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ELECTION

Macron’s party on course for landslide victory in French parliamentary elections

Initial results for the first round of France's parliamentary elections on Sunday pointed to a mammoth majority for President Emmanuel Macron's gleaming new Republique en Marche party on a day when the turn-out was only 50 percent.

Macron's party on course for landslide victory in French parliamentary elections
Photo: AFP

Macron's party scored 32.2 to 32.9 percent in the first-round parliamentary vote, initial projections said, compared to 20.9 percent for the right wing Republicans party, 13 percent for Marine Le Pen's National Front, 11 percent for the far left France Insoumise (France Unbowed), led by Jean-Luc Melenchon and only 9 percent for France's beleaguered Socialist party. 

However the one downside for Macron was that voter turn-out was only 50 percent, the lowest since 1958.

We won't know how many seats Republique en Marche 5REM) will obtain until next Sunday's second round vote, but early projections by pollsters Elabe suggest Macron's party could end up with as many as 445 seats in the 577 seat parliament. That would easily break all previous records.

Macron's Prime Minister Edouard Philippe said: “Despite the abstention rate, the French people's message is without ambiguity.” 

In a statement sent out after the results, REM party president Catherine Barbaroux thanked voters saying “their choice has a clear meaning: they want the action taken by Emmanuel Macron, since his election to the Presidency of the Republic, to be continued.”

REM party spokesman Christophe Castaner played it cool saying “nothing has been won yet.”

REM's Jean-Paul Delevoye added: “This results brings us enormous responsibility and humility.”

The initial projection for the second round showed Macron's party will gain between 415 and 445 seats, which if correct would give the new president huge power over the National Assembly.

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In terms of the other parties the same projections suggest the right wing Republicans party will obtain between 80 and 100 seats, the National Front will only pick up between one and four seats, France Insoumise, between 10 and 20 seats and the Socialist party and its left wing allies between 30 and 40 seats.

All other parties will be disappointed with those kind of projections for differing reasons, but given Le Pen came second in the presidential election where she scored over 10 million votes, the idea that her party will only pick up four MPs will be bitterly disappointing to National Front party chiefs.

The National Front had initially hoped for 15, which means they could form a parliamentary group, which would enable them to access more financing and have more speaking time.

National Front deputy Florian Philippot called on voters to unite against Macron's REM party, echoing similar appeals from other political parties who feared the prospect of a parliament overwhelmingly dominated by Republique en Marche.

“We can't allow REM to have 400 deputies. We need a massive mobilisation for the second round,” he said admitting that “we've maybe been disappointed by the score and we have paid the price, I think, for a low turnout.”

Marine Le Pen, who is standing as an MP in northern France was ahead after the first round after scoring 45 percent of the vote.

Socialist party big wig Jean-Christophe Cambadelis recognised the “unprecedented retreat” of the Socialist party but argued it would be a bad result for democracy in France if Macron, who scored 24 percent in the first round of the presidential elections, benefited from a “monopoly on democratic representation”.

However many may once again question the legitimacy of Macron's success given that only one in two voters took part in the first round of the elections, according to estimations.

Participation rates for the parliamentary generally show a big drop in participation compared to the presidential elections however in 2012 the turn-out rate was up at 57 percent. 

The sovereigntist Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, a former presidential candidate said the low turn-out “seriously undermines the legitimacy of the future parliament.”

Macron has enjoyed a smooth start in the five weeks since he beat far-right candidate Marine Le Pen to become France's youngest-ever president, naming a cabinet that crosses left-right lines and making a big impression at international summits.

His untested Republique en Marche (Republic on the Move, REM) party, which he only founded in April 2016, needs a clear majority in the National Assembly for him to push through the reforms he has promised.

The party has already had a boost after its candidates came first in 10 of the 11 French overseas constituencies that voted before the mainland.

French voters have traditionally rallied behind their new leader in the legislative elections that follow the presidential ballot.

