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Income inequality in Sweden higher than at any time in nearly 50 years

Income inequality in Sweden rose sharply in 2021, hitting the highest level since records began nearly 50 years ago, according to a report from the country's statistics agency.

Income inequality in Sweden higher than at any time in nearly 50 years
2021 was a good year for the owners of luxury villas like these ones in Danderyd, Stockholm. Photo: Fredrik Sandberg/TT

According to Statistics Sweden’s latest income report, Sweden’s Gini-coefficient rose from 0.31 in 2020 to 0.34 in 2021, overtaking the levels seen in the run-up to the 2007 global financial crisis, and higher than at time since the agency started tracking income inequality in 1975. The Gini coefficient starts at 0 for perfect equality and rises to 1 in the most unequal distribution of incomes possible.

“This means that incomes in Sweden have not been divided so unequally since at least 1975,” said Johan Lindberg, one of the statisticians behind the report, said in a press release

Here’s Statistics Sweden’s table showing the Gini-coefficient for economic standard, with the light blue line excluding capital gains, and the red excluding all gains from capital investments. 

The Gini coefficient for economic standard. Photo: Statistics Sweden

The sharp rise in income inequality in 2021 came mainly because the incomes of the top 10 percent of households in Sweden rose in 2021 by over 16 percent, compared to less than 4 percent for each of the bottom nine deciles of Swedish households. 

“The decile of the population with the highest incomes saw their incomes rise significantly more than the rest of the population during 2021,” Lindberg said. 

Here’s Statistics Sweden’s chart showing how incomes increased in 2021 in the various deciles of earners. 

Photo: Statistics Sweden

Daniel Waldenström, an economics professor based at Sweden’s Research Institute for Industrial Economics, said that the sharp jump in income for the most well-off could be explained mainly by them selling shares, property, and other assets after the exceptional rises in prices that year.  

“These are incomes of a one-off nature,” he told the TT newswire, arguing that the rise was more “a manifestation of differences which already existed”, rather than a genuine increase in real inequality. “If you take a broad-brush view, inequality in Sweden hasn’t risen that much for 10-15 years.”

He said that Sweden had seen the sharpest rise in inequality during the Swedish Financial Crisis in the 1990s. 

“It was an extreme situation then, with high unemployment, low economic growth, and a bad economy,” he said.

And here’s the Gini-coefficient going back to 1975, using three different ways of measuring it. 

The Gini-coefficient as measured since 1975. Source: Statistics Sweden

Mikael Damberg, who was finance minister in 2021, told TT that the rise in inequality in 2021 was not the result of any political decisions, and was likely to be reversed in 2023, as share prices and property prices fall. 

“On paper, it’s going to look like a great year for equality, but at the same time, we’re seeing reports that schoolchildren are eating more food at school and families are seeing help from charities,” he said. 

Although economic inequality increased in 2021, even poorer people in Sweden were better off, with the median economic standard after inflation rising by 2.7 percent compared to 2020, something Lindberg said was “the greatest rise between two years since 2015”. 

 

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How Sweden’s 2024 spring amendment budget could affect you

The Swedish government announced its spring amendment budget on April 15th. How will it affect people living in Sweden in the coming year?

How Sweden's 2024 spring amendment budget could affect you

What is the government aiming for with this budget?

The government has said that this budget, negotiated with the support of the Sweden Democrats, is part of its long-term plan to navigate Sweden’s difficult economic situation, which has the following aims:

  • Fight inflation and support households and welfare

The aim here is “to pursue well-balanced fiscal policy to help drive down inflation while more evenly distributing the burden of high prices”, the government explains on its website.

  • Re-institute the “work-first” principle

The work-first principle is essentially the idea that it should be more profitable for an individual to work than to be unemployed.

The government predicts that an additional 40,000 people could become unemployed this year due to the current state of the economy, and plans to address this by providing training and education initiatives to better equip jobseekers, as well as “remedying the labour market’s structural problems” and “reinforcing the motivating factors behind work and self-sufficiency”.

  • Structural reforms for stronger growth

Here, the government plans to “shift the focus back to economic development”, by introducing structural reforms to increase productivity and improve long-term growth.

How will proposals in the spring amendment budget affect us living in Sweden?

Much of the budget is aimed at mitigating any adverse effects of the current state of the Swedish economy, with these proposals aiming to keep the status quo and stop things from getting worse.

For example, one of the largest posts in the new budget is 6 billion kronor to Sweden’s regions, which will go towards compensating for the effects of inflation and avoiding dismissals of healthcare staff. This is in addition to 1.5 billion kronor for increased pharmaceutical costs and a 500 million kronor “extra knowledge grant” in additional regional funding for schools.

There are also proposals designed to help anyone who becomes unemployed over the next year, like a proposal to allocate 167 million kronor to creating more places in adult education, as well as extending the temporarily increased housing allowance for economically disadvantaged families with children at a cost of 650 million. The government has also proposed an allocation of 130 million kronor to Swedish municipalities which will be used to fund summer jobs.

There are also investments designed to strengthen law enforcement and improve the safety and security of people living in Sweden, like an allocation of 260 million kronor to the Tax Agency, customs and the Swedish Enforcement Authority which will be used to “crush” criminal finances, as well as 1.38 billion kronor to fund more prison places, 1.035 billion kronor in funding to improve security and baggage handling in airports and 100 million kronor to the Swedish courts.

Some of the proposals are also aimed at improving Swedish defence, like a 300 million kronor allocation to the Swedish Armed Forces and 385 million kronor for strengthening civil defence.

The government has also announced plans to lower tax on both pensions and income, lower fuel tax, and remove tax on the first 300,000 kronor of savings in ISKs – investment saving accounts.

In terms of budget proposals which will affect immigrants in particular, 25 million kronor has been allocated to attracting international talent, 20 million kronor will go towards funding Swedish courses for Ukrainian refugees, and 138 million will cover costs associated with getting Ukrainians on to Sweden’s population register.

How has the opposition reacted?

The Social Democrats’ economic spokesperson, former Finance Minister Mikael Damberg, called it “a tangled mess of proposals” and an “odd budget”, adding that it was “not a budget for the Swedish people”.

He added that the government should not just be focusing on growing the police force, but also on identifying young people who are at risk of sliding into a life of crime, so that social services can step in at an early stage.

The opposition also criticised the government for not doing enough to support Swedish regions, arguing that six billion kronor is not a sufficient investment to solve the healthcare crisis.

The Social Democrats will present their shadow budget in two weeks.

“We think that families with children are in a much worse position due to this crisis. We think that banks have taken out too much in profits, and that there’s a possibility to work with the power of consumers and use the state bank, SBAB,” Damberg said, adding that his party would like to see a bank tax in the new budget.

The government’s decision to scrap tax on ISK savings has also been criticised by two major authorities: the Financial Management Authority (ESV) and the National Institute of Economic Research (NIER, KI in Swedish). 

NIER said in a response to the proposal that the tax cut benefits represents a large tax cut to people who already have substantial savings, rather than encouraging people to save more.

“If you’re trying to get more people to save, it’s difficult to understand why the government is setting the limit at 300,000 kronor,” the author of NIER’s response to the proposal, Sebastian Escobar-Jansson, told Swedish news agency TT. 

Over half of people with ISK accounts have savings of less than 74,000 kronor.

“More than half of the tax cut benefits those who already have more than 300,000 kronor in an ISK,” ESV added.

In 2024, tax on ISK accounts is 1.086 percent, which is paid whether the account’s investments are making a profit or a loss.

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