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HEALTH

Experts predict heavy winter flu toll

Health experts at Berlin's Robert Koch Institute (RKI) said on Friday that Germany is likely to suffer more deaths than usual this winter from the flu virus.

Experts predict heavy winter flu toll
Germany is well below recommended vaccination levels

Silke Buda, leader of the Influenza Working Group at the government disease control centre, said that large numbers of people had fallen ill with the disease this year.

“This is one of the most serious flu outbreaks of recent years,” she said.

So far 40,000 people have been treated for the flu this season, with especially large numbers of people aged 39 to 59 affected.

Vaccinations less effective

The constantly-evolving flu virus is a tough target to pin down for developers of vaccinations.

The type of virus prevalent this year means that even vaccinated patients are not as well protected as during previous outbreaks.

“Despite all our efforts, it's difficult to predict so far in advance the exact subtype of influenza that the vaccination has to counteract,” said Carlos Guzman of Brunswick's Helmholtz Centre for Infectious Disease Research.

Outbreaks of the same strain in the winters of 2012-13 and 2008-09 saw up to 20,000 people die from the infection, although Buda said it was too early to estimate what the toll might be this year.

Most at risk are older people who are already ill.

“The weaker the immune system, the more difficult it is to react properly to a new influenza virus,” Buda said.

Both experts emphasized that it is still important to have flu jabs in autumn, as they offer the best possible protection against a possible infection.

Currently only around 30 percent of people in Germany get themselves vaccinated, far short of the World Health Organization (WHO) recommendation that at least 75 percent of older people be immunized.

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HEALTH

Lengthy waiting times at Danish hospitals not going away yet: minister

Danish Minister for the Interior and Health Sophie Løhde has warned that, despite increasing activity at hospitals, it will be some time before current waiting lists are reduced.

Lengthy waiting times at Danish hospitals not going away yet: minister

The message comes as Løhde was set to meet with officials from regional health authorities on Wednesday to discuss the progress of an acute plan for the Danish health system, launched at the end of last year in an effort to reduce a backlog of waiting times which built up during the coronavirus crisis.

An agreement with regional health authorities on an “acute” spending plan to address the most serious challenges faced by the health services agreed in February, providing 2 billion kroner by the end of 2024.

READ ALSO: What exactly is wrong with the Danish health system?

The national organisation for the health authorities, Danske Regioner, said to newspaper Jyllands-Posten earlier this week that progress on clearing the waiting lists was ahead of schedule.

Some 245,300 operations were completed in the first quarter of this year, 10 percent more than in the same period in 2022 and over the agreed number.

Løhde said that the figures show measures from the acute plan are “beginning to work”.

“It’s positive but even though it suggests that the trend is going the right way, we’re far from our goal and it’s important to keep it up so that we get there,” she said.

“I certainly won’t be satisfied until waiting times are brought down,” she said.

“As long as we are in the process of doing postponed operations, we will unfortunately continue to see a further increase [in waiting times],” Løhde said.

“That’s why it’s crucial that we retain a high activity this year and in 2024,” she added.

Although the government set aside 2 billion kroner in total for the plan, the regional authorities expect the portion of that to be spent in 2023 to run out by the end of the summer. They have therefore asked for some of the 2024 spending to be brought forward.

Løhde is so far reluctant to meet that request according to Jyllands-Posten.

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