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Norway slashes growth forecast on oil slowdown

Norway's government on Wednesday slashed its growth forecast for this year, citing a slowdown in spending by the key oil sector in the Nordic country.

Norway slashes growth forecast on oil slowdown
Norwegian finance minister Siv Jensen presents her revised budget on Wednesday. Photo: Berit Roald / NTB scanpix
In a revised budget the government said the Norwegian economy is now forecast to grow by 1.9 percent in 2014, compared to the 2.5-percent increase expected in the original budget submitted last November.
   
This forecast concerns the country's "mainland" GDP, which leaves out fossil fuels and maritime transport and is preferred as an indicator in Norway
since it excludes the strong cyclical variations related to oil, one of the country's main exports.
 
However the purchase by the oil sector of goods and services is included in the country's "mainland" GDP calculation, and the finance ministry expects this to stabilise then decrease.
   
"Several factors converge to create a slowdown in the Norwegian economy for the coming years," the finance ministry said.
   
Finance Minister Siv Jensen cited high costs and salaries, slower productivity growth and high household debt as other factors contributing to increasing slack in the economy.
   
In 2015, growth should rise to 2.2 percent, but unemployment is expected to increase from the current 3.5 percent to 3.75 percent, according to the government. 
 
The government also proposed to spend 1.9 billion kroner ($320 million, 230 million euros) more of the country's oil revenue which is traditionally
transferred to the nation's giant pension fund.
   
Under Norwegian rules the government has the right to tap up to four percent of the fund to balance the budget, but during 2014 it intends to use just 2.8 percent.
 
When oil revenue is included, Norway's budget surplus amounts to 10.8 percent of GDP.

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ECONOMY

Sweden boosts spending on civil defence in spring budget

Sweden is to channel a further 800 million kronor to local government and other organisations to bolster Sweden's civil defence capabilities, the country's finance minister has announced.

Sweden boosts spending on civil defence in spring budget

The new funding, which will go to municipalities, regional government, and other organisations, was announced of part of the country’s spring budget, announced on Tuesday. 

“This will strengthen our ability to resist in both war and peace,” Sweden’s finance minister, Mikael Damberg, said in a press conference. “If the worst happens, it’s important that there is physical protection for the population.” 

The government is channelling 91m kronor towards renovating Sweden’s 65,000 bomb shelters, and will also fund the repair the country’s network of emergency sirens, known as Hesa Fredrik, or Hoarse Fredrik, many of which are currently out of order. 

A bomb shelter in Stockholm. Sweden’s government is spending 800m kronor in its spring budget to boost civil defence. Photo: Anders Wiklund/ TT

Sweden’s Social Democrats are currently ruling on the alternative budget put together by the right-wing opposition, making this spring budget, which makes changes to the autumn budget, unusually important. 

The budget includes extra spending of some 31.4 billion kronor (€299m), with 500m kronor going to extra spending on healthcare,  and 10.3 billion kronor going towards supporting Ukrainian refugees, of which nine billion will come from the aid budget. 

The spring budget also includes the so called “pension guarantee bonus”, or garantitillägg, which will see four billion kronor (€390m) going to those with the lowest pensions. 

The bonus, which was the price the Left Party demanded for letting Magdalena Andersson take her place as prime minister, risks being voted down by the right-wing parties in the parliament. 

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