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WEATHER

Will Germany see more snow this winter?

Over the weekend, large parts of Germany saw early snowfall, but will it continue throughout the winter?

A jogger runs through the snow-covered Berlin forest at temperatures around zero degrees Celsius.
A jogger runs through the snow-covered Berlin forest at temperatures around zero degrees Celsius. Photo: picture alliance/dpa | Wolfgang Kumm

Many parts of Germany experienced an early white Christmas over the weekend, as snow fell from Berlin to the Baltic Sea. Hesse also saw at least the first swirl of snowflakes and there was light snow in the Siegerland and the Hochsauerland districts of North Rhine-Westphalia.

Some areas of the country were hit particularly hard by the snow – a few centimetres of snow fell in Kassel, while large parts of Bavaria experienced heavy snowfall on Saturday.

READ ALSO: Surviving winter: 8 tips for enjoying the cold like a true German

There were also numerous accidents on icy roads in North Rhine-Westphalia, Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, Schleswig-Holstein and Bavaria. 

Will there be more snowfall this week?

Snowfall is expected at the beginning of the week in some areas in Thuringia and Saxony, while further south, there is likely to be snowfall only at high altitudes – such as in the Bavarian Alps.

Snow lies on the beach in Zingst, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern. Photo: picture alliance/dpa | Georg Moritz

In the coming days, temperatures will rise again and the weather will become milder. According to the German Weather Service (DWD) temperatures will hover between 5C and 12C for most of the country, while only the northeast and east see maximum temperatures of 0C to 4C.

Will there be more snow this winter?

2022 has already broken weather records in Germany – the period from January to the end of October was the warmest since weather records began almost 140 years ago.

READ ALSO: ‘A glimpse into our climate future’: Germany logs warmest October on record

Various weather models have already simulated the coming winter in Europe and Germany and provide estimations on how much warmer the coming winter is likely to be than from the years 1961 to 1990.

The models created by NASA, DWD, and the Climate Forecast System all agree that trend of rising temperatures will probably continue over the winter. Between December and February, it’s expected that the mercury will be between 1C and 3C higher than it was between 1961 and 1990. 

Meteorologist Corinna Borau from wetter.com told the Frankfurter Rundschau that she thinks that it’s extremely unlikely that there will be further snowfall in December in Germany.

“If the month looks rather dry and too mild overall, then we can’t expect large amounts of snow” Borau said. 

According to Borau, January is unlikely to be a “snow bomb” either, though it will still “feel like winter” and snow is only expected to fall sporadically. In February, however, the chances of snowfall are higher than in previous months.

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FLOODS

Germany battered by storms in wettest year on record

Thunderstorms brought severe rain and flooding to parts of Germany on Sunday. The German Weather Service says the country has had its wettest twelve-month period since measurements began.

Germany battered by storms in wettest year on record

Parts of Germany were affected by deadly thunderstorms and severe rainfall on Sunday night.

At least one person has died and several others were injured by lightning strikes. Elsewhere heavy rain flooded cellars and streets and downed trees. 

The German Weather Service (DWD) lifted all severe weather warnings during the night, but new thunderstorms in the southeast, east and northeast are expected in the course of the day on Monday. 

This latest storm comes at the end of a exceptionally wet 12 month period which has seen a high number of thunderstorms and flood events across the country.

Deadly lightning strikes and severe storms on Sunday night

According to police, an 18-year-old died on the Zugspitze after a lightning strike. He had travelled with two other men from North Rhine-Westphalia. 

Lightning struck near the summit several times while he was making the 80 metre walk from the summit to the mountain station. 

The man was fatally injured. A rescue helicopter could not immediately be dispatched due to the storm.

Lightning also struck a park in Delmenhorst, Lower Saxony, on Sunday, injuring eight members of a family that had been sitting under a tree. 

A 5-year-old boy and a 14-year-old girl were resuscitated on Sunday and taken to hospital with life-threatening injuries, according to police. The rest of the family was also taken to hospitals, with less severe injuries.

In other parts of Germany, emergency rescue personnel worked through the night responding to calls about downed trees, flood hazards and related issues.

In Quickborn in Schleswig-Holstein the storm caused power outages and some people had been temporarily trapped by flood waters.

In Genthin in Saxony-Anhalt, cellars and garages flooded and streets were blocked by fallen trees.

In the Kassel district in Hesse, underpasses were flooded, and in Söhrewald, a house was destroyed by a falling tree.

A car stands in a flooded underpass. Photo: picture alliance/dpa/Ralf Hettler | Ralf Hettler

READ ALSO: How changes to flood insurance could push up rates for homeowners in Germany

In Bremen the fire brigade was called more than 60 times, primarily to pump water out of flooded cellars.

Wettest 12 months on record

Germany has seen its fair share of flooded streets and cellars this year – far more than would typically be expected.

According to the German Weather Service (DWD), more precipitation fell between July 2023 to June 2024 than has ever been recorded in a 12 month span since records began in 1881.

During that time, around 1070 litres per square metre fell on average across Germany, according to DWD calculations. In comparison, the multi-year average value from 1961-1990 was around 789 litres per square metre per year.

READ ALSO: From swamp to sponge: Berlin harnesses rain to adapt to climate shift

DWD’s national climate archive shows that the past ten years have been marked by drought. 

However, Germany has seen a slight increase in annual precipitation on average over time since measurements began in 1881. 

According to the DWD, alternating dry and wet periods are to be expected. 

Dr. Frank Kaspar, Head of Hydrometeorology at the DWD said, “Precipitation is characterised by a high degree of variability both from year to year and over longer periods of time.” 

Germany has experienced a dry phase for several of the previous years, which has since given way to a very wet 12-month phase.

Climate scientists suggest that extreme weather events, such as droughts and floods, are becoming more frequent and more severe worldwide due to the effects of human-caused climate change.

READ ALSO: Why are Last Generation activists in Germany getting prison sentences?

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