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HOLLANDE

Hollande’s Mali honeymoon period over

France may have achieved some success on the battlefields in Mali but it appears on home soil French President Françoise Hollande has gained little.

Hollande's Mali honeymoon period over
Hollande greets the public on a trip to Grenoble. Opinion polls suggest Mali has not changed the views towards him ofthe French people. Philippe Desmazes/ pool / AFP

French warplanes destroyed two Islamist bases in northern Mali as a leading Al Qaeda-linked group in the region split on Thursday, with the breakaway group saying it wanted talks to end a Paris-led offensive against the militants.

The reports would have been greeted positively by President François Hollande.

Opinion polls taken in the days after France began military operations in Mali on January 11 suggested the president’s image in the eyes of the electors had been strengthened.

His previous reputation as Mr Flanby – the man who could never take a decision – appeared consigned the past as Hollande fitted into the role a President leading his country in a time of war.

But it appears the boost was shirt lived with a poll for France’s BFMTV on Thursday suggesting the president’s image in the eyes of 60 percent of French people had not changed. Only 19 percent of respondents said they viewed him more positively and 10 percent even said he had gone down in their estimation since the conflict began.

According to Philippe Marliere, professor of French and European politics at University College London, Hollande’s honeymoon period on Mali is well and truly over and things may get worse.

“Hollande had a reputation of being indecisive and not making decisions quickly enough or being able to maintain a course of action so Mali took everyone by surprise. He did not consult even with parliament. But the bounce in opinion did not last long," he told The Local.

“If as expected the troops will stay in Mali in the long run, or at least for a few months, then things will change. When there starts to be casualties among the French soldiers then support for Hollande will dwindle."

Cracks in united front

Hollande will also be concerned that dissenting voices have started to be make themselves heard in recent days especially among France’s political class, which only weeks ago had presented a united front as French troops began their offensive.

“There was unanimity at the beginning among French politicians. The right was on side but now you can hear complaints from the Greens and from the left," Marliere added.

 One of the first to question the French intervention was the outspoken leader of the conservative UMP party Jean-Francois Copé.

Copé criticised the fact France had been left alone to fight the Islamist rebels and also questioned Hollande’s objectives.

“The president of the Republic needs to make it clear on what criteria it will consider whether or not the objectives have been achieved. Is this a struggle against international terrorism? Is it against regional terrorism? Or is this about the unification of Mali?” Copé said.

Former UMP minister Valerie Pécresse also made a thinly veiled criticism of Hollande and his standing on the international stage.

“What bothers me about this intervention is the isolation of France. If it Nicolas Sarkozy had been President we would have gone to war supported by either Germany, Britain or the US,” she said.

Other opinion polls are however, still showing strong support among the French public for the military intervention.

But whatever happens in the opinion polls however Hollande and the Socialist government cannot waiver in the battle against Mali’s rebels.  The war is as important to Hollande’s stature as it is to France’s own standing, UCL’s Marliere told The Local.

 “Maintaining an influence in Africa has always been an issue for France. France would not react like this in the rest of the world. They want to be seen in Africa as a force who can be called upon. This is France’s domaine,” he said.

“Hollande does not want to be seen as the guy who let down an African country that is friendly to France.”

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MILITARY

Denmark to deploy special forces to Mali in 2022

Denmark plans to deploy about 100 special forces to Mali early next year to boost the elite anti-jihadist European task force Takuba headed by France, the government announced Thursday.

Denmark to deploy special forces to Mali in 2022
A UN aircraft about to depart Denmark for Mali in 2019. File photo: Henning Bagger/Ritzau Scanpix

“The terrorist threat posed by the Islamic State group and Al-Qaeda remainssignificant,” the foreign and defence ministries said in a joint statement.

“They want to create a hub in West Africa for their extremist regime… and we cannot allow that to happen,” they added.

The Danish contingent, which apart from the special forces will also include top level military officers and surgeons, will be deployed at the beginning of 2022, the ministries said.

Copenhagen also plans to send a military transport plane to assist the UN mission in Mali, MINUSMA.

The French-led Takuba multinational force, launched in March 2020, has already seen Czech, Swedish and Estonian troops deployed in the region but France has struggled to obtain significant support from its larger EU partners.

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