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ECONOMY

Germany outranks US in global competitiveness

Despite pressures from the ongoing euro crisis and economic uncertainty in Europe, Germany held on to sixth place in a new global survey of 144 countries' competitiveness.

Germany outranks US in global competitiveness
Photo: DPA

Germany also ranked sixth last year in the survey conducted by the World Economic Forum (WEF), but for the first time this year, it surpassed the United States, which fell from fifth to seventh place on the list. The report was released Wednesday by the WEF in Geneva.

Switzerland topped the rankings in the global competitiveness report for the fourth consecutive year. Singapore ranked second, with the northern European countries of Finland, Sweden, and the Netherlands rounding out the top five. The United Kingdom ranked just behind the United States in eighth place.

According to the report’s authors, the competitiveness rating of the US grew overall, but its spot on the list fell for the fourth year in a row. The reasons were cited as its “burgeoning macroeconomic vulnerabilities,” and the institutional environment, “particularly the low public trust in politicians and a perceived lack of government efficiency.”

Factors such as poor access to financing and rigid labour markets kept the southern European countries of Portugal (49th), Spain (36th), and Italy (42nd) lower on the list. The country at the centre of the euro crisis, Greece, was ranked 96th of the 144.

Klaus Schwab, founder and executive chairman of the WEF, urged governments to adopt long-term measures to enhance their countries’ competitiveness. He said in a statement: “Persisting divides in competitiveness across regions and within regions, particularly in Europe, are at the origin of the turbulence we are experiencing today, and this is jeopardizing our future prosperity.”

Germany received high marks for infrastructure, business sophistication, education and innovation.

But the country ranked near the bottom of the survey when it came to certain labour issues, such as the flexibility of wage determination (139th) and hiring and firing practices (127th).

The Local/mbw

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ECONOMY

How is Denmark’s economy handling inflation and rate rises?

Denmark's economy is now expected to avoid a recession in the coming years, with fewer people losing their jobs than expected, despite high levels of inflation and rising interest rates, The Danish Economic Council has said in a new report.

How is Denmark's economy handling inflation and rate rises?

The council, led by four university economics professors commonly referred to as “the wise men” or vismænd in Denmark, gave a much rosier picture of Denmark’s economy in its spring report, published on Tuesday, than it did in its autumn report last year. 

“We, like many others, are surprised by how employment continues to rise despite inflation and higher interest rates,” the chair or ‘chief wise man’,  Carl-Johan Dalgaard, said in a press release.

“A significant drop in energy prices and a very positive development in exports mean that things have gone better than feared, and as it looks now, the slowdown will therefore be more subdued than we estimated in the autumn.”

In the English summary of its report, the council noted that in the autumn, market expectations were that energy prices would remain at a high level, with “a real concern for energy supply shortages in the winter of 2022/23”.

That the slowdown has been more subdued, it continued was largely due to a significant drop in energy prices compared to the levels seen in late summer 2022, and compared to the market expectations for 2023.  

The council now expects Denmark’s GDP growth to slow to 1 percent in 2023 rather than for the economy to shrink by 0.2 percent, as it predicted in the autumn. 

In 2024, it expects the growth rate to remain the same as in 2003, with another year of 1 percent GDP growth. In its autumn report it expected weaker growth of 0.6 percent in 2024.

What is the outlook for employment? 

In the autumn, the expert group estimated that employment in Denmark would decrease by 100,000 people towards the end of the 2023, with employment in 2024  about 1 percent below the estimated structural level. 

Now, instead, it expects employment will fall by just 50,000 people by 2025.

What does the expert group’s outlook mean for interest rates and government spending? 

Denmark’s finance minister Nikolai Wammen came in for some gentle criticism, with the experts judging that “the 2023 Finance Act, which was adopted in May, should have been tighter”.  The current government’s fiscal policy, it concludes “has not contributed to countering domestic inflationary pressures”. 

The experts expect inflation to stay above 2 percent in 2023 and 2024 and not to fall below 2 percent until 2025. 

If the government decides to follow the council’s advice, the budget in 2024 will have to be at least as tight, if not tighter than that of 2023. 

“Fiscal policy in 2024 should not contribute to increasing demand pressure, rather the opposite,” they write. 

The council also questioned the evidence justifying abolishing the Great Prayer Day holiday, which Denmark’s government has claimed will permanently increase the labour supply by 8,500 full time workers. 

“The council assumes that the abolition of Great Prayer Day will have a short-term positive effect on the labour supply, while there is no evidence of a long-term effect.” 

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