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HOUSING

Property in Norway: Prices rise nationwide but fall in Oslo

The price of a property rose 1.2 percent across Norway in March but fell by same the amount in the capital Oslo. Overall house prices are now 12 percent higher than they were a year ago.

Property in Norway: Prices rise nationwide but fall in Oslo
Photo by Jacek Dylag on Unsplash

The growth is just over one percent higher than what is considered average growth according to new figures from real estate organisation Eiendom Norge.

A house sold on the market in March took 43 days to sell, over a week shorter than the month before when it took an average of 51 days

Figures show that less people currently own a home due to rising house prices. According to Statistics Norway the proportion of tenants has increased by around one percent.

This growth in house prices is not expected to last much longer, however.

“With the increased supply we have seen in March, inflation will probably slow down somewhat towards the summer,” CEO of Eiendom Norge, Hennig Lauridsen said at a press conference.

Nejra Macic chief economist at the Forecast Centre, an independent market analysis company, told state broadcaster NRK that she believes March may be the last month where house prices rise in Norway.

“If it is not March (the last month with growth), we do not think it will be long. We have covered most of the growth this year,” she said

Kari Due Andersen, chief economist at Handelsbanken, agrees with this and believes that due to floating mortgage rates house price growth will soon slow down.  

“It is a rule of thumb that says that the mortgage rate that people have in the bank is on average 2 percentage points higher than interest rates. That is because the banks adjust the key policy rate to costs. When the key policy rate rises, so does the mortgage rate. Then a mortgage becomes more expensive, and many have floating interest rates. It is a factor that will contribute to house price growth slowing down, and that households will wait,” she told NRK.

Despite the fall in March, house prices in Oslo are still up 15.6 percent compared to last year. Grethe W. Meier, CEO, of Privatmegleren, told online news site Nettavisen that the drop was not concerning.

“I think it is important to see February and March together. In addition, in March, the proportion of small apartments fell. It is probably these apartments that have been driving the price up, and they are more volatile. When that share has fallen it helps to lower prices,” she said.

READ MORE: Property in Norway: What to expect if you’re buying a home in Oslo

Those looking to buy a home received warning from Norway’s central bank, Norges Bank, that interest rates could rise this autumn rather than next spring.

“It has helped that people have understood that the bottom has been reached for mortgage rates, and that there is only one way interest rates will go in the future. When it downs on people that interest rates will rise then house price expectations will also weaken. Then there will be an increasing number of people who will sell before they want to buy. Then the pressure and bidding wars will disappear. But it will take time and will not change overnight,” said Macic.

House prices March also rose in Norways other biggest cities 

  • In Stavanger, the increase was 0.7 percent. Prices are up 7.9 percent in the past twelve months
  • In Bergen, prices rose by 3.0 percent, and have increased 12.7 percent in the last 12 months
  • In Trondheim, prices were up 2.2 percent and have risen 10.6 percent in the past 12 months. 

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ECONOMY

Sweden’s Riksbank raises rates above zero for first time since 2014

Sweden's central bank has increased its key interest rate to 0.25 percent, marking the first time the rate has been above zero for nearly eight years.

Sweden's Riksbank raises rates above zero for first time since 2014

In a press release announcing the move, the bank said that it needed to take action to bring down the current high rate of inflation, which it predicts will average 5.5 percent in 2022, before sinking to 3.3 percent in 2023.

“Inflation has risen to the highest level since the 1990s and is going to stay high for a while. To prevent high inflation taking hold in price and wage developments, the directors have decided to raise interest rates from zero to 0.25 percent,” it said. 

The Riksbank, which is tasked by the government to keep inflation at around two percent, has been caught off-guard by the speed and duration of price rises.

Just a few months ago, in February, it said it expected inflation to be temporary, predicting there was no need to increase rates until 2024.

The last time the key inflation rate was above zero was in the autumn of 2014. 

In the press release, the bank warned that the rate would continue to increase further in the coming years. 

“The prognosis is that the interest rate will be increased in two to three further steps this year, and that it will reach a little under two percent at the end of the three-year prognosis period,” it said. 

According to the bank’s new future scenarios, its key interest rate will reach about 1.18 percent in a year, and 1.57 percent within two years. 

In a further tightening of Sweden’s monetary policy, the bank has also decided to reduce its bond purchases. 

“With this monetary policy we expect inflation rates to decline next year and from 2024 to be close to two percent,” the bank wrote. 

Annika Winsth, the chief economist of Nordea, one of Sweden’s largest banks, said the rate hike was “sensible”. 

“When you look at how inflation is right now and that the Riksbank needs to cool down the economy, it’s good that they’re taking action – the earlier the better. The risk if you wait is that you need to righten even more.” 

She said people in Sweden should be prepared for rates to rise even further. 

“You shouldn’t rule it out in the coming year. Then you’ll have a once percentage point increase which will go straight into fluctuating mortgage rates.” 

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