SHARE
COPY LINK

ECONOMY

Obama and Hollande pledge growth and stability

US President Barack Obama and his French counterpart Francois Hollande backed European growth and eurozone stability on Wednesday, ahead of key decisions on resolving the debt crisis.

Obama and Hollande pledge growth and stability
Photo: Pete Souza/White House

Speaking as the US Federal Reserve decided against adopting any new stimulus measures for a slowing US economy, the French president's office said the two leaders "expressed their common interest in growth in Europe and the stability of the eurozone, which are necessary for the recovery of global economic activity."

The European Central Bank is meeting Thursday as markets look for strong action to quell the eurozone crisis.

ECB chief Mario Draghi last week sent markets soaring with an unusually strong pledge to do "whatever it takes" to save the crisis-wracked euro.

This touched off a raft of similar promises from top eurozone leaders including German Chancellor Angela Merkel, sparking speculation over a
possible intervention on the markets to bring down borrowing costs for Spain and Italy.

Analysts are eyeing three possible ECB actions that could help ease the eurozone debt crisis: an interest rate cut; a decision to buy the government bonds of struggling nations or offering the EU rescue fund unlimited borrowing.

A rate cut is not seen as a likely option, following last month's decision to slash rates to a historic low of 0.75 percent.

In Helsinki, Italy Prime Minister Mario Monti met with Finnish Prime Minister Jyrki Katainen in a bid to persuade Katainen to embrace bolder moves
to tame the eurozone crisis.

Monti's visit was both an attempt to mend ties with an outspoken hardliner and the latest in a series of trips to European capitals to lobby reluctant
members of the single currency zone to help shore up the euro. He was full of compliments for Katainen and Finland, calling his counterpart "one of the most interesting interlocutors" and declaring himself "an admirer of Finland."

But he did not mince words when discussing the gravity of the two-and-a-half-year crisis, which has seen Italy's borrowing costs skyrocket and raised fears the country could need a bailout, especially if Spain were to fall.

"There is no denying that the markets are largely dysfunctional," Monti told a press conference.

The Finnish prime minister put his foot down on the question of using eurozone bailout funds to intervene in the secondary bond markets to help ease borrowing costs for weaker eurozone states.

He said going that route risked the collapse of the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) bailout fund and the European Stability Mechanism (ESM), which is due to replace the EFSF next year.

Katainen has said that while all eurozone members want to save the single currency, "countries and people do not trust each other as much as before."

The US Federal Reserve on Wednesday meanwhile downgraded its assessment of the US economy, saying growth had slowed, but shied away from launching a fresh round of economic stimulus.

The interest rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee said it expected "economic growth to remain moderate over coming quarters and then to pick up very gradually."

But there was no new action to fuel the economy and bank policymakers instead reiterated their pledge to leave interest rates close to zero until the end of 2014.

The Fed has kept interest rates at historic lows, between zero and 0.25 percent, since December 2008 in a bid to spur recovery from the Great Recession.

Member comments

Log in here to leave a comment.
Become a Member to leave a comment.
For members

ECONOMY

How is Denmark’s economy handling inflation and rate rises?

Denmark's economy is now expected to avoid a recession in the coming years, with fewer people losing their jobs than expected, despite high levels of inflation and rising interest rates, The Danish Economic Council has said in a new report.

How is Denmark's economy handling inflation and rate rises?

The council, led by four university economics professors commonly referred to as “the wise men” or vismænd in Denmark, gave a much rosier picture of Denmark’s economy in its spring report, published on Tuesday, than it did in its autumn report last year. 

“We, like many others, are surprised by how employment continues to rise despite inflation and higher interest rates,” the chair or ‘chief wise man’,  Carl-Johan Dalgaard, said in a press release.

“A significant drop in energy prices and a very positive development in exports mean that things have gone better than feared, and as it looks now, the slowdown will therefore be more subdued than we estimated in the autumn.”

In the English summary of its report, the council noted that in the autumn, market expectations were that energy prices would remain at a high level, with “a real concern for energy supply shortages in the winter of 2022/23”.

That the slowdown has been more subdued, it continued was largely due to a significant drop in energy prices compared to the levels seen in late summer 2022, and compared to the market expectations for 2023.  

The council now expects Denmark’s GDP growth to slow to 1 percent in 2023 rather than for the economy to shrink by 0.2 percent, as it predicted in the autumn. 

In 2024, it expects the growth rate to remain the same as in 2003, with another year of 1 percent GDP growth. In its autumn report it expected weaker growth of 0.6 percent in 2024.

What is the outlook for employment? 

In the autumn, the expert group estimated that employment in Denmark would decrease by 100,000 people towards the end of the 2023, with employment in 2024  about 1 percent below the estimated structural level. 

Now, instead, it expects employment will fall by just 50,000 people by 2025.

What does the expert group’s outlook mean for interest rates and government spending? 

Denmark’s finance minister Nikolai Wammen came in for some gentle criticism, with the experts judging that “the 2023 Finance Act, which was adopted in May, should have been tighter”.  The current government’s fiscal policy, it concludes “has not contributed to countering domestic inflationary pressures”. 

The experts expect inflation to stay above 2 percent in 2023 and 2024 and not to fall below 2 percent until 2025. 

If the government decides to follow the council’s advice, the budget in 2024 will have to be at least as tight, if not tighter than that of 2023. 

“Fiscal policy in 2024 should not contribute to increasing demand pressure, rather the opposite,” they write. 

The council also questioned the evidence justifying abolishing the Great Prayer Day holiday, which Denmark’s government has claimed will permanently increase the labour supply by 8,500 full time workers. 

“The council assumes that the abolition of Great Prayer Day will have a short-term positive effect on the labour supply, while there is no evidence of a long-term effect.” 

SHOW COMMENTS