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German consumers warned to expect higher food prices

Groceries in Germany have already shot up in price by more than 16.6 percent compared to a year ago. But industry bosses expect prices to rise further - although they say they are fighting against unreasonable increases from large corporations.

Food in a Leipzig supermarket.
Food in a Leipzig supermarket. Photo: picture alliance/dpa | Hendrik Schmidt

Life in Germany is getting significantly more expensive. As The Local reported this week, German inflation climbed again in August to 7.9 percent, according to the federal statistics agency Destatis. It came after consumer prices fell slightly in June and July. 

Energy prices, which have taken off since the Russian invasion of Ukraine, have had a “substantial impact on the high inflation rate”, Destatis said. Costs for household electricity and fuel rose by 35.6 percent in August 2022 compared to the same month a year ago.

However, food prices are also heavily affected – they have increased by around 16.6 percent, according to initial figures. 

The graph below by Destatis shows changes in consumer prices. 

Source: Destatis

READ ALSO: German inflation rises again as energy costs soar

According to retail giant Rewe, consumers in Germany will have to brace themselves for even higher food prices.

“We are currently seeing new price increases from manufacturers every week,” said Rewe CEO Lionel Souque on Wednesday ahead of a business event in Düsseldorf, reported Germany’s Tagesschau.

These increases are down to rising energy and raw material costs, as well as logistics and staff costs. 

However, Souque said that not every price increase is implemented. 

“We don’t wave through every price increase, but check whether it is reasonable,” he said.

Souque said the retail giant flights back if bosses feel the markups are not justified. Among multinational consumer goods manufacturers in particular, there are some looking to profit from the current price wave, he said.

“We are fighting against that,” the Rewe boss said. “Many multinationals are making more dividend income than they did last year.”

“Many (firms) come and announce price increases of 10 percent, and say Rewe should pass that on to the customer,” Souque reported.

“That’s totally unrealistic.”

He said that the majority of suppliers are behaving reasonably. “But we have a problem with the very large manufacturers who have the power to enforce demands,” he added.

READ ALSO: ‘€10-€15 for groceries’ -How price hikes are hitting consumers in Germany

Competitor Edeka has also warned its suppliers against excessive price demands.

“Food must not become a luxury good,” Edeka CEO Markus Mosa previously said.

Rewe has already announced that it would not pass on all the increases to customers, and would therefore accept an impact on profits.

Change in consumers’ behaviour

Rising inflation also has consequences for consumers’ shopping behaviour.

Customers in Germany have been switching from branded products to supermarkets’ own brands, and they are paying more attention to promotional prices.

There is also trend towards discounters, said Rewe boss Souque. The Rewe subsidiary and discounter Penny, for example, is currently doing better in terms of sales than in the previous year, he said.

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WORKING IN GERMANY

‘Far too low’: How millions of workers in Germany are earning less than €14 per hour

Germany is known for being a country of well-paid workers. But new statistics from the government reveal that more than eight million people are taking home less than €14 per hour, prompting fresh calls to raise the minimum wage.

'Far too low': How millions of workers in Germany are earning less than €14 per hour

“Good work deserves a decent wage – that’s just about respect,” wrote the centre-left Social Democrats (SPD) in their election campaign back in 2021. 

When Olaf Scholz’s party entered government as the largest partner in the traffic-light coalition, one of their flagship pledges was to bump up the minimum wage to €12 per hour – a major increase from the previous €10.45.

The SPD kept their promise and on October 1st, 2022, the €12-per-hour minimum wage came into force in Germany. 

Just 18 months later, however, there are once again rumblings of dissatisfaction as left-wing parties call for another hike in wages for the lowest paid in Germany.

What do the lowest workers earn in Germany – and where do they work?

Currently, more than eight million workers – amounting to around 10 percent of the population – earn less than €14 per hour in Germany.

According to the Labour Ministry, around 8.4 million people were employed at hourly wages below €14 as of April 2023, with around 7.1 million of them in the western states. 

The proportion of these workers is particularly high in the hospitality industry, with 65.8 percent of workers in cafes, bars and restaurants earning less than €14 per hour. According to the latest data, 1.1 million employees in this industry fell below the €14 threshold. 

