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Will Mario Draghi be able to form a new Italian government?

Italian economist Mario Draghi has accepted the challenge of forming a new government - but will he have enough support to become the next PM?

Will Mario Draghi be able to form a new Italian government?
A Corazziere, of the Italian military Presidential honour guard, at the Quirinale Palace on Wednesday. Photo: AFP

Draghi began detailed talks Thursday on the formation of a new government, the day after being called in by President Sergio Mattarella amid a political and economic crisis.

Draghi, the former president of the European Central Bank (ECB,) opened discussions with party leaders in Rome on whether they would support a 'national unity' administration.

President Mattarella asked Draghi to take over and form a government after Giuseppe Conte resigned and talks between ruling parties on forming a new government between themselves ended in failure.

Draghi will not be formally nominated as prime minister until he can secure a majority in parliament – and until then, Conte's government remains in a caretaker position.

EXPLAINED: How are Italy's prime ministers chosen?

He said the eurozone's third largest economy needs “a political government that is solid and sufficiently united” to tackle the challenges ahead.

In his first public remarks since being replaced, outgoing prime minister Giuseppe Conte wished Draghi well, adding: “I'll keep working for the good of the country.”

It's still unclear however whether Draghi can gather the support he needs from Italy's political parties.

The economist's task is urgent. Italy remains in the grip of the deadly coronavirus pandemic, and Rome must also finalise a plan within weeks to boost its recession-stricken economy with the help of the European Union's recovery fund.

PROFILE: Could 'Super Mario' Draghi lead Italy out of its crisis?

He has support from some of the main parties in parliament, but the biggest – the populist Five Star Movement (M5S) – is not yet on board.

“Despite his stature, it is not at all clear if he can win backing from a fragmented parliament that has seen two governments collapse since 2018,” commented Federico Santi, senior analyst at the Eurasia group.

Mario Draghi  gives a press conference after at the Quirinal palace in Rome on Wenesday. Photo: AFP

Draghi held talks on Thursday with some of the smaller parties, and will continue discussions on Friday and Saturday.

Two of the three parties in the current gverning coalition have so far indicated they will back him.

The Democratic Party (PD) and Matteo Renzi's Italia Viva are likely to support Draghi.

Silvio Berlusconi's conservative Forza Italia said they would enter negotiations with a “very positive attitude”.

But Draghi also needs the abstention or the support of one of three other parties: the M5S, Matteo Salvini's far-right League and the Brothers of Italy, also far right.

Even if it has lost most of its radical edge, the M5S started out as an anti-elitist, Eurosceptic party, so it is ideologically awkward for them to endorse an establishment figure like Draghi.

READ ALSO: Why do Italy's governments collapse so often?

One of the M5S leaders, outgoing Foreign Minister Luigi Di Maio, echoed Conte's call for a “political government”, rejecting the idea of a cabinet made up of technocrats.

Draghi could get around that by offering some cabinet posts to the M5S and other parties, but it remained unclear whether this would be enough.

There is speculation that the PD's Roberto Gualtieri could survive as economy minister, a key post as Italy draws up plans to dig itself out of the worst recession since World War II.

Italy is banking on receiving the lion's share of a European Union recovery fund –around 200 billion euros ($240 billion) – but must submit a credible spending plan to Brussels by April.

The Milan stock market was higher for a second day on Thursday, closing 1.65 percent up, which analysts attributed to confidence in Draghi.

“We know he'll do 'whatever it takes' to steer Italy out of its worst economic and health crisis since the war,” said Markets.com analyst Neil Wilson.

Should Draghi fail to secure a majority, the fallback option would be snap elections, which a right-wing bloc led by Salvini would be favourite to win.

Mattarella said on Tuesday he wants to avoid early elections, given the complexity and risk of holding them in the middle of a pandemic.

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POLITICS

Italy’s Meloni criticises her own government’s ‘Big Brother tax’ law

Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni on Wednesday criticised an "invasive" tax evasion measure reintroduced by her own government, sparking accusations of incompetence from opposition lawmakers.

Italy's Meloni criticises her own government's 'Big Brother tax' law

The measure, allowing Italy’s tax authorities to check bank accounts to look for discrepancies between someone’s declared income and their spending, was abolished in 2018 but its return was announced in the government’s official journal of business this week.

Meloni had previously been strongly critical of the ‘redditometro’ measure, and took to social media on Wednesday to defend herself from accusations of hypocrisy.

“Never will any ‘Big Brother tax’ be introduced by this government,” she wrote on Facebook.

Meloni said she had asked deputy economy minister Maurizio Leo – a member of her own far-right Brothers of Italy party, who introduced the measure – to bring it to the next cabinet meeting.

“And if changes are necessary, I will be the first to ask,” she wrote.

Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Antonio Tajani, who heads the right-wing Forza Italia party, also railed against what he called an “obsolete tool”.

He called for it to be revoked, saying it did not fight tax evasion but “oppresses, invades people’s lives”.

Deputy Prime Minister Matteo Salvini, who leads the far-right League party, said it was “one of the horrors of the past” and deserved to stay there.

Opposition parties revelled in the turmoil within the governing coalition, where tensions are already high ahead of European Parliament elections in which all three parties are competing with each other.

“They are not bad, they are just incapable,” said former premier Matteo Renzi, now leader of a small centrist party.

Another former premier, Five Star Movement leader Giuseppe Conte, asked of Meloni: “Was she asleep?”

The measure allows tax authorities to take into account when assessing someone’s real income elements including jewellery, life insurance, horse ownership, gas and electricity bills, pets and hairdressing expenses.

According to the government, tax evasion and fraud cost the Italian state around 95 to 100 billion euros each year.

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