SHARE
COPY LINK

MONEY

Cost of living: ‘Enormous’ increase in food prices in January in Sweden

Food prices are still on the increase in Sweden, at an even higher rate than at the end of 2022. Here's why.

Cost of living: 'Enormous' increase in food prices in January in Sweden
Producers don't negotiate categories for all types of food at the same time, which is why some items have seen a delay before going up in price. Photo: Fredrik Sandberg/TT

The increase in food prices in January was 1.4 percent – one of the largest increases reported since food prices started rising almost a year ago.

Some items saw “enormous” increases in January compared with December, Ulf Mazur, CEO and founder of independent comparison site Matpriskollen, told TT newswire.

“There’s no stopping it.”

In January, the price of groceries increased 1.3 percent on December, with the price of food specifically increasing by 1.4 percent. Food prices have now gone up 16.3 percent in the last 12 months.

“It was a bit calmer during the autumn in September, October and November, but now that price increases are back we’re seeing enormous increases,” Mazur said.

Items such as snacks, fish and shellfish, vegetables and bread are among those which have seen the greatest increases.

Some categories, such as beer, sweets and sugar, have previously not risen in price significantly. That has now changed, with these items also rising sharply in price last month.

Some examples highlighted by Mazur include one brand of frozen cod portions, which increased by 64.2 percent in January compared to December, one chain’s own-brand sugar cubes which went up by over 55 percent, and caster sugar which increased by 44 percent.

“With single items increasing by so much – it’s like a snowball, it never ends,” he said.

This time, Coop has hiked its prices the most of all the major supermarket chains, according to Matpriskollen’s analysis. 

“Coop was a bit lower when it came to price increases before, but they made up for that in January,” Mazur said.

“There’s such a cost pressure now.”

With production costs rising, food producers are negotiating price increases with supermarkets. However, not all categories are negotiated at the same time, which is one of the reasons some items haven’t gone up in price as fast as others.

In some cases, this delay can last for up to six months.

This is one of the reasons why Mazur expects to see continued price hikes during spring, even if inflation were to stop immediately.

“The rate of price increases will go down, but prices will continue to rise,” he said.

When production costs lessen, prices won’t start to go down again, rather they’ll stay still at the high level they are at now, he explained. Coffee, which recently dropped by around 10 kronor per kilo, is one exception.

“It shows there’s a will from producers to lower prices again when costs drop.”

Member comments

Log in here to leave a comment.
Become a Member to leave a comment.
For members

MONEY

EXPLAINED: What is a Swedish ISK account?

Sweden’s government has proposed scrapping tax on ISK accounts with a balance of 300,000 kronor or less - but what are these accounts and how do they work?

EXPLAINED: What is a Swedish ISK account?

What is an ISK?

ISKs, literally ‘investment savings accounts’ were introduced in 2012 as a way for people in Sweden to easily invest in shares and funds. An estimated 3.5 million people in Sweden have an ISK, with 75 percent of these accounts having a balance of 300,000 kronor or less.

How are they currently taxed?

They’re not subject to capital gains tax, but they are instead taxed at a fixed rate – known as schablonsskatt – an annual rate paid on the entire value of the sum held.

This differs from traditional AFs, where AF stands for aktie- och fondkonto or ‘share and fund account’, where any profits or losses on the sale of shares throughout the year must be declared individually in your yearly tax declaration.

If you have an ISK, you pay tax of 1.086 percent on your savings under current rules, which – to put it simply – means if you had 100,000 kronor invested you’d have a yearly ISK tax bill of 1,086 kronor, which you would pay whether your portfolio made a profit or not. Any figures needed for tax purposes are automatically added to your tax declaration by your bank, so there’s no need to do this yourself.

There’s a third type of investing savings account – a kapitalförsäkring or KF, which is an insurance product where shares, funds and other savings are held in your name by a bank or insurance company. A KF differs slightly from an ISK, but they are subject to the same amount of tax (although you might need to pay tax on a KF each quarter rather than each year). 

As a general rule, it makes financial sense to invest through an ISK or KF rather than another type of investment-based savings account if your yearly returns exceed the government loan rate – statslåneräntan – plus one percentage point. The government loan rate was raised to 2.62 percent at the end of 2023, meaning you should aim for your ISK or KF to have an average return of at least 3.62 percent.

In an AF, you pay 30 percent tax on any profit you make through sold shares in a tax year. If you make a loss, you pay nothing at all.

How do I open one?

Most consumer banks in Sweden, like Swedbank, SEB and Handelsbanken, offer ISKs and KFs, as well as specialist stockbrokers like Avanza or Nordnet, which are often significantly cheaper. 

It’s somewhat less convenient to have your savings in a separate place to your bank account, but this can also be a good thing if you’re the kind of person who is tempted to sell your shares or funds at the slightest sign of a downturn.

It’s relatively easy to set up an automatic investment each month from your salary account to an ISK, even if these are in different banks.

You can often open an ISK in minutes via mobile banking on your phone, although it’s a good idea to do your research first and compare fees between providers before you open one – small differences in fees can make a huge difference if you’ll be saving over an entire lifetime.

Having said that, it’s a good idea to be aware of specific rules in your home country, especially if you are still eligible to pay tax there.

In the US, for example, ISKs are very difficult to report to tax authorities, and you may be penalised for owning mutual funds over a certain amount – which is common both in ISKs and KFs.

How would the new proposal change things?

Under a new proposal, which has been co-authored by the government and the Sweden Democrats, tax on ISKs and KFs would be scrapped for any accounts where savings are less than 300,000 kronor. Currently, an ISK with 300,000 kronor saved would cost 3,258 kronor in tax in a calendar year, so it’s a sizeable saving for those with a balance above this amount.

SHOW COMMENTS