SHARE
COPY LINK
For members

MONEY

How will rising interest rates affect my life in Spain?

The ECB's decision to raise interest rates in a bid to soften the blow of inflation will have negative consequences for some and a positive effect for others. Here's how it will affect those with loans, mortgages and savings in Spain.

spain interest rates
The increasing costs of loans and mortgage payments comes at a time the Spanish economy is facing a perfect storm of financial pressures. (Photo by CESAR MANSO / AFP)

The European Central Bank’s (ECB) Governing Council raised interest rates on Thursday for the first time in 11 years, with further increases likely in the coming months.

The ECB has raised its interest rates by half a percentage point, to 0.50 percent, to try and slow inflation in the broader Euro area, which in June jumped to 8.6 percent.

The increase represents the biggest increase in 22 years.

In Spain, inflationary pressures are being felt even more severely, reaching record levels.

READ ALSO: Rate of inflation in Spain reaches highest level in 37 years

Why have interest rates been raised?

When prices are increasing too quickly – in other words, when inflation is too high – putting up interest rates is one way to try and slow it down and get the rate back down to the ECB’s 2 percent target rate. 

The theory – and hope for consumers – is that this reduces the prices of products and services in the short term, although Christine Lagarde, President of the ECB, said this week that war in Ukraine likely means that inflation “will remain at an undesirably high level for some time,” and warned that “the economic horizon is darkening” across the Eurozone. 

“Food and energy will continue to be higher than expected,” the president added.

How does it affect life in Spain?

For those of you living in Spain, the main effect of increasing interest rates is on loans, mortgages, and savings, something many foreigners living in Spain rely on.

The impact can be positive or negative, depending on your financial situation.

If you have substantial savings, you could make more money on that lump sum as your savings will become more profitable, particularly if interests rise again.

On the other hand, if you are looking for a loan or credit, or repaying debts or mortgages, doing so could become much more expensive. 

READ ALSO: The products that are more expensive than ever in Spain

Simply put, an increase in interest rates makes loans more expensive – not only at the consumer level but for national governments and banks, too – and it also directly affects mortgage applications and those applying for credit, as well as people who pay a variable rate mortgage based on the Euribor.

Fixed rate mortgages, experts say, are more insulated to interest rate rises.

For many years in Spain, the vast majority of new mortgages signed (as much as 95 percent of them) were variable rate and thus vulnerable to changes in interest rate payments

But that trend has reversed in recent years, with around 80 percent of Spanish mortgages now being fixed rate agreements better protected against increased interest rate repayments.

The Euribor is a measure of the average rate of interest rates that banks lend to one another across the Eurozone and used, in effect, as a reference for mortgages. 

This measure has also jumped up in recent months and is now close to 1 percent, and experts forecast that it will see out 2022 at around 1.5 percent this year and that it could surpass 2 percent in 2023. 

These increases in the Euribor rate can have a big impact on consumers and families. For example, the repayments on a standard variable interest rate mortgage loan (a €150,000 loan to be repaid over 15 years, for example) could shoot up by more than €150 per month.

Impact on living costs in Spain

The ECB’s interest rate rises come at a time when Spanish consumers are facing dire economic circumstances, crippled by skyrocketing inflation, utilities bills and increasings goods prices.

According to a survey published by Banco de España this week, the percentage of Spanish families that are forced to use more than 40 percent of their gross income to make debt repayments could rise to about 15 percent as a result of the interest rate rises.

According to the report, the proportion of households with this level of financial vulnerability was just 11 percent in 2020 and 10 percent in 2017.

The increase in debt-strapped consumers was concentrated in the lowest-income households, which jumped from 9.5 percent to 15.1 percent, and those where the main breadwinner in the household was under 35 years of age, which went from 4.4 percent to 6.8 percent, and among the unemployed, which almost doubled and went from 4.9 percent to 8.7 percent. 

The increasing costs of loans and mortgage payments comes at a time the Spanish economy is facing a perfect storm of financial pressures. 

The economic shutdown during the Covid-19 pandemic, which included heavy job losses, combined with rising utilities bills, food prices and rampant inflation – partly caused by war in Ukraine – means that at the very time when many Spaniards might consider taking out a loan to help them survive these pressures, doing so has become more expensive.

Member comments

Log in here to leave a comment.
Become a Member to leave a comment.
For members

PROPERTY

Why Spain is looking to Vienna to fix its housing crisis

Spain is trailing behind the rest of the EU when it comes to social housing and has one of the lowest proportions of stock, so could replicating the Austrian capital's model be the solution?

