably some who had feared that there could be talk of a somewhat higher interest rate. It is positive news that they are signalling a good number of interest rate cuts, both next year and up to 2027,” he said.

He also said that a stronger krone exchange rate could bring cuts forward.

“If the krone exchange rate strengthens a lot in the future, Norges Bank will also be able to come up with earlier interest rate cuts than what they are currently envisioning,” he said.

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