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ECONOMY

‘Too little, too late’: Spain’s plan to help struggling restaurants and bars slammed

Spain’s government has approved a €4.2 billion incentives package for its tourism and hospitality sector, including for its approximately quarter of a million bars and restaurants, a measure critics have already labelled as “shameful” and not enough.

'Too little, too late': Spain's plan to help struggling restaurants and bars slammed
Photo: AFP

What would Spain be without its bars, taverns, ‘chiringuitos’ and restaurants?

In 2018, there were reportedly 277,500 eateries across the country, making it a world leader in this sense with one establishment for every 175 inhabitants.

Not only is eating and drinking out an intrinsic part of Spanish culture, it’s the driving force behind its service-based economy, employing millions of people in the country who have been hit hard by the coronavirus lockdown and ensuing restrictions.

On Tuesday the Spanish government approved its “reinforcement plan” for its tourism and hospitality industries, in doing so becoming the last of the big European economies to come to the rescue of a sector that’s been crippled for months.

Germany, France and Italy, all countries where the hospitality industry represents up to 7 percent of their GDP compared to 20 percent for Spain, already rolled out rescue measures weeks ago. Holland, Romania and Luxemburg also reacted quickly.

Spain’s hospitality sector had called for €8.5 billion of direct aid to deal with the unprecedented crisis of 65,000 establishment closures and 100,000 more at risk.

But after a month of waiting, the rescue plan will not include direct aid and has been estimated by government spokesperson and Minister of Finance María Jesús Montero to be worth around €4.2 billion.

Restaurant workers in Barcelona hold placards reading “Hospitality is not a virus”. 

The standout features of this decree for struggling bar and restaurant owners is that their landlords will be forced to cut rents and certain tax reductions.

Property owners renting out more than ten establishments who haven’t agreed to a temporary discount with their renters in the hospitality sector will have to slash rents by 50 percent until Spain’s state of emergency is lifted.

If the landlords own fewer than ten establishments they’ll be able to apply the rent reduction as a deductible Personal Income Tax expense during the first quarter of 2021.

The payment of taxes will also be deferred for six months for business owners, SMEs and self-employed workers in the sector (with a three-month grace period), up to a maximum amount of €30,000.

The hospitality sector had called for direct non-recoverable aid but the government will instead offer €500 million-worth of loans that have to be paid back by companies and ‘autónomos’ who apply for these ICO credits.

Restaurant tickets, which many companies give employees as a cost-saving perk, will also be able to be used for takeaways rather than just to eat on the premises.

“The aim is to provide aid and resources to significantly relieve the burden on businesses and facilitate liquidity,” Montero concluded.

But that hasn’t been the reaction from tourism and hospitality groups, who have called the measures “insufficient”.

“The government hasn’t offered a proper rescue plan that provides the aid we need to survive”, José Luis Yzuel, head of Spain's Hospitality Business Association said in reaction to the news.

“The rent reductions will only help 3 percent of the hospitality sector and leaves thousands of families unprotected,”.

“It’s a disgrace and it’s insulting that there isn’t a single measure which offers direct help for the sector, they’re just passing the buck to the regional governments,” Héctor Cañete, Yzuel’s counterpart in Galicia, added.

“There are measures that could have been implemented, such as the one in Germany where 75 percent of earnings from the same month in 2019 are being paid by the State to restaurant and bar owners.

“The government isn’t taking care of Spain’s tourism and hospitality sector.”
 

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ECONOMY

How is Denmark’s economy handling inflation and rate rises?

Denmark's economy is now expected to avoid a recession in the coming years, with fewer people losing their jobs than expected, despite high levels of inflation and rising interest rates, The Danish Economic Council has said in a new report.

How is Denmark's economy handling inflation and rate rises?

The council, led by four university economics professors commonly referred to as “the wise men” or vismænd in Denmark, gave a much rosier picture of Denmark’s economy in its spring report, published on Tuesday, than it did in its autumn report last year. 

“We, like many others, are surprised by how employment continues to rise despite inflation and higher interest rates,” the chair or ‘chief wise man’,  Carl-Johan Dalgaard, said in a press release.

“A significant drop in energy prices and a very positive development in exports mean that things have gone better than feared, and as it looks now, the slowdown will therefore be more subdued than we estimated in the autumn.”

In the English summary of its report, the council noted that in the autumn, market expectations were that energy prices would remain at a high level, with “a real concern for energy supply shortages in the winter of 2022/23”.

That the slowdown has been more subdued, it continued was largely due to a significant drop in energy prices compared to the levels seen in late summer 2022, and compared to the market expectations for 2023.  

The council now expects Denmark’s GDP growth to slow to 1 percent in 2023 rather than for the economy to shrink by 0.2 percent, as it predicted in the autumn. 

In 2024, it expects the growth rate to remain the same as in 2003, with another year of 1 percent GDP growth. In its autumn report it expected weaker growth of 0.6 percent in 2024.

What is the outlook for employment? 

In the autumn, the expert group estimated that employment in Denmark would decrease by 100,000 people towards the end of the 2023, with employment in 2024  about 1 percent below the estimated structural level. 

Now, instead, it expects employment will fall by just 50,000 people by 2025.

What does the expert group’s outlook mean for interest rates and government spending? 

Denmark’s finance minister Nikolai Wammen came in for some gentle criticism, with the experts judging that “the 2023 Finance Act, which was adopted in May, should have been tighter”.  The current government’s fiscal policy, it concludes “has not contributed to countering domestic inflationary pressures”. 

The experts expect inflation to stay above 2 percent in 2023 and 2024 and not to fall below 2 percent until 2025. 

If the government decides to follow the council’s advice, the budget in 2024 will have to be at least as tight, if not tighter than that of 2023. 

“Fiscal policy in 2024 should not contribute to increasing demand pressure, rather the opposite,” they write. 

The council also questioned the evidence justifying abolishing the Great Prayer Day holiday, which Denmark’s government has claimed will permanently increase the labour supply by 8,500 full time workers. 

“The council assumes that the abolition of Great Prayer Day will have a short-term positive effect on the labour supply, while there is no evidence of a long-term effect.” 

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