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POLITICS

Study: country-city divide replaces Swiss ‘Röstigraben’

The so-called Röstigraben – the traditional societal division between French and German-speaking Switzerland along linguistic lines – has decreased over the past decade as a new country-versus-city division emerges, according to a new study.

Study: country-city divide replaces Swiss ‘Röstigraben’
Photo: Adrian Michael

Shin Alexandre Koseki, a doctoral researcher in urban science at federal technology institute EPFL, analyzed the results of Switzerland’s federal referendums over the past 30 years.

He found that the perceived political divide between French and German-speaking parts of the country has been fading over the past decade.

Instead, voting habits are determined more by whether you live in a city or the countryside.

“Switzerland has become one big metropolis connected by its train lines,” said EPFL in a statement.

“The denizens of this metropolis have much in common and often vote in the same way.”

“In the 1980s, Swiss politics was marked by extensive fragmentation between language regions and cantons,” said Koseki. “The things people cared about varied widely from Geneva to Zurich.”

But that began to change in the 1990s, he found, and since 2000 the divide between the two major linguistic regions has been less apparent.

Instead, a growing polarization has emerged that pits the major Swiss cities, French-speaking Switzerland, Ticino and parts of the Graubünden against the suburbs and countryside in the German-speaking region.

Koseki puts this recent political alignment between cities down to the fact that people commute more, so there’s more interaction between people.

“People living in the big cities thus share the same interests and even the same values,” he said.

Rural communes in German-speaking Switzerland are among those most likely to disagree with the big cities, but vote similarly to each other, he added.

The country-city divide was apparent in the February 9th 2014 vote on the anti-immigration initiative.

While all of French-speaking Switzerland and the two biggest cities in the German part – Basel and Zurich – voted against limiting immigration, rural cantons including Aargau, Thurgau, Schwyz, Glarus and Uri were largely in favour of the idea.

One relative wild card is the Italian-speaking canton of Ticino, where voting patterns are more unpredictable, mainly due to the fact there is no one large cosmopolitan city, found the study.
 

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HEALTH INSURANCE

What costs could Swiss residents face if health insurance votes don’t pass?

On June 9th, Swiss voters will weigh in on two proposals intended to curb the cost of the health insurance. What could happen if they are rejected?

What costs could Swiss residents face if health insurance votes don't pass?

Both citizen-driven initiatives aim to cut the costs of the obligatory health insurance (KVG / LaMal), which have been climbing for years.

The first proposal calls for capping the insurance rates at 10 percent of income, with the excess be paid for by the federal and cantonal governments.

The second, on the same ballot, provides for a ‘brake’ on health costs, which should evolve according to the economy and wages.

This brake would work in the same way as the federal spending brake. Therefore, when healthcare costs exceed wages for a given year by 20 percent, the government must take action to bring the  costs down.

READ ALSO: How Switzerland’s two crucial health insurance referendums could impact you 

What could happen if the proposals fail to gain the majority of votes?

The Swiss Trade Union (USS) estimates that if the two initiatives are rejected by voters, a family of four would have to pay 27 percent more for their health insurance by the year 2030.

These calculations are based on official government figures, the USS said.

A premium for a single adult would also increase — from 430 to 540 francs a month on average — and would likely be even higher in certain cantons, because how much of your income is spent on health insurance is determined by your place of residence

For instance, based on figures from the Federal Office of Public Health (FOPH) and research carried out  by Ecoplan independent political and economic consultancy, a family with two young, pre-school-age children and a net income of 97,992 francs a year, will spend the biggest chunk of their income (16.5 percent) on health insurance in Basel-City.

Next are Neuchâtel (14.9 percent) and Bern (13.2 percent).

On the other hand, in Zurich, Switzerland’s (and the world’s) most expensive city, that proportion is 12.2 percent — still high, but lower than in a number of other cantons.

As a comparison, that rate in the canton of Graubünden is only 6 percent.

READ ALSO: In which Swiss cantons is most income spent on health insurance? 

But even despite the risk of much-higher premiums in the future, the Federal Council and the parliament are urging voters to reject both proposals, arguing they will not sustainably solve the soaring costs of healthcare.

Instead, they have concocted their own ‘counter-initiative’ to the two proposals that they want voters to approve.

They include having cantons increase the amount of financial help they pay toward health premiums for low-income people, and providing for more targeted measures, including specific cost control objectives for healthcare services. 

Are the two proposals more likely to be approved or turned down?

In April, GFS research institute found that 60 percent of respondents in its survey approved the initiative to cap premiums at 10 percent of income, while 36 percent were against it. The rest was undecided.

However in a more recent poll, carried out at the beginning of May by Sotomo institute, the ‘yes’ camp was smaller: 56 percent of voters were in favour of the initiative and 40 percent were against.

Here too, 4 percent were undecided.

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