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‘Flabbergasted and frightened’: Macron’s French election gamble leaves readers worried

As France prepares to vote in snap elections at the end of June, readers of The Local have voiced their concerns about the vote, as well as the possible ramifications for foreigners in France.

'Flabbergasted and frightened': Macron's French election gamble leaves readers worried
A voter casts their ballot for the European Parliament election at a polling station in Dumbea, France's Pacific territory of New Caledonia on June 9, 2024. (Photo by Theo Rouby / AFP)

France will head back to the polls at the end of this month for snap parliamentary elections – called by French President Emmanuel Macron on Sunday in the wake of his party’s humiliating European election defeat at the hands of Marine Le Pen’s far-right Rassemblement National (RN).

Voting in the election is only possible for French citizens, so many foreigners in France will have no say – and yet any change in government could have a big impact on their lives, especially any changes to the immigration system, which is a key priority for the RN.

READ MORE: What would a victory for Le Pen’s far-right party mean for France?

The Local reached out to readers to hear their thoughts on Macron’s unexpected decision.

Fear for the future

Multiple readers told The Local they were fearful, particularly about the possibility of the far right gaining ground in France.

An anonymous respondent wrote “I’m worried about France’s turn to the right”, and another said they were “worried Macron has enabled the return of fascism” and “concerned about the far right winning.”

One reader described their feelings as “Terrified! Alarmed and nervous that the far right will get in. That they will put their lot into Europe”, while another stated that their primary concern was “becoming unwelcome” in France.

“[The election] is a huge risk, with potentially monumental impacts on French both society and social programmes,” another respondent, Eric, said.

He added that his worry was “rise of nationalism and far right extremism has global implications beyond France.”

Morgane told The Local: “I’m a trans woman and I am truly afraid for my rights should the RN win enough seats in the Assemblée Nationale to have influence over the legislative process; I’ve seen what happened in the UK because of the Tories!”

READ MORE: Election news: 5-minute guide to the latest on France’s snap elections

Parallels with Brexit and the UK

She is not the only reader to have likened the political situation in France to that of the UK, several others was parallels with Brexit.

“I moved to France on account of Brexit because I didn’t like the right wing vibe. So it is alarming to think I may have come somewhere with far more serious political issues with right wing thinking,” one reader said.

Robert Wiggins told The Local: “I expect the RN and its allies will win, that will make the remainder of Macron’s term as President pretty difficult.

“My only other concern is that a victory for the far right will be seen as a green light for more overt racism towards immigrants and people of colour (much as the Brexit vote greenlighted this behaviour in the UK),” he said.

Another reader said: “The lies, racism and xenophobia of the far right become mainstream views and no one is able to counter them. Shades of the UK when the Brexit vote was driven on the back of opportunism, Nigel Farage’s scare tactics and a complacent David Cameron.”

Retirement plans

With mounting concerns about the growth of the far right, some respondents said the upcoming elections have left them wondering about how their lives in France will be affected.

One reader, Dini Martini, said “[this] puts a big question mark on whether to retire to France next year.”

While another reader was curious about “the potential impact on non-national second homeowners.”

Confusion around the ‘gamble’

As for the president’s choice to call snap elections in the first place, several readers were incredulous. 

Morgane said she was “flabbergasted”.

“I honestly expected the Rassemblement National to win the French part of the EU parliament elections (given the polls, but also given the growing anger in the country); but seeing our president react to this result by calling for snap parliamentary elections, with the real and quasi-immediate possibility of a far-right government coming into power after it, feels like a stab in the back,” she wrote.

Four readers called the decision a ‘gamble’.

Nick Dawson told The Local “Macron is taking a calculated gamble and believes that the FN will lose. He currently has a weak parliament and hopes to strengthen it. He could, of course, lose this gamble but it is unlikely.”

READ MORE: The 3 reasons that French presidents leave office early

While Robert Wiggins said “[calling new elections] was a foolish thing to do. Gambles like this have not paid off for any government in the recent past.”

As for Macron himself, he acknowledged the risks in his initial speech after announcing new elections.

“This decision is serious and heavy but it is an act of confidence. Confidence in you, dear compatriots, and in the capacity of the French people to make the best choice for itself and future generations,” the president said on Sunday.

Support for new elections

However, there were still some readers who did not find the situation to be concerning, including one anonymous reader who said the call for elections was not concerning, but rather an example of democracy.

Seb Rocco told The Local: “The French are left-leaning at heart. They always complain about their lot, but won’t let the right wing in.”

He said he was not worried, adding: “France is still a socialist country at heart. They just don’t realise it!”

