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France announces plan to cut deficit by 2014

France announced a plan on Wednesday to bring its public deficit below the EU limit of 3.0 percent of GDP by 2014, one year later than expected. The project involves higher taxes, and finding savings in France's extensive social security system.

France announces plan to cut deficit by 2014
File photo of France's Minister of Finance Pierre Moscovici. Photo: Besoin de Gauche/Flickr

The programme was released by the finance ministry and is based on what the government termed a "realistic" economic growth forecast of 0.1 percent this year and 1.2 percent in 2014, which it maintained would allow the public deficit to be cut to 2.9 percent of output next year.

The growth forecasts have been questioned, however, by both the International Monetary Fund and a new French high council for public finances, with the IMF forecasting on Tuesday that the French economy would contract by 0.1 percent this year before expanding by a slight 0.3 percent in 2014.

France was initially to have cut the deficit to 3.0 percent of gross domestic product already this year, but has asked for more time, owing to weak growth which has pushed the revised estimated 2013 figure up to 3.7 percent of GDP.

Under EU rules, Eurozone members are expected to run public deficits of no more than 3.0 percent of GDP, and are supposed to work towards a balance, or even a surplus in times of economic growth.

The government has now pledged to bring the deficit down to 2.9 percent next year, but President François Hollande has already ruled out sharper spending cuts to reach the target this year.

Under the "stability programme" unveiled on Wednesday, public debt is expected to reach a record peak of 94.3 percent of GDP in 2014 before beginning to decline a year later than initially planned.

The European Commission will have a chance to vet the French plan once French lawmakers have approved it.

But Olli Rehn, the European Union's economy and euro commissioner, has already said that France could be given more time to meet its commitments, as has been the case for Spain and others during the eurozone's three-year debt crisis.

Although the government has vowed to keep social charges at stable levels in 2014, the overall tax burden is forecast to increase to 46.3 percent of GDP this year, while public spending is expected to edge up to 56.9 percent.

Savings of €1 billion are foreseen in the national social security system in 2014.

Meanwhile, the government forecast that unemployment would begin to decline in the fourth quarter of 2013, after Hollande pledged to curb the steadily rising rate by the end of the year.

In the last quarter of 2012, French unemployment stood at 10.6 percent of the workforce, but the IMF expects it to rise to 11.2 percent this year and to 11.6 percent in 2014.

The stability programme will be sent to parliament for debate on April 23-24th and then to the European Commission at the end of the month.

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COVID-19

Court turns down AfD-led challenge to Germany’s spending in pandemic

The German Constitutional Court rejected challenges Tuesday to Berlin's participation in the European Union's coronavirus recovery fund, but expressed some reservations about the massive package.

Court turns down AfD-led challenge to Germany's spending in pandemic

Germany last year ratified the €750-billion ($790-billion) fund, which offers loans and grants to EU countries hit hardest by the pandemic.

The court in Karlsruhe ruled on two challenges, one submitted by a former founder of the far-right AfD party, and the other by a businessman.

They argued the fund could ultimately lead to Germany, Europe’s biggest economy, having to take on the debts of other EU member states on a permanent basis.

But the Constitutional Court judges ruled the EU measure does not violate Germany’s Basic Law, which forbids the government from sharing other countries’ debts.

READ ALSO: Germany plans return to debt-limit rules in 2023

The judgement noted the government had stressed that the plan was “intended to be a one-time instrument in reaction to an unprecedented crisis”.

It also noted that the German parliament retains “sufficient influence in the decision-making process as to how the funds provided will be used”.

The judges, who ruled six to one against the challenges, did however express some reservations.

They questioned whether paying out such a large amount over the planned period – until 2026 – could really be considered “an exceptional measure” to fight the pandemic.

At least 37 percent of the funds are aimed at achieving climate targets, the judges said, noting it was hard to see a link between combating global warming and the pandemic.

READ ALSO: Germany to fast-track disputed €200 billion energy fund

They also warned against any permanent mechanism that could lead to EU members taking on joint liability over the long term.

Berenberg Bank economist Holger Schmieding said the ruling had “raised serious doubts whether the joint issuance to finance the fund is in line with” EU treaties.

“The German court — once again — emphasised German limits for EU fiscal integration,” he said.

The court had already thrown out a legal challenge, in April 2021, that had initially stopped Berlin from ratifying the financial package.

Along with French President Emmanuel Macron, then chancellor Angela Merkel sketched out the fund in 2020, which eventually was agreed by the EU’s 27 members in December.

The first funds were disbursed in summer 2021, with the most given to Italy and Spain, both hit hard by the pandemic.

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