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HOUSING

Housing in Germany: Where demand and prices are soaring

How fast are property prices rising in Germany? A new study sheds light on the real estate market, as more people dream of buying their own place.

Housing in Germany: Where demand and prices are soaring
Archive photo shows homes in Munich. Photo: DPA

Low interest rates and demand for homes is fuelling the real estate market and driving up prices, according to Postbank’s new ‘Wohnatlas 2020’.

In 2019, more than 90 percent of all German administrative districts and cities saw an increase in purchase prices, the study, which looks at how real estate prices are developing, found.

On average across Germany, prices rose by 9.3 percent compared to 2018 after adjustment for inflation – an even higher increase than in the previous year.

And according to the research it’s just not cities where costs are going up, but also rural areas.

“Low interest rates, high demand and scarce supply – these were once again the most important price drivers for the real estate market in 2019,” said Eva Grunwald, head of Postbank’s real estate business.”

And Grunwald said a reversal of this trend is “not in sight in most regions of Germany”.

READ ALSO: Housing in Germany – here’s where rent prices are going up (and down)

Munich remains the most expensive

The fact remains that nowhere in Germany is more expensive for properties than the Bavarian capital of Munich.

In 2019, for example, a square metre cost 6.2 percent more than in the previous year. The average value for apartments in existing buildings in the Bavarian capital is €8,079 per square meter.

In a comparison of the so-called ‘Big Seven’, the seven largest German cities, prices rose most sharply in Frankfurt am Main. On average, real estate buyers had to pay €5,687 per square meter in 2019, 11 percent more than in the previous year.

The German banking metropolis continues to rank second among the most expensive large cities.

The steep increase ensures that Frankfurt is set apart from the Hanseatic City of Hamburg, which is in third place with an average price per square metre of €5,054.

The table below shows the price per square metre in the seven biggest cities, plus the increase form the previous year.

Source: Postbank

Berlin is also catching up: prices in the German capital rose by almost 10 percent. With an average square metre price of €4,639 euros, Berlin has passed Stuttgart and is now in fourth place in the ranking of the seven big cities.

Frankfurt and Berlin were the only two cities where the price increase was above the national average of 9.3 percent. The map below shows the average price per square metres in the seven biggest German cities, as well as the situation across Germany.

Commuter belt is desirable

The price level continues to rise in the areas around cities – the so-called ‘Speckgurtel’ (commuter belt, literally fat belt),   the Postbank study shows.

Demand is high, and apartments and houses on offer are often sold quickly. Grunwald warned prospective buyers not to rush into things. “Those interested in buying should nevertheless definitely take the time to take a close look at their dream property,” said Grunwald.  “Individual properties could be overpriced and nobody should be pressured to buy.”

Almost all of Germany’s most expensive districts are in the south of the country.

READ ALSO: What you need to know about the German property tax that affects us all

The top 10 include nine Bavarian districts. In seven German districts, the average price per square meter for residential property has now passed the €5,000 mark.

The table below shows the top 10 most expensive districts in Germany, not including the seven biggest cities.

Source: Postbank

But the most expensive district in Germany is not in Bavaria: in North Frisia, which includes the popular islands of Sylt, Föhr and Amrum, as well as holiday resorts such as St. Peter Ording, the square meter costs an average of €6,452.

The previous year’s study showed a slight decline in prices in North Frisia for the first time – but this year’s study shows a 14 percent increase in the cost.

In second place in the ranking of the most expensive districts is Miesbach, Bavaria, with an average of €6,127 per square meter.

The Bavarian districts of Starnberg and Munich have also broken through the €6,000 mark. All three districts are located in the “Speckgurtel” of the Bavarian capital and benefit from a convenient location and public transport.

Comparatively high-priced regions can also be found in the north of Germany on the coasts and in the commuter belt of the other cities.

Price hikes due to short supply of housing

Three districts in Brandenburg, the neighbouring state to Berlin, were particularly hit hard by the price spiral.

