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Germany must ‘prevent number of coronavirus cases from exploding again’: RKI boss

As the number of Covid-19 infections continue to rise, health experts warn that Germany could enter into a critical situation similar to the peak before Christmas 2020.

Germany must ‘prevent number of coronavirus cases from exploding again’: RKI boss
RKI head Lothar Wieler and Health Minister Jens Spahn. Photo: DPA

“The case numbers are rising again,” said Health Minister Jens Spahn at a press conference in Berlin on Friday.

“We still have to prepare for some very challenging weeks in which we struggle to find a balance between the necessary health protection and the normality we long for.”

Lothar Wieler, head of the Robert Koch Institute (RKI), said: “At the beginning of this year, we succeeded very well in reducing the number of cases. But the pandemic is not over, on the contrary. Now we are at the beginning of a third wave.”

The challenge now is to keep the third wave as flat as possible, Wieler added.

READ ALSO: ‘Third wave has already begun’: Germany records sharp rise in Covid cases

“We have to prevent the number of cases from exploding again.” Otherwise, he said, there is a risk of a repeat of what happened to Germany just before Christmas.

At that time many people fell ill, deaths increased and there was a heavy burden on the health system. The number of cases per 100,000 people in seven days (the 7-day incidence) reached almost 200 on December 22nd 2020.

On Friday the RKI registered 12,834 new Covid cases within 24 hours – 2,000 more compared to a week ago. More than 250 deaths were reported within a day. The 7-day incidence rose to 72.4, compared to 69.1 the previous day.

According to Wieler, there is no evidence that the rising number of Covid infections have anything to do with more frequent testing in Germany.

“The increase is not related to more testing,” he said.

Wieler said the number of patients in intensive care units is also increasing in some federal states.

Are vaccines helping the situation?

The effect of coronavirus vaccinations is becoming noticeable as the number of cases are decreasing among the very old.

But a rising number of younger people in Germany are becoming infected with Covid-19.

Since February, this has also been the case for children under the age of 15.

“There are more daycare outbreaks in Germany again, even more than before Christmas,” said Wieler. He said this could be down to coronavirus mutations – particularly the B.1.1.7 variant, which originated in the UK – spreading more in Germany.

Both Wieler and Spahn stressed that vaccinations are the way out of the pandemic.

“However, it may still take a while before a majority of people are vaccinated,” Wieler said. Spahn reiterated the goal of including family doctors in vaccinations by mid-April at the latest – but that does depend on deliveries of the vaccines “taking place as promised”.

READ ALSO: Why is there a delay in German family doctors vaccinating against Covid-19?

Currently, it is not possible to carry out injections both in vaccination centres and doctors’ practices because there are not enough vaccine supplies, Spahn said.

The Health Minister also said vaccination priority groups should not be changed when doctors’ surgeries begin the jabs.

“If we had not vaccinated nursing home residents and the very old, especially those at risk, first, we would have protected fewer people from severe and fatal courses in recent weeks,” Spahn said.

The fact that the number of reported deaths is currently declining is also due to this vaccination strategy, said the RKI head Wieler. “Age is the essential risk factor.”

Member comments

  1. Boo to Germany. Absolute farce. If age is the essential rosk factor, scrap the priirity group nonsnese, which is confusing, burdensome and expensive and call people up by decreasing age. Its working very well in the UK and is a lot more efficent. Its not hard. Sort it.

  2. This is a direct consequence of a system in which you must have a 3 year Ausbildung in order to perform some rudimentary basic task, and the alternative ( a more dynamic and flexible system that puts priority on speed and effectiveness over rigid structure) is shunned as “Too risky”.

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HEALTH

Could there be a new wave of Covid-19 in Germany this autumn?

It’s back again: amid sinking temperatures, the incidence of Covid-19 has been slowly rising in Germany. But is this enough to merit worrying about the virus?

Could there be a new wave of Covid-19 in Germany this autumn?

More people donning face masks in supermarkets, friends cancelling plans last minute due to getting sick with Covid-19. We might have seen some of those familiar reminders recently that the coronavirus is still around, but could there really be a resurgence of the virus like we experienced during the pandemic years?

According to virologists, the answer seems to be ‘maybe’: since July, the number of people newly infected with Covid-19 has been slowly rising from a very low level.

According to the Robert Koch Institute (RKI), nine people per 100,000 inhabitants became newly infected in Germany last week. A year ago, there were only around 270 reported cases.

Various Corona variants are currently on the loose in the country. According to the RKI,  the EG.5 (also called Eris) and XBB.1.16 lines were each detected in the week ending September 3rd with a share of just under 23 percent. 

The highly mutated variant BA.2.86 (Pirola), which is currently under observation by the World Health Organisation (WHO), also arrived in the country this week, according to RKI. 

High number of unreported case

The RKI epidemiologists also warned about a high number of unreported cases since hardly any testing is done. They pointed out that almost half of all registered sewage treatment plants report an increasing viral load in wastewater tests.

The number of hospital admissions has also increased slightly, but are still a far cry from the occupation rate amid the pandemic. Last week it was two per 100,000 inhabitants. In the intensive care units, only 1.2 percent of all beds are occupied by Covid-19 patients.

Still, a good three-quarters (76.4 percent) of people in Germany have been vaccinated at least twice and thus have basic immunity, reported RKI. 

Since Monday, doctors’ offices have been vaccinating with the adapted vaccine from Biontech/Pfizer, available to anyone over 12 years old, with a vaccine for small children set to be released the following week and one for those between 5 and 11 to come out October 2nd.

But Health Minister Karl Lauterbach has so far only recommended that people over 60 and those with pre-existing conditions get vaccinated.

READ ALSO: EXPLAINED: Who should get a Covid jab this autumn in Germany?

“The pandemic is over, the virus remains,” he said. “We cannot predict the course of coming waves of corona, but it is clear that older people and people with pre-existing conditions remain at higher risk of becoming severely ill from Covid-19”

The RKI also recommended that people with a cold voluntarily wear a mask. Anyone exhibiting cough, cold, sore throat or other symptoms of a respiratory illness should voluntarily stay at home for three to five days and take regular corona self-tests. 

However, further measures such as contact restrictions are not necessary, he said.

One of many diseases

As of this autumn, Covid-19 could be one of many respiratory diseases. As with influenza, there are no longer absolute infection figures for coronavirus.

Saarbrücken pharmacist Thorsten Lehr told German broadcaster ZDF that self-protection through vaccinations, wearing a mask and getting tested when symptoms appear are prerequisites for surviving the Covid autumn well. 

Only a new, more aggressive mutation could completely turn the game around, he added.

On April 7th of this year, Germany removed the last of its over two-year long coronavirus restrictions, including mask-wearing in some public places.

READ ALSO: German doctors recommend Covid-19 self-tests amid new variant

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