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ECONOMY

France in ‘close talks’ over debt rating

France is in "very close talks" with debt rating agency Standard and Poor's, Prime Minister Elisabeth Borne said Sunday, after a downgrade from rival Fitch reignited government finance concerns in the EU's second-largest economy.

France in 'close talks' over debt rating
French Prime Minister Elisabeth Borne answers journalists' questions in May 2023. Photo: Emmanuel DUNAND/AFP.

Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire had offered “detailed explanations to Standard and Poor’s of everything we’re doing to get our public finances under control” ahead of their rating decision in early June, Borne told Jewish community broadcaster Radio J.

Citing “relatively large fiscal deficits and only modest progress with fiscal consolidation,” Fitch last month downgraded France’s debt rating to AA-, several notches below the top AAA class awarded to countries including Germany and the Netherlands.

Such ratings help determine borrowing conditions when governments go to financial markets to raise money.

France’s debt hit almost 112 percent of annual output by the end of last year, driven by a “whatever-it-takes” response to the coronavirus crisis and generous support to households and firms through the energy price crunch provoked by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

“We’ve introduced reforms, we’ve recently revealed a path for government finances into 2027… reducing our deficit to 2.7 percent of GDP” from its present level closer to 5.0 percent, Borne said.

The finance ministry hopes controls on government spending combined with faster growth can bring overall debt levels down to 108 percent of GDP in the coming five years.

With less optimistic assumptions, Fitch last month forecast France’s debt-to-GDP ratio would in fact grow to more than 114 percent over the same period.

“We are acting to support our firms and economic growth, to support activity,” Borne told Radio J.

“We are not simple spectators waiting to see what economic conditions will be like,” she added.

In its April note, Fitch did praise a stronger labour market in France thanks to reforms introduced since President Emmanuel Macron took office in 2017, with historically stubborn unemployment now down to 7.1 percent.

Macron’s widely contested pension reform raising the retirement age to 64 — resulting in mass demonstrations and intense opposition in parliament — “could further support the labour market and possibly improve growth prospects in the medium to long term,” Fitch added at the time.

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POLITICS

France on alert for social media disinformation ahead of European polls

France has urged social media platforms to increase monitoring of disinformation online in the run-up to the European Parliament elections, a minister has said.

France on alert for social media disinformation ahead of European polls

Jean-Noel Barrot, minister for Europe at the foreign ministry, said two elements could possibly upset the poll on June 9: a high rate of abstentions and foreign interference.

His warning comes as French officials have repeatedly cautioned over the risk of disinformation — especially from Russia after its invasion of Ukraine — interfering with the polls.

To fight absenteeism, France is launching a vast media campaign to encourage its citizens to get out and vote.

As for disinformation, a new government agency mandated to detect disinformation called VIGINUM is on high alert, Barrot said.

The junior minister said he had urged the European Commission to help ensure social media platforms “require the greatest vigilance during the campaign period, the electoral silence period and on the day of the vote”.

He added he would be summoning representatives of top platforms in the coming days “so that they can present their action plan in France… to monitor and regulate” content.

VIGINUM head Marc-Antoine Brillant said disinformation had become common during elections.

“Since the mid-2010s, not a single major poll in a liberal democracy has been spared” attempts to manipulate results, he said.

“The year 2024 is a very particular one… with two major conflicts ongoing in Ukraine and Gaza which, by their nature, generate a huge amount of discussion and noise on social media” and with France hosting the Olympics from July, he said.

All this makes the European elections “particularly attractive for foreign actors and the manipulation of information,” he said.

Barrot mentioned the example of Slovakia, where September parliamentary elections were “gravely disturbed during the electoral silence period by the dissemination of a fake audio recording” targeting a pro-EU candidate.

A populist party that was critical of the European Union and NATO won and has since stopped military aid to Ukraine to fight off Russian forces.

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