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ELECTION

Spain’s top three parties tied ahead of December 20th general election

Spain's ruling conservatives are locked in a virtual tie with the main opposition Socialists and new centre-right party Ciudadanos, three weeks ahead of a general election, a poll showed on Sunday.

Spain's top three parties tied ahead of December 20th general election
Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy and social security minister Fatima Banez at Tomares, close to Sevilla, last Tuesday. Photo: Christina Quicler/AFP
Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy's Popular Party has 22.7 percent support, Ciudadanos has 22.6 percent and the Socialists have 22.5 percent, meaning no party would be able to secure a parliamentary majority, the poll published in the centre-left daily El Pais showed.
   
New anti-austerity party Podemos had 17.1 percent support, according to the Metroscopia survey of 1,200 eligible voters carried out November 23-25.
   
The “minimal” difference in support for the three top parties “indicates that any of the three formations is in the position, at the moment, to end up imposing itself in the fast approaching final sprint,” Metroscopia president Jose Juan Toharia wrote in the newspaper.
   
“This extreme equality, at such a close distance from the finish line, indicates hat the party that finally imposes itself, will without a doubt, do so by a very narrow margin,” he added.
   
Opinion polls have been highly volatile in recent months as anger over corruption scandals and a prolonged economic crisis fuels the rise of newcomers on the left and right, threatening the traditional dominance of the Popular Party and the Socialists.
   
Rajoy has made economic recovery one of the mainstays of his campaign for re-election in polls on December 20, after Spain in 2014 came out of five years of recession or zero-growth.
   
But much of the Spanish population still does not feel the effects of this recovery and opponents of Rajoy's conservative Popular Party say many of the jobs created are precarious or badly paid.
   
Growth slowed slightly in the third quarter of 2015 to 0.8 percent compared with 1.0 percent in the previous three months while the unemployment rate stood at 21.2 percent, the highest in the eurozone with the exception of Greece.
   
Rajoy has vowed to cut income tax and create two million jobs over the next four years if his party is re-elected.

ELECTION

German Greens’ chancellor candidate Baerbock targeted by fake news

With Germany's Green party leading the polls ahead of September's general elections, the ecologists' would-be successor to Angela Merkel has become increasingly targeted by internet trolls and fake news in recent weeks.

German Greens' chancellor candidate Baerbock targeted by fake news
The Greens chancellor candidate Annalena Baerbock on April 26th. Photo: DPA

From wild claims about CO2-emitting cats and dogs to George Soros photo collages, 40-year-old Annalena Baerbock has been the subject of a dizzying array of fake news, conspiracy theories and online attacks since she was announced as the Greens’ chancellor candidate in mid-April.

The latest polls have the Greens either ahead of or level with Merkel’s ruling conservatives, as the once fringe party further establishes itself as a leading electoral force in Europe’s biggest economy.

Baerbock herself also consistently polls higher than her conservative and centre-left rivals in the race to succeed Merkel, who will leave office after 16 years this autumn.

Yet her popularity has also brought about unwanted attention and a glut of fake news stories aimed at discrediting Baerbock as she bids to become Germany’s first Green chancellor.

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False claims

Among the false stories circulating about Baerbock is the bizarre claim that she wants to ban household pets in order to reduce carbon dioxide emissions.

Another fake story firmly denied by the party claimed that she defied rules on mask-wearing and social-distancing by embracing colleagues upon her nomination earlier this month.

Baerbock has also been presented as a “model student” of Hungarian billionaire George Soros – a hate figure for the European far-right and anti-Semitic conspiracy theorists – in a mocked-up social media graphic shared among others by a far-right MP.

More serious online attacks include a purported photo of Baerbock which in fact shows a similar-looking naked model.

The Greens’ campaign manager Michael Kellner said that the attempts to discredit Baerbock had “taken on a new dimension”, that “women are targeted more heavily by online attacks than men, and that is also true of our candidate”.

Greens co-leader Annalena Baerbock earlier this month. Photo: DPA

Other false claims about the party include reports of a proposed ban on barbecues, as well as plans to disarm the police and enforce the teaching of the Quran in schools.

While such reports are patently absurd, they are potentially damaging to Baerbock and her party as they bid to spring a surprise victory in September.

“She has a very real chance, but the coming weeks are going to be very important because Baerbock’s public image is still taking shape,” Thorsten Faas, a political scientist at Berlin’s Free University told AFP.

In a bid to fight back against the flood of false information, the party has launched a new “online fire service” to report fake news stories.

READ ALSO: Greens become ‘most popular political party’ in Germany

Russian disinformation

Yet stemming the tide is no easy job, with many of those who peddle disinformation now using private messaging services such as WhatsApp and Telegram rather than public platforms such as Facebook.

The pandemic and ongoing restrictions on public life will also make it harder for the campaign to push through their own narratives at public events.

Miro Dittrich of Germany’s Amadeu-Antonio anti-racism foundation claims that lockdown has “played a role” in the spread of fake news.

“People are isolated from their social environment and are spending a lot more time online,” he said.

Another factor is Russia, which has made Germany a primary target of its efforts to spread disinformation in Europe.

According to the European anti-disinformation platform EUvsDisinfo, Germany has been the target of 700 Russian disinformation cases since 2015, compared to 300 aimed at France and 170 at Italy.

As an outspoken critic of the controversial Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline between Germany and Russia, Baerbock may well become a target of such attacks during the election campaign.

By Mathieu FOULKES

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