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German firms hit 2.5-year confidence high

German business confidence hit the highest level for more than two and a half years in February, as the outlook for Europe's biggest economy continues to hold up, data showed on Monday.

German firms hit 2.5-year confidence high
Photo: DPA
The Ifo economic institute's closely watched business climate index climbed to 111.3 points this month, the highest level since July 2011. In January, the index had stood at 110.6 points.
 
"The German economy is holding its own in a changeable global climate," Ifo chief Hans-Werner Sinn said in a statement.
 
Ifo calculates its headline index on the basis of companies' assessments of their current business and the outlook for the next six months.
 
It rose to 114.4 points in February from 112.4 points in January.
 
"German businesses remain diehard optimists," said ING DiBa economist Carsten Brzeski.
  
Gross domestic product data for the fourth quarter came in better than expected and further positive hard data are set to follow, Brzeski said.
   
"Of course, there are also risks," the expert noted, pointing to an unexpected slowdown, further emerging market turmoil and a Chinese hard landing.
   
But such concerns should disappear quickly, Brzeski believed.
   
Nataxis economist Johannes Gareis, too, felt that "all in all the German business climate remains more than upbeat, suggesting that Germany's business sector is on a growth course heading into 2014."
   
But Capital Economics economist Jonathan Loynes was more cautious.
   
"The survey has been consistently over-optimistic relative to the hard data over the last year or so, so its implications for growth should not be interpreted too literally," he said.
   
"Overall, the Ifo survey supports the broader evidence suggesting that the German economy is expanding at a steady but unspectacular pace," Loynes argued.
   
Berenberg Bank economist Christian Schulz said that despite its apparent strength, the German economy "is not completely immune to the emerging market turbulences."
   
But "fortunately, Germany can rely on domestic demand as the key driver of growth at the current stage of the cycle. Private investment is rebounding after a long period of decline. And the Ifo index reassuringly points to strength in another key component of domestic demand, namely consumption," he said.
 

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TRADE

Norway and UK strike post-Brexit trade deal

Norway and the United Kingdom have struck an agreement on a free trade deal, the Norwegian government announced on Friday.

Norway and UK strike post-Brexit trade deal
Erna Solberg outside 10 Downing Street in 2019. (Photo by LUDOVIC MARIN / POOL / AFP)

Negotiations over the agreement have been ongoing since last summer, and the Norwegian government said that the deal is the largest free trade agreement Norway has entered into, outside of the EEA agreement. 

“The agreement entails a continuation of all previous tariff preferences for seafood and improved market access for white fish, shrimp, and several other products,” the Ministry of Trade and Industry said in a statement.  

One of the sticking points of the negotiations was Norway wanting more access to sell seafood in the UK, while the UK wanted more access to sell agricultural products like cheese.

The latter was a problem due to Norway having import protection against agricultural goods. 

“This agreement secures Norwegian jobs and value creation and marks an important step forward in our relationship with the UK after Brexit. This is a long-term agreement, which at the same time helps to accelerate the Norwegian economy,” Prime Minister Erna Solberg said in a statement.  

 The United Kingdom is Norway’s second most important single market, after the EU. In 2020 Norwegian companies exported goods worth 135 billion kroner to the UK and imported around 42 billion kroner of goods from the UK. 

Norway has given Britain 26 quotas on agricultural products, but not for mutton and beef. The agreement does not increase the UK’s cheese quotas, state broadcaster NRK have reported. 

The agreement will still need to be signed by both the Norwegian and UK parliament. 

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