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BAVARIA

EXPLAINED: How Bavaria plans to reopen after Covid shutdown

Bavaria's state premier Markus Söder has proposed a plan to reopen public life if Covid-19 cases continue to go down.

EXPLAINED: How Bavaria plans to reopen after Covid shutdown
A beer garden at the Ammersee in Bavaria in September 2020. Photo: DPA

Söder, of the Christian Social Union (CSU), has presented a proposal on possible further relaxation steps for Bavaria, which has been hit hard in the pandemic.

“Of course we'll open up if the numbers go down,” Söder said at the CSU's online political Ash Wednesday conference in Passau.

He stressed that further easing of restrictions would not be determined by a date, “but by the incidence” – the number of cases per 100,000 residents within seven days. On Thursday February 18th, Bavaria had a seven-day incidence of 55.3. The nationwide incidence was 57.1

Here's a look at where the southern state currently stands, and what's coming up.

Curfew is gone – and more social contact to be allowed

Söder said that Bavaria's night time curfew had already been lifted because it's no longer proportionate in view of the falling Covid-19 numbers. In future it will only apply in cities and districts with a 7-day incidence above 100 and will be in effect between 10pm and 5am.

Söder said a slight relaxation of contact restrictions was on the cards.

“If the numbers improve now, more contacts will of course soon be allowed,” he said.

Currently, nationwide a household is allowed to meet with one other person and contacts must be kept to a minimum (a so-called social bubble). Söder suggested that in future two households may be allowed to meet.  He said more social contact is particularly important for children.

READ ALSO: What you need to know about Germany's extended Covid-19 measures – and opening plans

Further opening of schools very slowly

According to Söder, the state government wants to proceed “very sensitively” with schools.

“Slow start, but with appropriate test concepts and with a mask plan,” he said. In the first opening step – as already announced – primary school pupils and graduating classes will be allowed to return to school from next week – but “only if there is a certain incidence and then only in alternating classes”.

For Söder, the motto is: “One thing at a time. Weigh it up, determine the balance.”

Will any shops open from mid-March?

In the retail and business sector the first step is to open hairdressers next month, in line with what Chancellor Angela Merkel and the states agreed in their recent talks.

“From March 1st, it's back on,” said Söder. And if the numbers continue to fall, Söder says “garden centres (and florists) will then follow at the beginning of March”.

He said these were similar to supermarkets with perishable goods, and it would be in time for the spring season.

READ ALSO: Merkel proposes plan to gradually relax Covid-19 restrictions

Photo: DPA

So what about other shops?

Of course, the retail sector “won't be closed forever”, the CSU leader assured. “After all, there are also great protection concepts now with FFP2 masks. But here, too, the numbers have to be right.”

The target figure to open other non-essential shops in Bavaria is a 7-day incidence of 35 new infections per 100,000 people.

He said: “I am sure that when we have a stabilised incidence of 35, then the retail trade will be able to open, perhaps even as early as mid-March.” But that will be done “in a cautious way”, for example by ensuring there aren't too many customers at one time.

After retail – sports and culture

According to Söder, after shops are reopened, individual sports such as tennis and golf should be allowed again. Culture facilities would come next. Söder said it was important to strengthen the culture scene after the shutdown.

This doesn't only mean promoting high culture, he said, but also the independent scene, young artists “and launching a concept of a very modern open-air culture throughout Bavaria”.

Steps on how to open sports clubs again are also being considered.

READ ALSO: The charts and maps that show Germany's coronavirus situation

Opening restaurants and other venues 'most difficult'

According to Söder, reopening the hospitality sector is the “most difficult” part “because the protection concepts are difficult here”.

In pubs and restaurants, it's not possible to work only with FFP2 masks. “If eight friends sit together without masks, it could become even more dangerous,” he said. “That's why the numbers have to become a bit more stable and better.”

No forecast for Easter or beyond

When it comes to looking ahead to Easter in early April, Söder said it was too early to predict what would be allowed to reopen by then.

“I wouldn't rule anything out, but I wouldn't promise anything now either,” he said.


Söder remains on the “side of caution”. The situation is very volatile, he said. “Volatile means: everything can be fine with you today, but if you're not careful, you'll be a hotspot in no time tomorrow.”

