SHARE
COPY LINK

POLITICS

Merkel: Do not overestimate Germany

German Chancellor Angela Merkel said on Thursday that the eurozone crisis would dominate next week's G20 summit but warned leaders clamouring for her to take charge that she needed their help.

Merkel: Do not overestimate Germany
Photo: DPA

In a speech to German lawmakers ahead of the meeting of world leaders in Los Cabos, Mexico on June 18-19, Merkel said Europe could not take the easy way out with quick fixes smacking of “mediocrity” that failed to address core problems.

“All those looking to Germany again in these days in Los Cabos, who are expecting a drum roll and the answer… I say to them Germany is strong, Germany is an engine of economic growth and a stability anchor in Europe,” Merkel said.

“But Germany’s powers are not unlimited,” she added, cautioning against counting too much on Germany as the sole crisis fighter in Europe.

“All the aid packages will ring hollow if you overestimate Germany’s strength,” she said, describing the tasks ahead for Europe as “Herculean”.

Merkel acknowledged that Germany found itself centre stage as leaders grapple with the incalculable impact of the raging eurozone turmoil on the global economy.

“Our country will be the centre of attention – it’s a fact, all eyes are on Germany because we are the biggest European economy and a major exporter,” Merkel said.

But Europe would only find a way out of the crisis with a strong “political union” that mandated greater fiscal coordination and oversight to put member countries on a “solid and honest foundation”, she said.

“Germany is investing its strength and its power, not only for the benefit of the people in Germany but also in the interest of European integration and in the interest of the global economy,” she said to applause.

But she said all those calling for Germany to “pour billions into eurobonds, stability funds, European bank deposit guarantee funds” in a bid to calm the markets must focus first on fiscal discipline.

In reaction to the German leader’s comments, French Prime Minister Jean-Marc Ayrault on Thursday urged Merkel to avoid “simplistic talk”.

“The situation in Europe is sufficiently critical not to give in to simplistic talk. We need to deal with things seriously and courageously,” Ayrault said, warning that the “future of the eurozone is in danger.”

Paris and Berlin are at odds over what initiatives to take to stimulate growth in the eurozone and maintain budgetary discipline.

Merkel did express her support for “a bigger role” for the European Central Bank in overseeing banks to avert further storms in the sector that have posed one of the biggest recent threats to the eurozone.

Spain, the eurozone’s fourth largest economy, was forced last week to accept a 1€00 billion bailout but even that failed to impress the bond markets and the country’s borrowing costs have continued to mount.

Meanwhile Greeks return to the polls Sunday and may elect a government that rejects the terms of Athens’ bailout package, destroying the EU rescue plan.

Merkel said many of the countries crying out for German action, notably the United States, needed to turn their backs on deficit-spending and start implementing the kind of structural reforms Berlin has put in place.

“Financing growth with new borrowing must stop,” she said, calling for joint G20 action on budget consolidation.

Merkel added that China needed to take action on the flexibility of its currency, amid widespread accusations the yuan is undervalued and contributing to major trade imbalances, primarily with the United States.

Germany has come under intense pressure, notably from US President Barack Obama, to do more to put an end to the eurozone crisis as it is seen as a threat to the fragile US recovery and the global economy as a whole.

However, Berlin has resisted calls for new European stimulus programmes to promote economic growth, saying that fiscal discipline is the only way to restore market confidence in the eurozone.

Merkel drew unexpected support from US Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, who Wednesday endorsed Germany’s call for structural reforms to save the eurozone.

“What Germany is saying is to make monetary union work, they are prepared to put a substantial commitment of resources behind this broader endeavour,” Geithner said.

“But for that to work, it needs to be in support of reforms and changes in the institution … and that is a very reasonable position.”

Merkel received more good news closer to home when her coalition struck a deal with the opposition on the date of June 29 for parliament to vote on ratifying the new EU fiscal treaty that she has championed.

Although they have not agreed on all the fine print, the accord was seen as an auspicious sign it would pass with the necessary two-thirds majority.

