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EUROPEAN UNION

Can Merkel rally Germans behind massive EU recovery ‘U-turn’ package?

Angela Merkel will need to spend much of the political capital she banked during the coronavirus pandemic to rally Germans behind a massive European recovery package that marks a sharp break with Berlin's budget orthodoxy.

Flying high in the polls because of seemingly steady, science-based leadership through the crisis, the German chancellor agreed in a teleconference with French President Emmanuel Macron on Monday to push for a €500 billion ($544 billion) European Union fund to fight devastating economic fallout.

The “once in a lifetime” money pot would be available as subsidies to help the most stricken among the EU's 27 members bounce back.

It would notably be underwritten with joint borrowing by the bloc — until now a taboo in Europe's top economy.

Germany would foot about €135 billion of the total bill for the proposal, which needs the unanimous support of member states.

The announcement sparked alarm among Merkel's fellow conservatives.

“This is nothing less than a complete U-turn by the German government,” the right-leaning Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung said.

“Perhaps it is in Germany's self-interest to do all it can to save the EU politically and economically,” the newspaper said. “But the EU's rules and principles should not be jettisoned overboard too quickly.”

It called on Austria, the Netherlands, Denmark and Sweden – dubbed the “frugal four” – to make good on their pledge to block grants to debt-mired countries and instead push for loans that would need to be repaid.

READ ALSO: Merkel and Macron propose €50 billion plan to relaunch EU economy

'Very sceptical'

Conservative daily Die Welt said there was “hardly an alternative” to the “gigantic aid payments”.

But, it warned, “the Germans are going to be hit especially hard as, by far, the biggest paymaster”.

Alexander Graf Lambsdorff of the opposition pro-business Free Democratic Party warned there would be a “lively debate” about the measures, telling ZDF public television that he was “very sceptical” that the plan would be realised.

However Merkel's CDU/CSU parliamentary group expressed at least initial support, calling the plan a “strong contribution to European solidarity” while “respecting German budgetary limits” as a programme on the EU's books – not  Berlin's.

The president of Berlin's Hertie School of Governance, Henrik Enderlein, agreed that the fund was unlikely to run into the kind of trouble seen with the German Constitutional Court's ruling this month questioning massive bond-buying by the European Central Bank.

“This is EU fiscal policy and will be mandated by the German parliament,” he said. “If approved, there is no way this can be stopped in courts.”

Germany has long opposed so-called “eurobonds” – and a more recent proposal for “coronabonds” – which would lower borrowing costs for partners in trouble by pooling debt, arguing it would encourage profligate governance.

But the severity of the crisis seemed to focus minds in Berlin, leading Merkel to take a bold step, which she defended with unusually emotional rhetoric.

Calling the initiative “a vital contribution to ensuring the future of the EU”, Merkel insisted: “We have got to act in a European way so we can emerge from this crisis, and emerge from it strengthened.”

'Leave her mark'

Der Spiegel said the proposal would probably mean both Macron and Merkel would face “a whole lot of grief” but argued that it elegantly solved a political problem for each of them.

“Merkel will now be able to avoid coronabonds while Macron can at least in the short term distract attention from domestic crises with this foreign policy success — vive l'amitie, long live the friendship,” said the weekly magazine.

Germany has weathered the corona storm far better than most of its partners, with lower death rates and slowing infection rates permitting both a less-severe lockdown and a quicker reopening than in many EU countries.

Nevertheless, the outbreak has already plunged the country into recession, with gross domestic product set to shrink by a record 6.3 percent this year.

During the eurozone debt crisis, Germany demanded austerity in exchange for rescue packages for countries such as Greece, deepening their at least short-term suffering while fuelling virulent anti-German sentiment.

This time Merkel appeared to judge the emergency differently as it was caused by external factors beyond EU countries' control and packs the potential to do lasting damage to the bloc.

A source close to Macron said Merkel, who has said she will not run for a fifth term next year, may have an eye on her legacy as Europe's longest-serving leader.

“She was keen to reaffirm Germany's European commitment in the face of quite strong criticism from Italy and Spain,” the source said.

“She is also aware that Germany assumes the EU presidency in July. She wants to leave her mark.”

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HEALTH

Could there be a new wave of Covid-19 in Germany this autumn?

It’s back again: amid sinking temperatures, the incidence of Covid-19 has been slowly rising in Germany. But is this enough to merit worrying about the virus?

Could there be a new wave of Covid-19 in Germany this autumn?

More people donning face masks in supermarkets, friends cancelling plans last minute due to getting sick with Covid-19. We might have seen some of those familiar reminders recently that the coronavirus is still around, but could there really be a resurgence of the virus like we experienced during the pandemic years?

According to virologists, the answer seems to be ‘maybe’: since July, the number of people newly infected with Covid-19 has been slowly rising from a very low level.

According to the Robert Koch Institute (RKI), nine people per 100,000 inhabitants became newly infected in Germany last week. A year ago, there were only around 270 reported cases.

Various Corona variants are currently on the loose in the country. According to the RKI,  the EG.5 (also called Eris) and XBB.1.16 lines were each detected in the week ending September 3rd with a share of just under 23 percent. 

The highly mutated variant BA.2.86 (Pirola), which is currently under observation by the World Health Organisation (WHO), also arrived in the country this week, according to RKI. 

High number of unreported case

The RKI epidemiologists also warned about a high number of unreported cases since hardly any testing is done. They pointed out that almost half of all registered sewage treatment plants report an increasing viral load in wastewater tests.

The number of hospital admissions has also increased slightly, but are still a far cry from the occupation rate amid the pandemic. Last week it was two per 100,000 inhabitants. In the intensive care units, only 1.2 percent of all beds are occupied by Covid-19 patients.

Still, a good three-quarters (76.4 percent) of people in Germany have been vaccinated at least twice and thus have basic immunity, reported RKI. 

Since Monday, doctors’ offices have been vaccinating with the adapted vaccine from Biontech/Pfizer, available to anyone over 12 years old, with a vaccine for small children set to be released the following week and one for those between 5 and 11 to come out October 2nd.

But Health Minister Karl Lauterbach has so far only recommended that people over 60 and those with pre-existing conditions get vaccinated.

READ ALSO: EXPLAINED: Who should get a Covid jab this autumn in Germany?

“The pandemic is over, the virus remains,” he said. “We cannot predict the course of coming waves of corona, but it is clear that older people and people with pre-existing conditions remain at higher risk of becoming severely ill from Covid-19”

The RKI also recommended that people with a cold voluntarily wear a mask. Anyone exhibiting cough, cold, sore throat or other symptoms of a respiratory illness should voluntarily stay at home for three to five days and take regular corona self-tests. 

However, further measures such as contact restrictions are not necessary, he said.

One of many diseases

As of this autumn, Covid-19 could be one of many respiratory diseases. As with influenza, there are no longer absolute infection figures for coronavirus.

Saarbrücken pharmacist Thorsten Lehr told German broadcaster ZDF that self-protection through vaccinations, wearing a mask and getting tested when symptoms appear are prerequisites for surviving the Covid autumn well. 

Only a new, more aggressive mutation could completely turn the game around, he added.

On April 7th of this year, Germany removed the last of its over two-year long coronavirus restrictions, including mask-wearing in some public places.

READ ALSO: German doctors recommend Covid-19 self-tests amid new variant

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