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Overageing Spain: One in five people are now over 65

New research has revealed the degree to which the Spanish population is ‘overageing’, as well as dispelling the myth that the majority of the country's seniors live in so-called 'Empty Spain'.

Overageing Spain: One in five people are now over 65
Two in 10 people in Spain are over 65. Photo: Pixabay

Spain is now home to 10 million over 65s – which means two out of every 10 people in the country are of retirement age or older.

Even more surprising is the fact that there are more elderly people living in the two biggest cities of Madrid and Barcelona than there are in all small rural municipalities with dwindling populations.

These are the findings of a recent report by Spain’s Higher Centre for Scientific Research (CSIC), which shows that by 2040, over-65s may represent almost 30 percent of the population.

In Madrid and Barcelona, there are approximately one million elderly people; compared to the 765,446 who reside in the 6,000 rural municipalities of Spain.

Therefore, there are around 250,000 more elderly people in Barcelona and Madrid than in the sum of more than 5,000 municipalities with less than 2,000 inhabitants throughout the country.

While there may be more elderly people living in Spain’s two biggest cities than in villages that fall under the category of ‘Empty Spain’, it’s also true to say that people living in the countryside are likely to be older because of the exodus of young people from rural villages.

A total of 2.6 million people live in rural areas, which means that almost three out of every ten (28.4 percent) are over 65 years old.

By region, there are ten autonomous communities with an ageing rate higher than the national average.

Asturias comes in first place with 27.6 percent of people over 65. This is followed by Castilla y León (26.22 percent), the Basque Country (26.12 percent), Cantabria (23.07 percent), Aragón (22.09 percent), La Rioja (21.52 percent), Extremadura (21. 49 percent), Navarra (20.27 percent) and Valencia (19.97 percent).

READ ALSO: Older and more diverse – What Spain’s population will be like in 50 years

The research also highlights the dramatic increase in the number of octogenarians and centenarians in Spain – most of them women.

People aged 80 or over now represent 6 percent of the population. There are also almost 20,000 people aged one hundred or older in Spain – 1,600 more than last year.

“The rural world continues to depopulate and the extinction of the oldest generations will accelerate this depopulation process in the coming decades,” the report states, which also points out the “very low” proportions of children in rural areas, especially compared to larger towns.

Compared to other EU countries, Spain is the fourth country with the highest number of elderly people, only behind Germany, France, and Italy, but when it comes to the proportion of the population who are older, it comes in seventh place.

According to the Bank of Spain: “Population ageing is one of the greatest structural challenges facing the Spanish economy. Foremost among its multiple effects is its contractionary impact on labour supply, which will foreseeably have major implications on both the functioning of the labour market and the potential growth or sustainability of public finances”.

The report also highlights several projections for the future of Spain. It claims that there will be an estimated 14.2 million elderly people by 2040, which would represent 27.4 percent of the Spanish population which, by then, would be 52 million inhabitants (4.5 million more than now).

READ ALSO: Growing number of foreigners drives Spain’s population rise

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STATS

Spain’s population inches closer to 49 million with 900 new residents a day

Amid falling birth rates and an ageing society, foreigners are pushing the Spanish population to record highs.

Spain's population inches closer to 49 million with 900 new residents a day

The Spanish population increased by almost 1000 people per day to start off the year, spurred almost entirely by the arrival of migrants.

Spain’s population increased by 82,346 people during the first quarter of 2024, a rate of a little over 900 per day on average, meaning that the total population reached 48,692,804 on April 1st, the highest figure in history.

This is according to population data recently released by Spain’s National Statistics Institute (INE).

In annual terms, the total estimated population growth was 459,615 people in the last year, 0.95 percent overall, a slight slowdown after six consecutive quarters with inter-annual rates above 1 percent.

READ ALSO: Older and more diverse: What Spain’s population will be like in 50 years

These figures confirm the pre-existing trend that without the influx of immigrants, Spain’s population would be decreasing. This is largely due to the combination of an ageing population and declining birth rates. By 2035, around one in four (26.0 percent) of Spaniards are expected to be 65 or older. That figure is currently just 20.1 percent of the total population, and by 2050 it could rise to 30.4 percent.

This is compounded by the fact that fertility rate figures have all but flatlined in Spain. In 2023 Spain registered just 322,075 births, reflecting “a 2.0 percent fall on the previous year”, an INE statement said, with a spokesman confirming it was the lowest figure since records began in 1941.

Spain’s fertility rate is the second lowest in the European Union, with the latest figures from Eurostat showing there were 1.19 births per woman in 2021, compared with 1.13 in Malta and 1.25 in Italy.

A recent study by the Bank of Spain estimates that the country will need up to 25 million more immigrant workers by 2053 in order to combat demographic ageing and maintain the ratio of workers to pensioners in order to support the pension system.

READ ALSO:

During the first quarter of the year, the native Spanish population actually decreased by 3,338 while the foreign population increased by 85,684 people.

8,915,831 people, or 18.31 percent of the total population in Spain, were born in other countries.

The main nationalities of immigrants arriving in Spain were Colombian (39,200), Moroccan (26,000) and Venezuelan (22,600). In contrast, of those who left Spain in the first three months of the year, 10,000 were Spanish, 9,900 Moroccan and 8,000 Romanian.

On a regional level, in this period the population grew in 12 regions, as well as in the autonomous city of Melilla, and decreased in five regions and Ceuta.

The largest increases were in Madrid (+0.44 percent), Melilla (+0.40) and the Valencian Community (+0.36), while the population decreased in Aragón (-0.19 percent), Extremadura (-0.12), Castilla y León (-0.06 percent), Asturias (-0.05 percent), Cantabria (-0.03 percent) and Ceuta (0.02 percent).

With regards to year-on-year increases, population increased the most in the Valencian Community (+1.79 percent), Madrid (+1.72) and the Balearic Islands (+1.62) and only decreased in Extremadura, by 0.13 percent.

READ ALSO: Nearly half of Barcelona’s residents aged 20 to 39 are foreign

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