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WEATHER

‘Don’t rule out a hot French summer just yet’

Forget about any 75 percent tax rate, the on-going cold and wet weather is enough to push people living in France to seek exile abroad. Is France really heading for the coldest summer in 200 years, as some in the know have suggested? We speak to a forecaster to find out.

'Don't rule out a hot French summer just yet'
Will we see the sun in France this summer? Photo: Meteo France.

Weather forecasters in France right now are becoming as loathed as bankers and tax inspectors.

That’s mainly because they have had the temerity to predict all the wash-outs, storms and unseasonal low temperatures that have hit France recently.

After a long, cold winter and a spring that saw temperatures in some parts of the country up to six degrees lower than average for this time of year, the French are starting to question whether it will be even worth booking their annual holiday at the beach this summer.

An article on French weather site Le Chaine Meteo this week suggested summer 2013 could be as cold as the fabled 1816 summer, which also followed a cold winter.

In a separate piece more solid predictions for the summer La Chaine Meteo predicted there is a 70 percent chance that we will have a "cold summer and only an 8.5 percent possibility of a hot one.

However Jean-Pierre Ceron a climatologist from Meteo France told The Local that all hope is not lost and that we should not read too much into the failed French spring.

“Just because winter has been cold and spring has been wet we should not expect summer to follow suit,” Ceron said.

“Studies have been done that showed there’s no significant relationship between a cold spring and cold summer.

The conditions over the oceanic basins of the Pacific, Atlantic and Indian oceans makes it difficult for forecasters to make long term predictions about whether the Riviera will indeed be baked in sun this year or whether the school holidays will be a wash out in Brittany, Ceron explained.

“The simple fact is that it is very difficult to make seasonal predictions this year, so we just do not know what the summer will bring,” Ceron says.

Although the difficulty in predicting the long term forecast this summer allows us to keep our hopes up somewhat, Ceron says we can forget about enjoying any heat waves in June.

“We cannot be optimistic about the monthly forecasts. Temperatures should remain lower than normal for this time of year, but if we can have a normal July and a normal August then in the end it won’t be a bad summer,” he said.

“Just because the spring has been wet and the start of summer cold, it does not mean we cannot expect some heat waves in August.

“Last year we also had a wet spring but in August we saw the sun come out,” Ceron argued.

It will not just be school kids and families keeping their fingers crossed they will see some sun this summer. France’s tourist industry, which is already under pressure because of the financial squeeze could face a miserable few month if the clouds do not part.

"The industry is believed to have suffered losses of around 10 percent," Didier Arine director of agency Protourisme told French daily Le Parisien.

"Generally we cannot make up for the losses and if the horrible weather continues there is a risk the French will head abroad for heir summer holidays," Arino continued.

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WEATHER

Denmark records deepest snow level for 13 years

Blizzards in Denmark this week have resulted in the greatest depth of snow measured in the country for 13 years.

Denmark records deepest snow level for 13 years

A half-metre of snow, measured at Hald near East Jutland town Randers, is the deepest to have occurred in Denmark since January 2011, national meteorological agency DMI said.

The measurement was taken by the weather agency at 8am on Thursday.

Around 20-30 centimetres of snow was on the ground across most of northern and eastern Jutland by Thursday, as blizzards peaked resulting in significant disruptions to traffic and transport.

A much greater volume of snow fell in 2011, however, when over 100 centimetres fell on Baltic Sea island Bornholm during a post-Christmas blizzard, which saw as much as 135 centimetres on Bornholm at the end of December 2010.

READ ALSO: Denmark’s January storms could be fourth extreme weather event in three months

With snowfall at its heaviest for over a decade, Wednesday saw a new rainfall record. The 59 millimetres which fell at Svendborg on the island of Funen was the most for a January day in Denmark since 1886. Some 9 weather stations across Funen and Bornholm measured over 50cm of rain.

DMI said that the severe weather now looks to have peaked.

“We do not expect any more weather records to be set in the next 24 hours. But we are looking at some very cold upcoming days,” DMI meteorologist and press spokesperson Herdis Damberg told news wire Ritzau.

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