AFP/jcw

Member comments

Log in here to leave a comment.
Become a Member to leave a comment.

ECONOMY

‘Turning point’: Is Germany’s ailing economy on the road to recovery?

The German government slightly increased its 2024 growth forecast Wednesday, saying there were signs Europe's beleaguered top economy was at a "turning point" after battling through a period of weakness.

'Turning point': Is Germany's ailing economy on the road to recovery?

Output is expected to expand 0.3 percent this year, the economy ministry said, up from a prediction of 0.2 percent in February.

The slightly rosier picture comes after improvements in key indicators — from factory output to business activity — boosted hopes a recovery may be getting under way.

The German economy shrank slightly last year, hit by soaring inflation, a manufacturing slowdown and weakness in trading partners, and has acted as a major drag on the 20-nation eurozone.

But releasing its latest projections, the economy ministry said in a statement there were growing indications of a “turning point”.

“Signs of an economic upturn have increased significantly, especially in recent weeks,” Economy Minister Robert Habeck said at a press conference.

The ministry also cut its forecast for inflation this year to 2.4 percent, from a previous prediction of 2.8 percent, and sees the figure falling below two percent next year.

READ ALSO: Can Germany revive its struggling economy?

“The fall in inflation will lead to consumer demand — people have more money in their wallets again, and will spend this money,” said Habeck.

“So purchasing power is increasing, real wages are rising and this will contribute to a domestic economic recovery.”

Energy prices — which surged after Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine — had also fallen and supply chain woes had eased, he added.

Several months ago there had been expectations of a strong rebound in 2024, with forecasts of growth above one percent, but these were dialled back at the start of the year as the economy continued to languish.

‘Germany has fallen behind’

But improving signs have fuelled hopes the lumbering economy — while not about to break into a sprint — may at least be getting back on its feet.

On Wednesday a closely-watched survey from the Ifo institute showed business sentiment rising for a third consecutive month in April, and more strongly than expected.

A key purchasing managers’ index survey this week showed that business activity in Germany had picked up.

And last week the central bank, the Bundesbank, forecast the economy would expand slightly in the first quarter, dodging a recession, after earlier predicting a contraction.

German Economics Minister Robert Habeck

Economics Minister Robert Habeck (Greens) presents the latest economic forecasts at a press conference in Berlin on Wednesday, April 24th. Photo: picture alliance/dpa | Michael Kappeler

Despite the economy’s improving prospects, growth of 0.3 percent is still slower than other developed economies and below past rates, and officials fret it is unlikely to pick up fast in the years ahead.

Habeck has repeatedly stressed solutions are needed for deep-rooted problems facing Germany, from an ageing population to labour shortages and a transition towards greener industries that is moving too slowly.

“Germany has fallen behind other countries in terms of competitiveness,” he said. “We still have a lot to do — we have to roll up our sleeves.”

READ ALSO: Which German companies are planning to cut jobs?

Already facing turbulence from pandemic-related supply chain woes, the German economy’s problems deepened dramatically when Russia invaded Ukraine and slashed supplies of gas, hitting the country’s crucial manufacturers hard.

While the energy shock has faded, continued weakness in trading partners such as China, widespread strikes in recent months and higher eurozone interest rates have all prolonged the pain.

The European Central Bank has signalled it could start cutting borrowing costs in June, which would boost the eurozone.

But Habeck stressed that care was still needed as, despite the expectations of imminent easing, “tight monetary policy has not yet been lifted.”

In addition, disagreements in Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s three-party ruling coalition are hindering efforts to reignite growth, critics say.

This week the pro-business FDP party, a coalition partner, faced an angry backlash from Scholz’s SPD when it presented a 12-point plan for an “economic turnaround”, including deep cuts to state benefits.

Christian Lindner, the fiscally hawkish FDP finance minister, welcomed signs of “stabilisation” in the economic forecasts but stressed that projected medium-term growth was “too low to sustainably finance our state”.

“There are no arguments for postponing the economic turnaround,” he added.

SHOW COMMENTS