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SWEDEN AND UKRAINE

In cellars and minds, Swedes slowly prepare for possibility of war

Tinned food, a portable water filter and medicine: survival expert Harry Sepp shows his Stockholm neighbour the supplies she would need to get through the first days of a war.

In cellars and minds, Swedes slowly prepare for possibility of war
Survival expert Harry Sepp (L) shows his neighbour, Rebecca, the supplies she would need to get through the first days of a war. Photo: Jonathan NACKSTRAND/AFP.

“Everything you see here is something the state recommends everyone should have to manage on their own for at least 10 days,” Sepp, a pensioner who gave prepper courses for more than 20 years, explains.

On the cusp of the country’s NATO membership, and faced with an increasingly belligerent Russia, Sweden’s army chief Micael Byden alarmed many of his compatriots in January when he urged them to consider their own preparedness.

“Swedes have to mentally prepare for war,” he said.

Sepp tells AFP the remarks were “necessary”. “Remember the situation at the time of the pandemic,” he says, recalling supply shortages.

At his neighbour’s apartment, he insists on the need for a wind-up radio.

“Most important is the radio, because if you don’t get any information about what’s happening… you’ll wonder all the time how long this situation will go on.”

His neighbour Rebecca, a mother of three who didn’t want to give her last name, tries to take in his advice.

“You can prepare all that stuff but that doesn’t mean you will be mentally prepared for a war,” she says.

Sweden’s military has been boosting its preparedness since Russia’s 2014 annexation of Crimea.

The country reintroduced limited conscription in 2017, reopened a garrison on the Baltic Sea island of Gotland in 2018, and has massively increased defence spending after slashing it during the post-Cold War period. Most significantly, Sweden dropped two centuries of military non-alignment to join NATO.

Swedish authorities also reactivated the country’s so-called “total defence” — comprising civilian and military defence — in 2015, bolstering efforts further after Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine. Among other things, it appointed a minister of civil defence.

“The underpinning value is that everybody can contribute and has a duty to contribute” to the country’s defence, says Charlotte Petri Gornitzka, director of the Swedish Civil Contingencies Agency (MSB).

Water for three days

“If you are healthy, you are obliged to care for yourself for a week,” she says, noting that the state would help the weakest first.

The brochure “If Crisis or War Comes” was sent to 4.9 million households in 2018 and translated into 14 languages. It will be updated by the end of the year.

Sweden has not gone to war in more than two centuries, leaving the population so poorly prepared for the possibility that there is even a Swedish term for it: “fredsskadad”, or peace damaged.

For the generations born after the end of the Cold War, the prospect of conflict is entirely new.

As with its military defence, Sweden maintained its civil defence throughout the Cold War, but scaled both back after the break-up of the Soviet Union.

A poll commissioned by MSB after Byden’s remarks showed that a third of the 1,000 people surveyed were now more worried about the possibility of war, especially young people.

One in three also said they had begun to consider how to prepare at home. Home preparedness for war is however “a very long process to change”, says Herman Andersson, a researcher at the Swedish Defence Research Agency.

He cited a study he conducted which showed that more than half of Swedes only have enough drinking water at home for three days in case of a power outage, a level that remained unchanged between 2018 and 2022.

Martin Svennberg, a 52-year-old IT engineer, has been a “prepper” for five years. “We’ve been living in peace for so long that we have forgotten all the bad things with war,” he tells AFP.

He was “really happy that finally someone in politics dared to say that we could be in trouble”.

Small steps 

Svennberg contributes to a website about “prepping” and makes YouTube videos and podcasts, which have grown increasingly popular since Byden’s remarks.

“Taking the step to actually be prepared is huge,” he says.

Since the concept of war is daunting, he suggests people start by considering what they would need if their home were ravaged by fire.

“We call that a ‘personal apocalypse’ and that’s a good start to get prepared.”

Svennberg considers MSB’s recommendation to have enough food to last seven to 10 days insufficient.

“One week is a good start but I recommend one month or even three months of storage.”

“Take it in small steps. Every time you buy groceries, buy something extra,” he suggests.

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MILITARY

Swedish PM: Sending ground troops to Ukraine is ‘not on the cards’

Sweden, which is set to join Nato, said on Tuesday it did not currently envision sending ground troops into Ukraine.

Swedish PM: Sending ground troops to Ukraine is 'not on the cards'

“It’s not on the cards at all for the moment,” Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson told Swedish public broadcaster SVT, using the Swedish phrase det är inte aktuellt, the day after his country cleared the final obstacle to joining the transatlantic military alliance.

He was reacting to comments by French President Emmanuel Macron, who said on Monday that Western leaders should not rule out sending ground troops to help Ukraine defeat Russia’s invading forces.

“For the moment, we’re busy sending advanced (military) equipment to Ukraine,” Kristersson said.

Stockholm announced on February 20th it would give Ukraine defence aid worth 7.1 billion kronor ($682 million), including artillery shells, air defence, boats, mines, torpedoes, and training for Ukrainian soldiers.

Kyiv says it is critically short of weaponry to defend itself against Russia’s invasion, now in its third year.

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Kristersson said there was currently “no demand” from the Ukrainians for Western ground troops.

He said that individual Nato members had different attitudes to engaging in international affairs “and the French tradition isn’t the same as the Swedish one”.

Sweden contributes to international peacekeeping forces but has not engaged in combat since a war with Norway more than two centuries ago.

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on February 24th, 2022, prompted Sweden and neighbouring Finland to apply to join Nato, ending their longstanding stance of non-alignment.

On Monday, Sweden cleared its final obstacle to becoming Nato’s 32nd member after the parliament in Hungary ratified Stockholm’s bid to join – the last remaining Alliance country to do so.

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