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How deportations of school kids are testing Austria’s ruling coalition

The deportation of three school students from Austria this week brought to the fore cracks in the country's ruling conservative-green coalition, with observers warning of further possible "stress tests" if and when the pandemic wanes.

How deportations of school kids are testing Austria's ruling coalition
Karl Nehammer. Photo: AFP

Despite a high-profile campaign to keep the students and their families in Austria, they were deported to Georgia and Armenia early on Thursday morning.

Dramatic scenes on Austria TV showed the students — aged between 12 and 20 — and their families being driven to the aircraft and police officers dragging protesters out of their path.

Interior Minister Karl Nehammer, from the centre-right People’s Party (OeVP), said he was “personally affected” by the girls’ plight.

SEE ALSO: Why Kurz now backs Merkel on rejection of far-right

But Green party politicians say Nehammer could have prevented the deportations and hit out at the OeVP, with the leader of the Green delegation of MPs, Sigrid Maurer, slamming Nehammer’s comments as “hypocrisy”.

Even President Alexander Van der Bellen, a former Green politician who normally remains above the day-to-day political fray, condemned the action, saying: “I cannot believe that we live in a country where this is really necessary.”

‘Extreme’ conflict

Analysts say the row shows how arguments that erupted shortly after the coalition government was sworn in last year, but which have taken a back seat during the pandemic, may now begin to return to the fore.

Under its leader, Chancellor Sebastian Kurz, the OeVP has made much of its tough stance on immigration, attracting voters from the far-right Freedom Party (FPOe) in the process.

By contrast, the Greens have been the most outspoken advocates of refugee rights in Austrian politics.

“The conflict with the Greens over migration is one of the most extreme you can find in terms of disparities within the political spectrum,” said Julia Partheymueller of Vienna University’s Centre for Electoral Research.

“If the pandemic is ever over, other issues will emerge,” said Partheymueller, adding that as “migration remains a very salient issue, I do think such rows will happen more frequently.”

Indeed, even in the earlier stages of the pandemic, the Greens found themselves overruled on issues surrounding migration.

The Greens made clear their wish to take in people from the sprawling, overcrowded and unsanitary migrant camp of Moria in Greece.

But Chancellor Kurz quashed the idea, promising instead to send aid to help “on the ground”.

Political analyst Thomas Hofer said that there was a danger of the OeVP “overdoing it” and being too harsh in its stance on migration.

“The Greens are being humiliated a little here,” he told AFP.

The party is facing “a stress test… It’s harming the DNA of the Green party,” he said.

‘Show they can deliver’

Even Green Vice-Chancellor Werner Kogler, who has normally been at pains to smooth over any differences within government, branded the girls’ expulsions as “inhuman” and “irresponsible”.

Nevertheless, analyst Hofer said that, for the moment, “the Greens want to show that they can stay in government, that they can deliver”.

Another key issue was climate change, the expert said.

“This is I think the most important issue for them this coming year,” he said, pointing as an example to a proposed “greening” of the tax system.

Partheymueller suggested out that, with none of the larger parties taking a more liberal line than the Greens on immigration, disaffected Greens “have nowhere (else) to go.”

In the meantime, Green Health Minister Rudolf Anschober made the case for his party’s continued presence in government.

“We’re in government to try to contribute to making things better,” Anschober told the Puls24 TV station.

“That works on many days, on some days sadly it doesn’t. Thursday was one of those days,” he said.

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GREENS

ANALYSIS: Greens face dashed hopes – and new leverage in German vote aftermath

With growing fears about global warming, deadly floods linked to climate change and a new political landscape as Angela Merkel leaves the stage, it should have been the German Greens' year.

ANALYSIS: Greens face dashed hopes - and new leverage in German vote aftermath
The Greens co-leaders Annalena Baerbock and Robert Habeck at the Greens' election event in Berlin. Photo: picture alliance/dpa | Christoph Soeder

After launching their campaign for Sunday’s general election in the spring with a youthful, energetic candidate in Annalena Baerbock, the sky seemed to be the limit – perhaps even taking the chancellery.

But although Germany has never seen an election campaign so focused on the climate crisis, the party turned in a third-place finish behind the centre-left Social Democrats (SPD), leading the race by a whisker, and the outgoing Merkel’s conservative Christian Democrats.

However Baerbock, 40, proved popular with young voters and her party with around 14 percent strongly improved on its 8.9 percent score from four years ago.

It is now widely expected to play a key kingmaker role in the coalition haggling to form a government.

“We wanted to win the chancellery, unfortunately that wasn’t possible,” Baerbock said late Sunday.

“We made mistakes but we have a clear mandate for our country and we will respect it. This country needs a government that will fight global warming – that’s the voters’ message.”

A fateful series of missteps by Baerbock as well as a perhaps more tepid appetite for change among Germans than first hoped saw the Greens’ initial
lead fizzle by early summer.

LIVE: Centre-left Social Democrats edge ahead in German election results

It never recovered.

“It was a historic chance for the Greens,” Der Spiegel wrote in a recent cover story on Baerbock’s “catastrophic mistakes”.

“The Greens stand like no other party for the big issue of our time but that doesn’t begin to ensure that they win majorities. They need a broader base.”

Annalena Baerbock and Robert Habeck. Photo: picture alliance/dpa | Kay Nietfeld

‘Shameless and complacent’

Baerbock captured the imagination of Germans when she announced her candidacy in April, and her promise of a fresh start after 16 years of Merkel rocketed the party to the top of the polls.

But by this week, even her co-party leader Robert Habeck admitted that the Greens had been forced to set their sights lower.

“The distance to the chancellery has grown quite large of course,” he told the daily Die Welt.

“We saw that our political rivals didn’t have much interest in change and kept saying ‘Yes, yes, climate protection is nice but it shouldn’t be too expensive’.

Without recognising that not protecting the climate is the most expensive answer.”

He said the Greens’ rivals “want to continue the Merkel era in the campaign, as shameless and complacent as possible”.

‘Hold all the cards’

Critics sought to portray the Greens as a “prohibition party” that would lead to rises in petrol, electricity and air ticket prices.

The party has advocated stopping coal energy by 2030 instead of the current 2038, and wants production of combustion engine cars to end from the same year.

While Germans pay lip service to climate protection, a recent poll for the independent Allensbach Institute found 55 percent oppose paying more to ensure it.

“The Germans have decades of prosperity and growth behind them – there were hardly limits and that burned its way deep into the public consciousness,” Spiegel said.

“Doing without is linked to dark times – triggering memories among the very old of (wartime) turnip soup and alienation among the young used to having more and more to choose from.”

On the other hand climate activists, who rallied in their hundreds of thousands across Germany on Friday, said even the Greens’ ambitious programme would fall short in heading off climate-linked disasters in the coming decades.   

Meanwhile Baerbock’s relative inexperience was laid bare under the hot campaign spotlight.

“She overestimated her abilities and then she doubted herself – not a good combination,” Ursula Münch, director of the Academy for Political Education
near Munich, told AFP.

“She should have been more patient and waited until next time.”

Despite the sobering outcome, the Greens nevertheless look well-placed to make the most of a junior role, under either SPD candidate Olaf Scholz or the

Armin Laschet, political analyst Karl-Rudolf Korte told ZDF public television as the results came in.

He said “all eyes” would be on the Greens and the other potential kingmaker, the pro-business Free Democrats, who came in fourth place with about 11.5 percent.

“Those two parties hold all the cards,” he said.

By Deborah COLE

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