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WEATHER: Heavy rain and lightning forecast this week across Germany

Parts of northern Germany could see up to 60 litres of rainfall per square metre on Monday night, as further thunderstorms are forecast throughout the week.

WEATHER: Heavy rain and lightning forecast this week across Germany
Young people cycle along Berlin's Friedrichstraße in the torrential downpour on Sunday, July 25th. Photo: picture alliance/dpa | Jörg Carstensen

After northern Germany was hit by rainstorms on Sunday, the thunderstorms and harsh rain show no sign of letting up, leading to fears of further floods and travel chaos across the country this week.

Writing on Twitter on Monday morning, the German Weather Service (DWD) warned the northern and northeastern regions of the country, as well as parts of southern Germany, would see “higher potential for storms due to strong, heavy rain” and “occasional thunder and lightning” in the evening.

Brandenburg, Mecklenburg Western-Pomerania, Schleswig-Holstein and Hamburg are likely to be the worst affected states in the North, while parts of Bavaria and Baden-Württemburg could be badly hit in the South.

These regions could see up to 50 litres of rainfall per square metre on Monday, moving up to 60 litres in certain parts of northern Germany.

Other parts of the country could also be struck by thunderstorms and rainfall of up to 25 litres per square metre, though the flood-hit regions of Rhineland-Palatinate and North Rhine-Westphalia are likely to be spared the worst of the storms.

READ ALSO: Germany’s flood zones spared severe storms on Saturday

However, dramatic weather will continue over the course of the week, with local thunderstorms, heavy rain and hail forecast until Saturday. The storms will be accompanied by high temperatures – particularly in the eastern parts of Germany – with the mercury forecast to reach 30C on Thursday and hitting the high 20s on Friday.

The news of further extreme weather follows a chaotic night in Berlin on Sunday in which the emergency services were called out 250 times to deal with flooded basements and streets.

In the eastern district of Buch, people posted images of water flowing through the doors of the S-Bahn station and out into the carpark.

At the Berlin-Brandenburg Airport, passengers faced severe delays as planes were unable to take off in the storm.

The bad weather also affected Saxony, Brandenburg, Schleswig-Holstein and Upper Bavaria, killing at least two people.

READ ALSO: ANALYSIS: Why Germany faces tough questions over its disaster response

According to police, one man was attempting to pump the water out of his cellar in Saxony on Sunday evening and suffered an electric shock.

In Eglfing, Upper Bavaria, a man out hunting was found dead in a forest following the storm. The 57-year-old was sitting on a lookout point on Sunday afternoon when it was knocked down by a gust of wind.

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CLIMATE CRISIS

Record heat deaths and floods: How Germany is being hit by climate change

Germany was further confronted with extreme weather conditions and their consequences last year. With this summer likely to break records again, a new report shows the impact climate change is having.

Record heat deaths and floods: How Germany is being hit by climate change

In 2023, more days of extremely high temperatures were recorded than at any time since records began, the European climate change service Copernicus and the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) wrote in a joint report published on Monday. 

The records go back to 1940 and sometimes even further.

“2023 has been a complex and multifaceted year in terms of climate hazards in Europe,” said Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Director Carlo Buontempo. “We have witnessed widespread flooding, but also extreme forest fires with high temperatures and severe droughts.” 

These events have put a strain on natural ecosystems, and have also challenged agriculture, water management and public health.

According to the report, around 1.6 million people were affected by floods last year, and more than half a million people were affected by storms. The weather- and climate-related damage is estimated at well over 10 billion euros. “Unfortunately, these numbers are unlikely to decrease in the near future,” Buontempo said, referring to ongoing human-caused climate change.

Heat turns deadly, even in Germany

Averaged across Europe, 11 months of above-average warmth were recorded last year, with September being the warmest since records began in 1940. 

A record number of days with so-called extreme heat stress, i.e. perceived temperatures of over 46C, was also registered. 

As a result of higher temperatures, the number of heat-related deaths has risen by an average of 30 percent over the past 20 years.

According to the Robert Koch Institute, at least 3,100 deaths in Germany were linked to heat in the first nine months of 2023.

“In some cases, for example heat stroke, heat exposure leads directly to death, while in most cases it is the combination of heat exposure and pre-existing conditions that leads to death,” RKI explained in a statement, adding that women tend to be affected more than men due to higher proportion of women in older age groups.

In Germany temperatures above 30C are considered a heatwave. As weather patterns change due to human-caused climate change, heat waves have increased in number and length.

READ ALSO: How German cities are adapting to rising temperatures

Historically Germany hasn’t faced so many severe heatwaves each year, and central air conditioning is not commonly found in the country. In cities across the Bundesrepublik, heat plans are being drafted and refined to try and prepare for further extreme heat events in the near future.

Delivery van stuck in flood

A delivery van stranded in flood water during a storm surge near the fish market in Hamburg last winter. Photo: picture alliance/dpa | Bodo Marks
 

Warming oceans and mountains and more rain

On average, the seas around Europe’s coasts were warmer than at any time since at least 1980. 

READ ALSO: Colder winters and refugees – How changing ocean currents could impact Germany

It was also much too warm on the glaciers in 2023. “After the record ice loss in 2022, it was another exceptional year of loss in the Alps,” Copernicus and WMO wrote. In these two years, the glaciers in the Alps lost around 10 percent of their volume.

Interestingly, the excess meltwater may be boosting hydroelectricity production in the short term. According to the report, conditions for the production of green electricity in 2023 were very favourable, with its share of the total electricity mix at 43 percent, the highest seen so far.

Overall, seven percent more rain fell last year than average. It was one of the wettest years on record, the report said. 

In one third of the river network in Europe, water volumes have been recorded that exceeded the flood threshold. There were severe floods in Italy and Greece, among other places, and parts of northern Germany were affected at the end of the year.

Hamburg and the northern state of Schleswig-Holstein were among regions hardest hit by floods in Germany last year. Northern sections of the Elbe river rose high enough to submerge Hamburg’s fish market several times among other places.

READ ALSO: Germany hit by floods as October heat turns into icy spell

2024 likely to continue breaking heat records

The recent report by Copernicus and the World Meteorological Organization is in agreement with a UN report published last month, which noted that last year came at the end of “the warmest 10-year period on record” according to the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO).

“There is a high probability that 2024 will again break the record of 2023”, WMO climate monitoring chief Omar Baddour said, according to Science Alert.

Another year of record breaking high temperatures means Germany can likely expect more and longer heatwaves in the late spring, summer and early autumn seasons. Higher average temperatures are also correlated with an increase in extreme weather events like extreme storms and floods in parts of the country.

In drier parts of Europe it means an increase in droughts and wildfires.

With reporting by DPA.

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