The Uckermark registered the strongest increase in Germany with a huge 48 percent increase.  Prices per square metre in the Elbe-Elster district shot up by almost 42 percent.

And in Frankfurt (Oder), too, residential property became more expensive by a third. Price increases for existing apartments were particularly noticeable in districts and cities in which there is a low supply of housing.

The table below shows the highest increases in percentages across regions.

Source: Postbank

Zweibrücken in Rhineland-Palatinate also experienced strong price increases. In Germany’s smallest independent city, apartments became almost 36 percent more expensive on average. There were similar price jumps in Mansfeld-Südharz in Saxony-Anhalt. However, the square metre prices remained comparatively low last year at an average of €831.

The sharpest price hikes in the past year are therefore not in the major cities and their suburbs, but instead in less densely populated regions with a low and fairly cheap supply of properties.

For members

PROPERTY

10 essential tips for avoiding rental scams in Germany

Rental scams are on the rise in Germany, and fraudsters are becoming more sophisticated than you may think. We spoke to a couple who were scammed in Berlin to put together tips to stay safe while house hunting.

10 essential tips for avoiding rental scams in Germany

When it comes to settling in Germany, one of the most stressful and difficult tasks you’re likely to face is finding a place to live.

With the country in the grip of an ever-worsening housing shortage, there aren’t enough rental properties to meet the high demand – especially in big cities like Berlin, Munich and Frankfurt – and the flats that are available can often stretch even the most healthy of budgets. 

With renters desperate to find affordable homes, crafty scammers have seized the chance to place fake ads on the market, often in dream locations with lower-than-average rents. 

While some of these scams may be easy to spot, others can be highly sophisticated, with fraudsters setting up professional-looking websites and even allowing hopeful tenants to view their properties in person.

Recently The Local reported on a Polish couple who lost around €7,000 through a rental scam in Berlin. The scammers had sublet a beautiful Altbau apartment in the popular district of Neukölln and created an advert for it via a fake letting agent website, then arranged for people to use a key box to view the property while the real tenants were away. 

READ ALSO: How sophisticated scammers are targeting desperate Berlin tenants

Despite checking the contract over with legal experts from their local tenants’ association, nobody saw anything out of the ordinary – that is, until they tried to access the apartment and found a family already living there.

So, how do you protect your hard-earned savings and steer clear of scammers while looking for a new home?

Here are 10 important ways to protect yourself from rental scams. 

1. Be alert to suspicious signs 

The key to avoiding scammers in Germany is to be fully clued up on the warning signs. Was the listing for the property uploaded in the middle of the night, is the advert thin on details or written in bad German or English, and does the offer feel too good to be true?

Though it would be nice to believe there are still cheap flats to be found, finding an attractive property at an overly reasonable price is usually a red flag. 

Hamburg

Modern apartments in Hamburg. Photo: picture alliance/dpa | Daniel Bockwoldt

If someone claiming to be a landlord contacts you out of the blue, that’s also your cue to run a mile. With so many people looking for housing, most letting agents and landlords will have more than people looking to rent their properties without needing to get in touch with people themselves. Anyone who does is more than likely to be a scammer.

2. Rule out landlords who say they live abroad

One of the major warning signs to look out for is a landlord who claims to be renting the property from abroad, or who says they are out of the country for other reasons, like a last-minute business trip.

That’s usually a scammer’s way of excusing the fact that they won’t be able to meet you personally or even show you the property before you rent it.

“When the country the landlord lives in appears then I would say there’s a really big chance this is a scam,” said Kuba Rudzinski, one of the victims of the Berlin-Neukölln rental fraud.

Even if the excuse seems plausible, your best bet is to ignore anyone who tries to sell you a story about living abroad and simply move on with your house hunt.

READ ALSO: Why Germany’s housing crisis is expected to drag on

3. Do your research online

Before committing to anything, take time to do some thorough research to scope out the property, landlord and letting agent. 