Why Spain is looking to Vienna to fix its housing crisis

According to figures from Spain’s Land and Housing Observatory, in 2020 just 2.5 percent of total constructions in Spain were for social housing, far lower than in countries such as Austria, where it was 24 percent, the Netherlands, with 30 percent, and Denmark at 20.9 percent. 

Spain is one of a small handful of EU countries that have surprisingly low social housing provisions. Spain ranks 18th in the EU overall and is joined at the bottom of the table by countries such as Romania (1.5 percent), Estonia (1.7 percent), Croatia (1.8 percent) and Portugal (2 percent).

Spain’s 2.5 percent figures are also much lower than the wider European average of 9.3 percent. In recent years, Spain has not even managed to complete 10,000 social housing units per year, compared to 60,000 a decade ago.

READ ALSO – EXPLAINED: How Spain plans to address its huge lack of social housing

Furthermore, public housing has become increasingly privatised in recent years, affecting most of the almost 2.5 million subsidised homes built since 1981, when the first plan was approved. In 2012, the construction of social housing plummeted and dropped from 50,000 homes annually to just 9,200 in 2022.

The Viennese model

For decades now, Vienna, the Austrian capital, has increased its stock of price-controlled social housing and has stood out for its housing policy.

Although there is social housing throughout the country, the majority of it is concentrated in the capital city. 

The Vienna City Council has become the biggest homeowner in Europe – around 60 percent of residents live in one of 220,000 properties subsidised by the public sector, and the city invests up to €600 million annually in affordable housing models.

By increasing social housing and limiting rent, the value of housing has also been limited and prices have been regulated. For example, in Vienna, rent is around €9 per m/2, according to the consulting firm Deloitte.

This figure is much lower than that of the rest of the European capitals, compared to London or Paris, for example, where the rental price per m/2 is around €30. In comparison, rent in Barcelona and Madrid is around €17 and €14 m/2 respectively.

The requirements to be able to access social housing in Vienna are also very broad. Basically, you need to be 17 years old or older, be registered Vienna and earn more than €43,000 net annually. Rent can also not represent more than 30 percent of your income.

READ ALSO: Spain needs to build 1.2 million affordable rental homes in a decade

How Spain is planning on replicating the Vienna model

Spain, like many EU countries, has begun to turn towards the Viennese model.

Madrid in particular hopes to increase the real estate stock by 70,000 homes in four years, of which up to 40,000 will be dedicated to social housing according to regional president Isabel Díaz Ayuso.

Like in Vienna, Madrid hopes to balance the real estate market naturally without limiting prices. For example, in Vienna where the private real estate stock has been regulated, 60 square meter homes can vary between €600 and €700 per month. This is almost impossible in Madrid and Barcelona, where a home with the same characteristics can exceed more than €1,000 per month.

The Spanish government recently approved a plan to allocate 50,000 ‘Sareb’ homes to bolster its dwindling social housing stock. La Sociedad de Gestión de Activos Procedentes de la Reestructuración Bancaria or ‘Sareb’ was created eleven years ago to buy real estate assets from banks that went bankrupt during the 2008 financial crisis, and has been state-run since 2022.

Sánchez followed up on this 50,000 pledge by announcing the financing of a further 43,000 homes for social housing paid for with €4 billion of European funds.

“I want to announce that, in addition to the mobilisation of 50,000 Sareb homes, we are going to finance the development of another 43,000 new homes for social rent and rent at affordable prices,” the Prime Minister said.

He also criticised Spain’s “embarrassing” social housing stock compared to Europe, and reinforced his “commitment” to “move forward so that housing is a right and not a problem for the majority of citizens”. 

Having an extensive public housing stock allows prices to be lowered and ensures that there’s sufficient supply.

Christian Schantl, the head of the International Relations department of the public company Wiener Wohnen, the entity that manages public rentals in the city of Vienna, has advised Spain that to do this, they should not sell public housing under any circumstances.

In an interview with El País he said: “You cannot completely copy and paste the system, it would not work. One thing [the Spanish Government] should not do is sell its public housing. This is very important because many cities in Europe have made that mistake and are now facing serious problems. So that’s the first thing: never sell what you have. And then, there are some elements that are important to take into account, such as the financial situation, the necessary land, the legal framework and housing policies,” he continued.

SHOW COMMENTS