Macron's predecessors Francois Hollande in 2012, Nicolas Sarkozy in 2007 and Jacques Chirac in 2002 all won outright majorities. Unlike Macron, however, they all came from long-established parties.

REM reflects the president's desire for a new brand of politics.

Initially dismissed by Macron's opponents as a movement of young activists without any real roots, it will field 530 candidates on Sunday.

In a bid to renew the political scene, many have never stood for office before, such as Marie Sara, a rare female bullfighter, who is taking on a senior member of Le Pen's National Front in southern France, Gilbert Collard.

ELECTION

German Greens’ chancellor candidate Baerbock targeted by fake news

With Germany's Green party leading the polls ahead of September's general elections, the ecologists' would-be successor to Angela Merkel has become increasingly targeted by internet trolls and fake news in recent weeks.

German Greens' chancellor candidate Baerbock targeted by fake news
The Greens chancellor candidate Annalena Baerbock on April 26th. Photo: DPA

From wild claims about CO2-emitting cats and dogs to George Soros photo collages, 40-year-old Annalena Baerbock has been the subject of a dizzying array of fake news, conspiracy theories and online attacks since she was announced as the Greens’ chancellor candidate in mid-April.

The latest polls have the Greens either ahead of or level with Merkel’s ruling conservatives, as the once fringe party further establishes itself as a leading electoral force in Europe’s biggest economy.

Baerbock herself also consistently polls higher than her conservative and centre-left rivals in the race to succeed Merkel, who will leave office after 16 years this autumn.

Yet her popularity has also brought about unwanted attention and a glut of fake news stories aimed at discrediting Baerbock as she bids to become Germany’s first Green chancellor.

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False claims

Among the false stories circulating about Baerbock is the bizarre claim that she wants to ban household pets in order to reduce carbon dioxide emissions.

Another fake story firmly denied by the party claimed that she defied rules on mask-wearing and social-distancing by embracing colleagues upon her nomination earlier this month.

Baerbock has also been presented as a “model student” of Hungarian billionaire George Soros – a hate figure for the European far-right and anti-Semitic conspiracy theorists – in a mocked-up social media graphic shared among others by a far-right MP.

More serious online attacks include a purported photo of Baerbock which in fact shows a similar-looking naked model.

The Greens’ campaign manager Michael Kellner said that the attempts to discredit Baerbock had “taken on a new dimension”, that “women are targeted more heavily by online attacks than men, and that is also true of our candidate”.

Greens co-leader Annalena Baerbock earlier this month. Photo: DPA

Other false claims about the party include reports of a proposed ban on barbecues, as well as plans to disarm the police and enforce the teaching of the Quran in schools.

While such reports are patently absurd, they are potentially damaging to Baerbock and her party as they bid to spring a surprise victory in September.

“She has a very real chance, but the coming weeks are going to be very important because Baerbock’s public image is still taking shape,” Thorsten Faas, a political scientist at Berlin’s Free University told AFP.

In a bid to fight back against the flood of false information, the party has launched a new “online fire service” to report fake news stories.

READ ALSO: Greens become ‘most popular political party’ in Germany

Russian disinformation

Yet stemming the tide is no easy job, with many of those who peddle disinformation now using private messaging services such as WhatsApp and Telegram rather than public platforms such as Facebook.

The pandemic and ongoing restrictions on public life will also make it harder for the campaign to push through their own narratives at public events.

Miro Dittrich of Germany’s Amadeu-Antonio anti-racism foundation claims that lockdown has “played a role” in the spread of fake news.

“People are isolated from their social environment and are spending a lot more time online,” he said.

Another factor is Russia, which has made Germany a primary target of its efforts to spread disinformation in Europe.

According to the European anti-disinformation platform EUvsDisinfo, Germany has been the target of 700 Russian disinformation cases since 2015, compared to 300 aimed at France and 170 at Italy.

As an outspoken critic of the controversial Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline between Germany and Russia, Baerbock may well become a target of such attacks during the election campaign.

By Mathieu FOULKES

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