Söder said, however, that he was pleased with the current 7-day incidence of around 55 in Bavaria.

“Who would have thought six or seven weeks ago that we are already at this point again,” he said.

But he urged people not to lose patience now, saying there are still big concerns about the Covid-19 variants spreading and pushing up numbers.

READ ALSO: Will Easter holiday travel be possible in Germany this year?

Aiwanger: Hospitality sector to open by Easter at the latest

State minister of economics and vice premier Hubert Aiwanger, of the Free Voters, on the other hand, has called for a faster roadmap to reopening public life.

Politicians must pay more attention to the “overall situation” when making decisions and “not just listen to the virologists”, he said, pointing out the damage to the economy of a prolonged lockdown.

Aiwanger said that public life should for the most part be reopened “at the very latest by Easter”, adding that the tourism sector had to be given a chance to get back on its feet.

Politics must give perspective “not only in words”, “but also in data and in concrete projects”, he said.

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HEALTH

Could there be a new wave of Covid-19 in Germany this autumn?

It’s back again: amid sinking temperatures, the incidence of Covid-19 has been slowly rising in Germany. But is this enough to merit worrying about the virus?

Could there be a new wave of Covid-19 in Germany this autumn?

More people donning face masks in supermarkets, friends cancelling plans last minute due to getting sick with Covid-19. We might have seen some of those familiar reminders recently that the coronavirus is still around, but could there really be a resurgence of the virus like we experienced during the pandemic years?

According to virologists, the answer seems to be ‘maybe’: since July, the number of people newly infected with Covid-19 has been slowly rising from a very low level.

According to the Robert Koch Institute (RKI), nine people per 100,000 inhabitants became newly infected in Germany last week. A year ago, there were only around 270 reported cases.

Various Corona variants are currently on the loose in the country. According to the RKI,  the EG.5 (also called Eris) and XBB.1.16 lines were each detected in the week ending September 3rd with a share of just under 23 percent. 

The highly mutated variant BA.2.86 (Pirola), which is currently under observation by the World Health Organisation (WHO), also arrived in the country this week, according to RKI. 

High number of unreported case

The RKI epidemiologists also warned about a high number of unreported cases since hardly any testing is done. They pointed out that almost half of all registered sewage treatment plants report an increasing viral load in wastewater tests.

The number of hospital admissions has also increased slightly, but are still a far cry from the occupation rate amid the pandemic. Last week it was two per 100,000 inhabitants. In the intensive care units, only 1.2 percent of all beds are occupied by Covid-19 patients.

Still, a good three-quarters (76.4 percent) of people in Germany have been vaccinated at least twice and thus have basic immunity, reported RKI. 

Since Monday, doctors’ offices have been vaccinating with the adapted vaccine from Biontech/Pfizer, available to anyone over 12 years old, with a vaccine for small children set to be released the following week and one for those between 5 and 11 to come out October 2nd.

But Health Minister Karl Lauterbach has so far only recommended that people over 60 and those with pre-existing conditions get vaccinated.

READ ALSO: EXPLAINED: Who should get a Covid jab this autumn in Germany?

“The pandemic is over, the virus remains,” he said. “We cannot predict the course of coming waves of corona, but it is clear that older people and people with pre-existing conditions remain at higher risk of becoming severely ill from Covid-19”

The RKI also recommended that people with a cold voluntarily wear a mask. Anyone exhibiting cough, cold, sore throat or other symptoms of a respiratory illness should voluntarily stay at home for three to five days and take regular corona self-tests. 

However, further measures such as contact restrictions are not necessary, he said.

One of many diseases

As of this autumn, Covid-19 could be one of many respiratory diseases. As with influenza, there are no longer absolute infection figures for coronavirus.

Saarbrücken pharmacist Thorsten Lehr told German broadcaster ZDF that self-protection through vaccinations, wearing a mask and getting tested when symptoms appear are prerequisites for surviving the Covid autumn well. 

Only a new, more aggressive mutation could completely turn the game around, he added.

On April 7th of this year, Germany removed the last of its over two-year long coronavirus restrictions, including mask-wearing in some public places.

READ ALSO: German doctors recommend Covid-19 self-tests amid new variant

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