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Germany grapples with rising coronavirus cases as more under 35s become infected

The number of new coronavirus infections in Germany remains high. We take a look at where new cases are.

Germany grapples with rising coronavirus cases as more under 35s become infected
People walking in Marienplatz in Munich. From Thursday visitors to this area will have to wear a face mask. Photo: DPA

The public health authorities in Germany on Tuesday reported 1,821 new coronavirus infections within 24 hours.

And fresh figures highlight how more young people are picking up the virus.

Half of new cases in Bavaria are under 35s

In Bavaria, which is tightening its coronavirus restrictions this week in a bid to slow down the spread, every second new case is someone aged 15 to 34-years-old.

Figures from the State Office for Health and Food Safety (LGL) show 47 percent of all reported infections in the last seven days come from this age group.

“At this age there is often contact with a large number of people – and the risk of infection is underestimated in one case or another,” said state health minister Melanie Huml of the centre-right Christian Social Union (CSU) in Munich on Tuesday.

According to the LGL, 29 percent of all reported infections in the past seven days are accounted for by the group of young adults aged 20 to 30 years-old alone.

“The increase in corona infections in Bavaria can still be attributed in part to the many summer travel returnees from risk areas,” said Huml.

“But careless behaviour that increases the risk of transmitting SARS-CoV-2 can also be a reason.”

As The Local has been reporting, authorities in Munich are worried about replacement parties held to celebrate Oktoberfest, which was cancelled earlier this year.

Huml asked for caution and consideration. She urged people to think about their own protection and that of others, and to adhere to distance rules.

READ ALSO: 'Numbers are too high': Munich tightens coronavirus rules and contact restrictions

Bavaria has reported around 65,000 coronavirus cases since the pandemic began.

What's happening elsewhere in Germany?

There are also worries about rising rates in Berlin. The Berlin Senate introduced a traffic light warning system in a bid to keep checks on the coronavirus epidemic in the capital.

Currently two of the three warning lights representing the reproduction (R0) number and the amount of new infections have moved from green to amber. The other indicator included in the traffic light system, which is still green, is the occupancy rate of intensive care beds.

The R number in Berlin is 1.52 at the moment, meaning one person with coronavirus goes on to infect around 1.5 others. 

With a 7-day incidence of 21 new infections per 100,000 inhabitants, cases are rising fast.

In the popular central Friedrichshain-Kreuzberg district the number – 51 – is significantly higher. It's above the threshold of 50 new cases per 100,000 people in seven days. Coronavirus measures in Germany have to be tightened when this threshold is crossed.

The Senate is now discussing further measures with the particularly affected districts of Mitte, Neukölln and Friedrichshain-Kreuzberg. Berlin will also discuss tightening the obligation to wear masks in public places like in Munich.

There have been around 13,100 cases in Berlin since the start of the outbreak.

READ ALSO: 'Take coronavirus seriously': Berlin mum makes plea after 30 days in coma

In some cities across Germany's most populous state of North Rhine-Westphalia (NRW), including Cologne, Hamm, Remscheid, Gelsenkirchen and the Oberbergischer district there are also rising cases. That means residents there could face restrictions on public life soon.

In NRW there's been around 65,200 confirmed cases since the outbreak began.

What's the big picture?

According to the Robert Koch Institute (RKI), at least 274,158 people in Germany are confirmed to have picked up the Sars-CoV-2 virus since the beginning of the pandemic, and 9,396 people have died.

On Saturday, 2,297 new Covid-19 infections were recorded in Germany, the highest figure since April. “After a temporary stabilisation of case numbers at an increased level, a further increase in transmissions in the population in Germany can currently be observed,” wrote the RKI in its situation report on Monday.

The peak in the number of new infections reported daily had been more than 6,000 at the end of March/beginning of April. The number then fell and then rose again in July. In August the number of cases topped 2,000 (2,034) once. The number of new infections detected also depends on the number of people being tested.

According to RKI estimates on Monday, the reproduction rate, or R-value for short, was 1.06 in Germany (previous day: 1.22). This means that someone with coronavirus goes on to infect on average slightly more than one other person.

The R-value reflects the course of infection about one and a half weeks before. Experts aim to keep it under 1 but it is subject to fluctuation.

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HEALTH

Could there be a new wave of Covid-19 in Germany this autumn?

It’s back again: amid sinking temperatures, the incidence of Covid-19 has been slowly rising in Germany. But is this enough to merit worrying about the virus?

Could there be a new wave of Covid-19 in Germany this autumn?

More people donning face masks in supermarkets, friends cancelling plans last minute due to getting sick with Covid-19. We might have seen some of those familiar reminders recently that the coronavirus is still around, but could there really be a resurgence of the virus like we experienced during the pandemic years?

According to virologists, the answer seems to be ‘maybe’: since July, the number of people newly infected with Covid-19 has been slowly rising from a very low level.

According to the Robert Koch Institute (RKI), nine people per 100,000 inhabitants became newly infected in Germany last week. A year ago, there were only around 270 reported cases.

Various Corona variants are currently on the loose in the country. According to the RKI,  the EG.5 (also called Eris) and XBB.1.16 lines were each detected in the week ending September 3rd with a share of just under 23 percent. 

The highly mutated variant BA.2.86 (Pirola), which is currently under observation by the World Health Organisation (WHO), also arrived in the country this week, according to RKI. 

High number of unreported case

The RKI epidemiologists also warned about a high number of unreported cases since hardly any testing is done. They pointed out that almost half of all registered sewage treatment plants report an increasing viral load in wastewater tests.

The number of hospital admissions has also increased slightly, but are still a far cry from the occupation rate amid the pandemic. Last week it was two per 100,000 inhabitants. In the intensive care units, only 1.2 percent of all beds are occupied by Covid-19 patients.

Still, a good three-quarters (76.4 percent) of people in Germany have been vaccinated at least twice and thus have basic immunity, reported RKI. 

Since Monday, doctors’ offices have been vaccinating with the adapted vaccine from Biontech/Pfizer, available to anyone over 12 years old, with a vaccine for small children set to be released the following week and one for those between 5 and 11 to come out October 2nd.

But Health Minister Karl Lauterbach has so far only recommended that people over 60 and those with pre-existing conditions get vaccinated.

READ ALSO: EXPLAINED: Who should get a Covid jab this autumn in Germany?

“The pandemic is over, the virus remains,” he said. “We cannot predict the course of coming waves of corona, but it is clear that older people and people with pre-existing conditions remain at higher risk of becoming severely ill from Covid-19”

The RKI also recommended that people with a cold voluntarily wear a mask. Anyone exhibiting cough, cold, sore throat or other symptoms of a respiratory illness should voluntarily stay at home for three to five days and take regular corona self-tests. 

However, further measures such as contact restrictions are not necessary, he said.

One of many diseases

As of this autumn, Covid-19 could be one of many respiratory diseases. As with influenza, there are no longer absolute infection figures for coronavirus.

Saarbrücken pharmacist Thorsten Lehr told German broadcaster ZDF that self-protection through vaccinations, wearing a mask and getting tested when symptoms appear are prerequisites for surviving the Covid autumn well. 

Only a new, more aggressive mutation could completely turn the game around, he added.

On April 7th of this year, Germany removed the last of its over two-year long coronavirus restrictions, including mask-wearing in some public places.

READ ALSO: German doctors recommend Covid-19 self-tests amid new variant

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