Running the pictures and text used in apartment listings through a search engine like Google will help you quickly identify stock photos and text stolen from other listings. For pictures, this is known as a reverse image search. 

A laptop

Photo by 2H Media on Unsplash

It’s also worth checking that any websites you’re sent to are fully functional and not copies of other letting agent sites, and that any email addresses match the website domain. 

READ ALSO: How much deposit do I have to pay when renting in Germany?

4. Visit the property and ask around 

Never agree to rent a property without seeing it in person first. Arrange a viewing and take the opportunity to ask questions about the property and the neighbourhood. 

Kuba also recommends speaking with the neighbours in the building to check if the property is genuinely being rented. 

“Go to the place before and ask the neighbours, is this flat really for rent? Because these people generally know,” he said. “You’ll need to convince yourself to do it of course, but just ask in the building, ask on the floor where the flat is.”

5. Don’t transfer the full deposit in advance

Advance payments for anything, whether it’s furniture, a deposit or getting a chance to view the property, should be considered a major red flag.

Under German law, you are usually only expected to pay the deposit by the start of the agreed rental contract – and certainly not several months in advance.

Euro notes lie next to some house keys on a table.

Euro notes lie next to some house keys on a table. Photo: picture alliance/dpa/dpa-tmn | Andrea Warnecke

You are also legally entitled to pay your three months’ deposit in three instalments on top of your first three months’ rent after moving in, so definitely be cautious of landlords that place pressure on you to transfer a large lump sum.

If you’re really concerned, look into alternatives for paying your deposit, such as Kautionversicherung (deposit insurance) or a Mietkautionssparbuch, where you open a bank account and pledge the amount to the landlord, rather than transferring the money directly. 

6. Insist on meeting the landlord or letting agent in person

If a landlord or letting agent refuses to meet you in person or insists on conducting all communication online, they’re probably not who they say they are. 

Insist on meeting face-to-face to verify their identity and ensure they have a legitimate connection to the property.

7. Avoid sending documents straight away 

Not all rental scams are about getting money from you directly: many scammers are simply after your personal details for the purposes of identity theft.

Be wary of providing personal documents or sensitive information before you’ve verified the legitimacy of the rental agreement, especially when it comes to things like passport scans or other forms of ID. 

READ ALSO: Five common rental scams in Germany and how to avoid them

8. Seek legal advice from experts

If you’re unsure about any aspect of the rental agreement or if something seems suspicious, seek advice from legal experts or tenants’ associations. 

However, be aware that this isn’t always a cast-iron guarantee that a tenancy is legitmate. Over the past few years, fraudsters have become increasingly sophisticated, even down to producing water-tight rental contracts for would-be tenants. 

An estate agent hands over keys to an apartment. Photo: picture alliance/dpa/dpa-tmn | Christin Klose

According to civil lawyer Emilia Tintelnot, becoming a member of a tenants’ association can be a good way to get affordable legal advice, and it can also be helpful to set up legal insurance to ensure you can access help when you need it without having to pay lawyers’ fees up front.

9. Be wary of stereotypes 

Avoid making assumptions based on stereotypes or preconceived notions about someone’s gender or nationality, as this may cause you to overlook things you might otherwise see as warning signs.

In Kuba’s case, the fact that the fraudsters were German made them appear more legitimate in his eyes, as Polish people tend to see Germans as law-abiding and trustworthy. 

Be aware that scammers can come from any cultural background and may use a variety of tactics to deceive unsuspecting renters.

10. Keep an extensive paper trail 

Document all communication, agreements, and transactions related to the rental process, including phone numbers and any bank details provided.

According to the Berlin police, this type of evidence can be crucial for an investigation if you do suspect a scammer.

While evidence can differ across cases, “pictures, contact details used by the perpetrators, original documents, bank details with payment receipts” are particularly helpful for investigators, and could help the police stop the scammers for good. 

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