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FINANCES

France’s finances hit hard by Macron’s €10 billion ‘yellow vest’ concessions

The 10-billion-euro ($11.4 billion) package of measures for low earners announced by President Emmanuel Macron to try end the "yellow vest" revolt has "weakened" France's finances, state auditors warned on Wednesday.

France's finances hit hard by Macron's €10 billion 'yellow vest' concessions
Photo: AFP

“The outlook for the public finances in 2019 is particularly risky,” said the Cour des Comptes, France's independent state audit office, calling on Macron's centrist government to take corrective measures.

Three weeks after protesters began occupying traffic roundabouts and staging mass rallies over spending power, a beleaguered Macron went on national television in mid-December to announce a package of wage increases and tax cuts for low earners and retirees.

The concessions threw the government's deficit reduction drive off course. 

The gap between state spending and revenue forecast is once again set to overshoot the EU's limit of three percent of GDP this year, after being on target for the past two years.

The Cour des Comptes said the knock-on effect of the measures “confirm that France, because of the incomplete nature of the stabilisation of its public finances, has little budgetary leeway to cope with an economic downturn or a crisis”.

Above all, the measures showed the need for a “profound adjustment of our public finances”, they added.

The auditors expressed concern over the government's failure to say where it will make the savings necessary to fund the measures announced by Macron.

These included tax cuts on overtime pay and a state top-up for minimum-wage earners.

The Cour des Comptes also warned that France risked being hit by the sharp slowdown in growth in the eurozone, creating a “serious risk” that it would miss its target of 1.7 percent GDP growth this year.

The eurozone's second-largest economy already started to sag late last year, with GDP growth falling to 1.5 percent, compared to 2.3 percent in 2017.

The slower-than-expected growth was partly blamed on a dip in consumer spending over several consecutive weekends around Christmas of violent protests as the “yellow vest” movement grew into a full-scale anti-government rebellion.

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BUDGET

Mega budget surplus is Germany’s best since 1990

Germany ran up a record surplus in its public finances in 2015, with Europe's biggest economy showing "solid and consistent" growth last year, the federal statistics office said on Tuesday.

Mega budget surplus is Germany's best since 1990
Photo: DPA

Germany notched up an overall surplus of €19.4 billion on its public budgets last year, “which in absolute terms is the highest since unification” in 1990, the office said in a statement.

Measured against gross domestic product (GDP), the surplus amounted to 0.6 percent of overall output, the statisticians calculated.

In 2014, Germany had achieved a surplus of €8.9 billion or 0.3 percent of GDP.

Under eurozone rules, member states are not allowed to run up deficits in excess of 3.0 percent of GDP and are obliged to bring them into balance or surplus in the medium term.

Last year was the second year in a row that Germany's public finances have been firmly in the black.

At the same time, the statistics office confirmed a preliminary estimate that the economy expanded by 0.3 percent in the fourth quarter of last year, the same rate of growth as in the third quarter.

“The economic situation in Germany in 2015 was characterised by solid and consistent growth,” the office said.

Across the whole year, GDP grew by 1.7 percent.

“Positive impulses came primarily from domestic demand,” Destatis said.

Public spending increased by 1.0 percent in the fourth quarter and household spending edged up by 0.2 percent.

In addition, investment increased with construction investment expanding by 2.2 percent over the three-month period and investment in equipment rising by 1.0 percent, driven primarily by public investment.

By contrast, foreign trade had a dampening effect on fourth-quarter growth with exports falling by 1.7 percent and imports slipping by 0.6 percent, Destatis calculated.

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