In retail, the number of workers earning below €14 per hour was even higher at 1.6 million. Meanwhile, in the service sector, 45 percent of the some 1.46 million workers fell into this bracket. 

The data on low earners was released in response to a parliamentary question from the left-wing Linke party and was first reported on by Spiegel on Monday. 

Following an increase at the start of the year, the current minimum wage is set at €12.41. However, €14 is a significant benchmark because it represents 60 percent of the median wage in Germany. According to an EU directive, the national minimum wage should be no less than this figure. 

READ ALSO: Minimum wage violations on the rise in Germany – Are you getting paid enough?

Why is the minimum wage such a heated issue?

Workers in Germany are in many ways facing a perfect storm right now. 

In the months it took for the SPD to bring in the €12 minimum wage, an energy crisis brought on by Russia’s war on Ukraine had sent prices spiralling in Germany.

In 2022, the cost of living rose by a staggering 6.9 percent compared to the previous year, dropping off just slightly to 5.9 percent in 2023. 

Though inflation has tailed off in recent months, employees are still facing prices of everyday goods that are in some cases double what they were just a few years ago.

Groceries lie on the conveyor belt at the checkout in a supermarket in Bavaria.

Groceries lie on the conveyor belt at the checkout in a supermarket in Bavaria. Photo: picture alliance/dpa | Sven Hoppe

At the same time, economic uncertainty has made employers reluctant to increase wages, and those on minimum wage have only had modest pay increases over the past few years.

Last year in June, Germany’s minimum wage commission proposed an increase of just 41 cents each year for this year and next, bringing the minimum wage up to €12.41 at the start of January 2024 and up to €12.82 in January 2025. 

At the time, the decision was described as “scandalous” by labour experts and trade unions, who slammed the fact that the tiny increase would amount to a real-terms cut in wages for the lowest earners. 

There was also tough criticism over the fact that the decision by the minimum wage commission had not been unanimous.

READ ALSO: Why Germany’s proposed minimum wage increase has been called a ‘scandal’

How is the minimum wage decided in Germany?

Since the statutory minimum wage was established in Germany back in 2005, a committee called the Minimum Wage Commission (Mindestlohnkommission) has been responsible for making recommendations on how high it should be. 

This committee consists of three employer representatives and three worker representatives who vote on the proposed changes, as well as two government-appointed advisors who don’t have voting rights.

Every two years, the commission decides on adjustments to the minimum wage for the next two years, and these proposals are then approved by the government. 

Controversially, the latest proposals from the Minimum Wage Commission didn’t receive unanimous approval, with the employee representatives on the panel claiming to have been outvoted.

This has recently led to calls from SPD co-leader Saskia Esken for the rules to be changed so that decisions by the commission can only be reached by consensus. 

READ ALSO: What are Germany’s top-paying jobs?

What proposals are on the table for the minimum wage?

Though the SPD haven’t united on a figure for the coming years, numerous voices in the party have spoken out in favour of a significant increase for low-paid workers.

Speaking to RND on Wednesday, Esken described the current increases as “far too low” and stated that the next minimum wage “must definitely be high enough to ensure that single people can live on it without falling into poverty if they have a full-time job”. 

This echoes calls from SPD co-leader Lars Klingbeil for a “significant increase” in the minimum wage next time around.

SPD co-leader Lars Klingbeil speaks at an EU election event in Hamburg.
SPD co-leader Lars Klingbeil speaks at an EU election event in Hamburg. Photo: picture alliance / Sebastian Gollnow/dpa | Sebastian Gollnow

Going one step further, Petra Köpping, the leading SPD candidate in Saxony, suggested a minimum wage of at least €15 per hour.

Meanwhile, the leftwing Linke party wants the government to change the law so that the national minimum wage can’t fall below 60 percent of the median salary, which currently amounts to €14 per hour.

An EU directive on fair wages that must be implemented in Germany by November 15th, 2024, suggests that the minimum wage should be set at least 60 percent of the median salary, and that collective bargaining agreements should cover at least 80 percent of the workforce. 

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