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POLITICS

A fight for the youth vote: Are German politicians social media savvy enough?

Germany's far-right AfD party has been particularly savvy at appealing to a young audience on TikTok and social media. Other parties want to follow suit, but can they share the success in reaching youth voters online?

Karl Lauterbach holding his phone
Federal Minister of Health Karl Lauterbach (SPD) holds up his phone. Lauterbach has said he intends to join TikTok. Photo: picture alliance/dpa/dpa-Pool | Rolf Vennenbernd

On social media the AfD party has significantly more reach than Germany’s other political parties, suggesting that the alt-right party may have an outsized influence on young voters.

Findings from recent media analysis research published by ZDF Huete confirmed that AfD is significantly more successful than the other major parties on TikTok and Youtube, the two top social media outlets used by young people.

For example, TikTok videos posted by the AfD’s official channel reached an average of 430,000 impressions per video between January 2022 and December 2023. 

In comparison, Germany’s other leading parties weren’t even close. The runner-up party was the FDP, with only about 53,000 impressions per video. The remaining parties had even less reach on the app. 

With TikTok being used by about 22 million Germans, the AfD’s considerable influence on the app is not to be taken lightly.

Could TikTok content influence European politics?

Ahead of European elections this summer, there is reason for concern that the AfD’s ability to reach young voters on social media could give the party an advantage. European citizens aged 16 or older are able to vote in the European elections in June.

According to research published by Springer, a quarter of people aged 13 to 24 now use social media as their main source of news.

In the past, the AfD did not poll well among young voters. The party’s efforts to communicate on TikTok can perhaps be seen as an effort to change that.

Maximilian Krah, the AfD’s top candidate in the European elections, has been particularly successful at reaching hundreds of thousands of people on the app. 

Krah demonstrates an understanding of the kind of videos that tend to spread on the platform – his videos are short, and quickly edited.

In one video that gained 1.4 million views he begins by suggesting that one in three young men has never had a girlfriend, and then ends with: “Don’t let anyone tell you that you have to be nice…Real men are right-wing.”

READ ALSO: Bremen’s state government wants to push for an AfD party ban

That is far from Krah’s most polarising content. In fact, some of his messages were so radical that TikTok cut his reach in March 2024 and took down some of his videos.

But such moderation tactics have a limited effect on an app built on users’ ability to instantly repost and reply to other videos. While Krah was partially muted on the app, sound-bites and reposts of his content continued to spread.

Why has the AfD seen success on TikTok?

It’s long been understood that by promoting content that generates the most views, comments and shares, the algorithms used by social media platforms have a tendency to amplify controversial and extreme views – like populist ideas.  

Political scientist Julian Hohner, who wrote his doctoral thesis on radicalisation on the Internet, told Tagesschau, “The latest studies show that the AfD or right-wing parties from Europe use the platform much more effectively and successfully than centrist politicians.” 

Additionally, the AfD gained a significant head start by getting on the platform early on.

Hohner suggests that parties on the political fringes have often been “early adopters” of new technologies. In the recent past this was also the case with YouTube and Telegram.

Germany’s more centrist parties struggle to catch up 

Until recently, Germany’s centrist parties relied on tried-and-tested digital channels. But it seems that, due to the AfD’s success on the app, other politicians are waking up to the fact that the platform has become a valuable communication tool.

In response to right-wing ideologies spreading on the app, some political activists and organisations have tried to introduce the hashtag #ReclaimTikTok. German face of the Fridays For Future movement, Luisa Neubauer has joined in using the hashtag, for example.

For his part, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz opened a TikTok account on Monday, with a promise that he would not be caught dancing on the app. The Chancellor gained a bit of social media street cred last year for embracing a pirate aesthetic after a minor accident caused him to wear an eye-patch for several days.

Health Minister Karl Lauterbach also said in an interview last Thursday that he aims to be on TikTok going forward. “I want to explain to young people what we actually do – in a language they understand,” the Health Minister  told T-Online.

READ ALSO: German literature finds unlikely social media partner in TikTok

Can Germany’s leaders really connect with the online world?

