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What does the ‘exceptionally weak’ Swedish krona mean for you?

Ignoring a few months in the financial crisis, the Swedish krona is now weaker than it's been in a century. What does that mean for internationals planning to moving here, or those who already have?

What does the 'exceptionally weak' Swedish krona mean for you?
The weak krona means executives coming from Europe and the US will be able to buy a more expensive house. Photo: Hasse Holmberg/TT
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The krona dropped still lower last week after Sweden's central bank signalled that with inflation still stubbornly under target there was now no chance of an end to negative interest rates this summer. You now need 10.6 kronor to buy a euro, up from 8.2 back in 2012. 
 
“It's quite clear that the krona is exceptionally weak,” Andreas Wallström, Chief Analyst at Nordea Markets, tells The Local. “Apart from the financial crisis, you have to go back 100 years to find it weaker…although of course the euro didn't exist back then, so it's sort of a synthetic euro.”
 
He doesn't expect change any time soon. 
 
“There's currently nothing really pointing to a strengthening of the krona. If you look at growth relative to the eurozone, we are really in for a slowdown now, whereas growth in Europe is quite strong.” 
Richard Falkenhäll, Senior FX Strategist at SEB, agrees:  “We have probably, along with Switzerland, the lowest short-term interest rates in the world right now, at -0.5, and that's despite several years of very strong growth.”
 
“That's a very negative thing for the Swedish krona, so I think we have to get used to a weaker Stocky [krona] at least this year and probably into next year.”  
 
If you're a tourist, of course, this is wonderful news: a pint of beer that would have cost you a jaw-dropping nine euros five years back now costs under seven.  
 
But if you're an international who's come to Sweden to work, or is planning to, it's rather less appealing. 
 
“You should make sure that you don't get paid in Swedish krona,” Wallström says, slightly tongue-in-cheek. 
 
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Jamie Hart, Managing Director at the recruitment firm Michael Page in Stockholm, says the low exchange rate is less of a problem for a foreigner negotiating their salary ahead of a move to Sweden, as their pay will normally be set by the real cost of living. 
 
“It will just cost the companies more to match up to the euro equivalent,” he says. “Generally speaking if you're recruiting people, the exchange rate is not what you base pay on, it's based on the cost of living.” 
 
People moving to Sweden may also find buying a house is a less daunting prospect that it was. 
 
“As the housing market in Sweden has lost about 10 percent in the last year, at least in Bromma where I work, you are getting a double effect,” says Pär Gunnarsson, who works for Swedish estate agents Fastighetsbyrån. 
 
And while he hasn't noticed an increase in the number of foreign buyers, he suspects those that come are able to spend more. 
 
“When you buy a house in Stockholm or Sweden, it's basically because you're moving here, and you buy the house you can afford. I don't think we have more foreign buyers in Stockholm, but maybe they can buy a more expensive house.” 
 
The exchange rate is more of an issue for workers who negotiated a pay deal back in 2012, when the krona was much higher.
 
If you negotiated an annual salary of 800,000 kronor back then, you've now taken a pretty substantial €21,000 cut in your annual euro earnings. 
 
“For an expat today having an income in krona, you probably just have to get used to earning less,” Falkenhäll says. “It's the same for us Swedes. It's starting to get quite expensive to travel abroad.” 
 
But Wallström believes it's not all bad news, as the low exchange rate combined with strong global demand is leading to boom times for Swedish exporters. 
 
“Swedish exporters are enjoying happy days and there is a  labour shortage in many sectors, so the demand for foreigners is likely to increase,” he says. 
 
Those already working in export-driven industries are in a powerful position to negotiate a pay increase, while those applying for jobs can probably afford to be quite demanding when it comes to salary. 
 
“There's a big demand for international skillsets particularly in the technology field, digital and engineering,” Hart says. “There's a big demand for people who want to move.” 
 
For many of people he recruits from the UK and Europe, salary is not the only reason to move to Sweden anyway. 
 
“There's upside in terms of quality of life, the length of your commute, the number of hours you work,” he says. “There's still positives about working in Sweden.” 
 
Still want to move to Sweden? Looking for a new job? Find your dream English-language role on The Local Jobs.
 

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How to avoid falling victim to tax scams in Sweden

Sweden's tax agency, Skatteverket, warns of an increase in scams when it's time for Swedish tax-payers to declare their taxes.

How to avoid falling victim to tax scams in Sweden

Anyone who earned more than 22,208 kronor last year received their tax returns digitally last week, marking the start of tax season.

That also means an expected peak in tax-related scams, Skatteverket warns.

Most of the scams are so-called phishing scams, meaning attempts to steal the victims’ personal information. Fraudsters may for example email a person, pretending to represent Skatteverket, and ask them for, among other things, their banking details.

“We’re seeing these in all channels. They use fake emails, SMS, letters and in some cases even phone calls. It is particularly common in tax declaration times – just when we’re about to send out the tax returns, the e-service opens and it’s possible to declare – but above all when it’s time for tax rebates,” Jan Janowski, a Skatteverket expert, told Swedish news agency TT.

A scam email might for example state that you’re entitled to a tax rebate and that you should click a link to receive it. Don’t click any links, open any attachments or reply to the message. Skatteverket advises that you immediately delete the email or text message.

Another common scam is that you receive a text message claiming to be from Skatteverket, telling you that you owe them money and you need to log in to calculate the amount. The website you’re urged to log in via does not belong to Skatteverket. Don’t click the link.

The agency stresses that it never asks people for their banking details. The exception is that you may be asked for your bank account information if you log into Skatteverket’s website to declare your taxes, but that always first requires you to log into the site.

To receive your tax rebate, you need to inform Skatteverket of your bank account number. You do this not by clicking a link in an email or SMS, but by logging into their website using a digital ID, for example BankID, and submitting your details. Only do this on your own initiative. If someone calls you and asks you to log in with your BankID during the phone call, don’t do it. That’s another common scam.

Skatteverket will also never call you to ask for your bank account or credit card number.

It will be possible to declare your taxes from March 19th. You’ll receive any tax rebate you’re owed by mid-April or early June, depending on when you submit your tax return. These are the dates when fraudsters are likely to attempt the most scams.

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