Liz Watkins-Young told The Local: “Macron was right to call [the elections].” She said she was “not worried, but frustrated that the French centrist right and left parties seem incapable of creating a realistic alternative to the current Macron/Le Pen impasse.”

As for reader Kathy Gallagher, she said “Macron is challenging the French to step up to demonstrate republican values. The French will do that and RN will take a beating. Macron might be too egotistical, but he knows his people well.”

And finally Jim Lockard, told The Local: “President Macron is clearly taking a risk and the people of France get to speak.”

“I cannot vote in these elections, but I trust that the French people will not entrust significant power to the far right.”

Member comments

  1. My personal concern is as a withdrawal agreement resident, married to a French woman, in my late 70s, my French workable but far from excellent. With the FN in power, what might happen that I can’t control?

  2. Non EU second home owners may start to feel nervous and rightly so. Making move or stay decisions will be possible once the majority of people have spoken through the result of snap elections.

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ELECTIONS

Will Macron resign in case of a French election disaster?

The polling is not looking good for president Emmanuel Macron's party in the snap elections that he called just two weeks ago. So will he resign if it all goes wrong?

Will Macron resign in case of a French election disaster?

On Sunday, June 9th, the French president stunned Europe when he called snap parliamentary elections in France, in the wake of humiliating results for his centrist group in the European elections.

The French president has the power to dissolve parliament and call fresh elections – but this power is rarely used and in recent decades French parliaments have run on fixed terms. Very few people predicted Macron’s move.

But polling for the fresh elections (held over two rounds on June 30th and July 7th) is looking very bad for the president’s centrist Renaissance party – currently trailing third behind Marine Le Pen’s far-right Rassemblement National and the combined leftist group Nouveau Front Populaire.

Listen to the team from The Local discussing all the election latest in the new episode of the Talking France podcast. Download here or listen on the link below

The election was a gamble for Macron – but if his gamble fails will he resign?

What does the law and the constitution say?

Legally, Macron does not need to resign. In France the presidential and the parliamentary elections are separate – Macron himself was re-elected in 2022 with a five-year mandate (until May 2027).

His party failing to gain a parliamentary majority does not change that – in fact the centrists failed to gain a overall majority in the 2022 parliamentary elections too (although they remained the largest party). Since then, the government has limped on, managing to pass some legislation by using constitutional powers.

The constitution also offers no compulsion or even a suggestion that the president should resign if he fails to form a government.

In fact the current constitution (France has had five) gives a significant amount of power to the president at the expense of parliament – the president has the power to dissolve parliament (as Macron has demonstrated), to set policy on areas including defence and diplomacy and to bypass parliament entirely and force through legislation (through the tool known as Article 49.3). 

In fact there are only three reasons in the constitution that a president would finish their term of office early; resigning, dying in office or being the subject of impeachment proceedings.

Since 1958, only one president has resigned – Charles de Gaulle quit in 1969 after the failure of a referendum that he had backed. He died 18 months later, at the age of 79.  

OK, but is he likely to resign?

He says not. In an open letter to the French people published over the weekend, Macron wrote: “You can trust me to act until May 2027 as your president, protector at every moment of our republic, our values, respectful of pluralism and your choices, at your service and that of the nation.”

He insisted that the coming vote was “neither a presidential election, nor a vote of confidence in the president of the republic” but a response to “a single question: who should govern France?”

So it looks likely that Macron will stay put.

And he wouldn’t be the first French president to continue in office despite his party having failed to win a parliamentary majority – presidents François Mitterand and Jacques Chirac both served part of their term in office in a ‘cohabitation‘ – the term for when the president is forced to appoint an opposition politician as prime minister.

But should he resign?

The choice to call the snap elections was Macron’s decision, it seems he took the decision after discussing it just a few close advisers and it surprised and/or infuriated even senior people in his own party.

If the poll leads to political chaos then, many will blame Macron personally and there will be many people calling for his resignation (although that’s hardly new – Macron démission has been a regular cry from political opponents over the last seven years as he enacted policies that they didn’t like).

Regardless of the morality of dealing with the fallout of your own errors, there is also the practicality – if current polling is to be believed, none of the parties are set to achieve an overall majority and the likely result with be an extremely protracted and messy stalemate with unstable governments, fragile coalitions and caretaker prime ministers. It might make sense to have some stability at the top, even if that figure is extremely personally unpopular.

He may leave the country immediately after the result of the second round, however. Washington is hosting a NATO summit on July 9th-11th and a French president would normally attend that as a representative of a key NATO member. 

You can follow all the latest election news HERE or sign up to receive by email our bi-weekly election breakdown

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