Still, starting a social media account and using social media effectively are two different things. There are plenty of examples of cringe-worthy content published by German political parties that could make one wonder if senior politicians jumping on TikTok is really a good idea.

For example, to celebrate the inclusion of the wolf in a state hunting law, the Mecklenburg-Western Pommerania chapter of the CDU recently posted a video on Instagram of two Members of Parliament dressed up as the Big Bad Wolf and Little Red Riding Hood. 

“Now I don’t need to eat you anymore, but I can lick you way better,” CDU MP Thomas Diener says in the video. A write-up in TZ noted that a top comment on the video read, “The C in CDU stands for Cringe”.

In 2021, a project called “CDU Connect” was created specifically to promote the party online with memes — such as a picture of Angela Merkel and other politicians wearing headphones with the caption, “Utz Utz, we provide the right beats & vibes in the cabinet.” A report by RND notes how well these memes were received by the younger internet audience: “The site is really the finest Boomer cringe,” read one comment that sums it up.

Around that same time the CDU’s youngest Member of Parliament, Philipp Amthor, organised a live-gaming event on Twitch. But the promotion backfired when young gamers ridiculed Amthor and the CDU severely during the event.

More recently, Germany’s Finance Minister attempted to gain a bit of social media street cred by tweeting, “Soo, Bubatz bald legal”, on X in response to the new cannabis legalisation bill passing. But the post was met with some mockery — both of the fact that no one really uses the word ‘bubatz’ anymore and of the fact that Lindner added a broccoli emoji to represent marijuana.

READ ALSO: German word of the day: Bubatz

Whether Germany’s leading traffic-light coalition parties can effectively reach young voters on TikTok remains to be seen. Hopefully, they’ll be smart enough to test their content on young voter focus groups before they hit publish.

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CLIMATE CRISIS

INTERVIEW: ‘Failed climate policies are fuelling far-right politics in Germany’

Alt-right political parties tend to oppose environmental protections, but is there a connection between their political success and climate policy failures? Author and thought-leader Sandrine Dixson-Declève explains why Germany may be having a ‘1930s moment’, and why the next elections are gravely important.

INTERVIEW: 'Failed climate policies are fuelling far-right politics in Germany'

It’s understood that far-right and populist political parties tend to either downplay the realities of climate change, or block progressive policies that would try to mitigate its impacts. But the link between failed climate policies and the recent rise of populist parties is rarely addressed.

Speaking as a panellist at the Green Tech Festival in Berlin on Thursday, climate policy thought-leader Sandrine Dixson-Declève voiced concern that poor climate and economic policies are fuelling the popularity of far-right politics in Germany and across Europe. 

Co-president of the Club of Rome, Dixson-Declève works to promote policies that she believes would help secure a sustainable future for humanity. Such policies are laid out in the book Earth for All: A Survival Guide for Humanity, that she co-authored.

The Local spoke with Sandrine Dixson-Declève about Germany’s climate policy failures, and why she thinks the upcoming European elections are of the utmost importance.

The shortcomings of Germany’s ‘Energiewende’ had serious political consequences

Having been a contributor and advisor to Germany’s Energiewende (energy transition), Dixson-Declève has followed German politics and environmental policy for years.

“I believe that one of the biggest mistakes was that we politicised energy policy in Germany from the outset,” she told The Local, adding, “Merkel actually accepted the big green push to pull out of nuclear, which actually created a big mess.”

Germany’s anti-nuclear energy movement dates back to the 19070s, and led to the foundation of the Green party. Under Merkel’s leadership, a plan was adopted to phase out nuclear power with the last three nuclear power plants taken offline in 2023.

But losing nuclear power as an energy source came with some serious consequences.

“The first big mess was the continued burning of coal,” Dixson-Declève explained. “The second big mess was Nord Stream 2, and that led to the invasion of Ukraine…because it gave Putin power.”

Still, she wouldn’t suggest that Germany try to revive its nuclear power now: “I believe that Germany needs to really think through the next steps.”

