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BUDGET

Is Hollande’s last budget target really credible?

French President Francois Hollande defended his government's 2017 budget targets on Wednesday, seven months ahead of the next election, in the face of scepticism from experts.

Is Hollande's last budget target really credible?
Photo: AFP

Hollande said the Socialist government's aim to cut the deficit to 2.7 percent of GDP for 2017, the lowest in a decade and under the European Union's limit of 3.0 percent, was “credible and serious”.

France has repeatedly broken the EU's fiscal rules and a top independent watchdog has said it doubts Paris will reach its target next year either.

But Hollande insisted his government had made consistent progress towards hitting its deficit goal.

“A forecast can always be discussed, but until now, and for the last four budgets, we have kept to the commitments we have made,” Hollande told a cabinet meeting hours before the draft budget was unveiled, according to the government's spokesman.

“So we will continue to defend both the perspectives for growth and the target we have set, which is credible and serious,” Hollande added.

An independent watchdog, the High Council of Public Finances (HCFP), said this week it doubted that France could hit the 2.7 percent deficit target, which would be France's lowest in a decade.

Finance Minister Michel Sapin however joined Hollande in dismissing that suggestion, saying: “We will keep this commitment.”

Hollande has yet to decide whether to seek re-election, but if he does, his economic record will be key.

The draft budget also maintained an ambitious growth forecast of 1.5 percent for 2017.

Growth of that size is instrumental for the government's tax and spending plans as well as to meet the public deficit commitment.

'Irresponsible' right-wing pledges

But the OECD and the IMF have both downgraded their growth forecasts for France to 1.3 percent and 1.2 percent, respectively.

Sapin offered modest tax cuts targeting the middle class and small and medium-sized companies, but blasted as “irresponsible” right-wing candidates for the presidency who have promised bigger tax giveaways.

“The candidates for the presidential election, or the (right-wing) primary before that, who promise immediate tax cuts and say the control of public expenditure can be postponed until tomorrow, are irresponsible,” Sapin said.

France will spend 381.7 billion euros ($428.8 billion) next year, a rise of 7.4 billion on this year.

The government said it will make savings in the social security budget and will claw back more money than expected from tax dodgers.

Hollande, who is deeply unpopular in opinion polls, has said he will decide by the end of the year whether to stand for re-election.

He has made reducing unemployment one of the key conditions for seeking a second term, but his hopes suffered a blow when figures released this week showed a sharp rise in joblessness in August.

The number of unemployed in mainland France grew by over 50,000, or 1.4 percent, to 3.56 million, according to the labour ministry.

Former president Nicolas Sarkozy and a former prime minister, Alain Juppe, are the favourites in November's two-round primary which will decide the centre-right candidate for the presidency.

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ECONOMY

Sweden boosts spending on civil defence in spring budget

Sweden is to channel a further 800 million kronor to local government and other organisations to bolster Sweden's civil defence capabilities, the country's finance minister has announced.

Sweden boosts spending on civil defence in spring budget

The new funding, which will go to municipalities, regional government, and other organisations, was announced of part of the country’s spring budget, announced on Tuesday. 

“This will strengthen our ability to resist in both war and peace,” Sweden’s finance minister, Mikael Damberg, said in a press conference. “If the worst happens, it’s important that there is physical protection for the population.” 

The government is channelling 91m kronor towards renovating Sweden’s 65,000 bomb shelters, and will also fund the repair the country’s network of emergency sirens, known as Hesa Fredrik, or Hoarse Fredrik, many of which are currently out of order. 

A bomb shelter in Stockholm. Sweden’s government is spending 800m kronor in its spring budget to boost civil defence. Photo: Anders Wiklund/ TT

Sweden’s Social Democrats are currently ruling on the alternative budget put together by the right-wing opposition, making this spring budget, which makes changes to the autumn budget, unusually important. 

The budget includes extra spending of some 31.4 billion kronor (€299m), with 500m kronor going to extra spending on healthcare,  and 10.3 billion kronor going towards supporting Ukrainian refugees, of which nine billion will come from the aid budget. 

The spring budget also includes the so called “pension guarantee bonus”, or garantitillägg, which will see four billion kronor (€390m) going to those with the lowest pensions. 

The bonus, which was the price the Left Party demanded for letting Magdalena Andersson take her place as prime minister, risks being voted down by the right-wing parties in the parliament. 

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