READ ALSO: ‘Nuclear power is a dead horse in Germany’: Scholz rejects reopening plants 

Protestors run past riot police

A wave of protestors break through police lines at Lützerath. Open pit coal mining in west Germany destroyed most of the Hambach Forest, as well as dozens of villages such as Lützerath. At both sites massive citizen protests were met with brutal police evictions. Photo by Paul Krantz.

Energy efficiency is the missing piece to Germany’s climate plans

How to build up renewable energy infrastructure is at the centre of most discourse around curbing fossil fuel use, but using the energy we have more efficiently arguably deserves more immediate attention.

“The other missing link, which no one talks about, is energy efficiency,” Dixson-Declève said. “Actually the best energy is the energy you don’t use. That is unsexy, and that is why energy efficiency hasn’t been taken up the way it should have been since 2010.”

While working on climate and energy plans in 2010, she says she came across a study that said Europe could wean itself off of Russian gas just by putting energy efficiency requirements in place for buildings.

In 2022 the European Commission finally began to take this idea seriously when Germany and Europe suddenly needed to replace Russian gas imports, following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

Another massive energy saver that has been politicised for all the wrong reasons in Germany is heat pumps.

According to Eurostat data, about half of all energy consumed in the EU is used for heating and cooling, and most of that energy comes from fossil fuels. Heat pumps are significantly more efficient than boilers and allow for greater use of renewable energy sources.

But when Economy Minister Robert Habeck led an effort to promote heat pumps by banning new fossil-powered heating systems, conservative and far-right parties jumped on the issue as if it were an attack on personal freedoms. 

“As environmentalists, we need to get better at translating the environmental narrative into something that resonates with people,” said Dixson-Declève. 

READ ALSO: Reader question – How do I install a heat pump in my German property?

A unified coalition government that is serious about climate protections might have better communicated to people that heat pumps would ultimately save them money: “They should have been enabled in a way that truly assisted people in getting the heat that they needed in an affordable way at the right time.”

‘I am very scared we are in a 1930s moment’

Whereas the coalition government has largely failed to communicate to voters how environmental policies will improve their lives and save them money, conservative and far-right parties have done extremely well at hijacking the narrative. 

The European People’s Party (EPP – the EU’s largest conservative party), for example, is particularly adept at using citizens’ economic concerns to block environmental policies.

Having analysed the EPP’s manifestos, Dixson-Declève notes that they acknowledge the need to mitigate climate change, but say that protections cannot cost. 

“I think the EPP has done a very good job both of putting in fear of the greens, [as if] they’re only going to think about green climate policies and not about social policies [whereas] we’re here to think about you.”

Sandrine Dixson-Declève with Earth for All

Sandrine Dixson-Declève holds up a copy of the book ‘Earth for All’ alongside two of the book’s co-authors. Photo: picture alliance/dpa | Wolfgang Kumm

Germany’s far-right parties tend to use similar messaging to try and convince voters that they will better improve the lives of citizens than the current coalition parties have. 

READ ALSO: Why are the far-right AfD doing so well in German polls?

Nearly 100 years ago, the National Socialist (Nazi) party succeeded in drumming up major support along similar lines.

Speaking as a panellist at Berlin’s Green Tech Festival, when asked how she thought European politicians were doing on climate issues, Dixson-Declève described them as deer in the headlights, adding, “I am very scared we are in a 1930s moment”.

“I think that in the 1930s we didn’t see Hitler coming, we didn’t read the tea leaves,” she told The Local, adding that in the present moment, “people are suffering. When people suffer, they look to anything, any message that’s going to make them feel like that next leader is going to help them.” 

She also suggests that we can’t count on the youth vote to save us, citing Argentina and Portugal as two places where young voters have actually pushed politics to the right recently.

READ ALSO: A fight for the youth vote: Are German politicians social media savvy enough?

“This is a tipping moment politically, and if we’re not careful, it could explode in our faces,” said Dixson-Declève. “We need to get as many people to vote this year [as possible]. It’s an absolutely fundamental vote, alongside the United States, in order to make sure that we don’t slide to the right across Europe.”

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