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ECONOMY

Allianz profits ‘fell by half in 2011’

German insurance giant Allianz said on Thursday natural catastrophes and losses on its investments in Greece slashed its bottom-line in half in 2011.

Allianz profits 'fell by half in 2011'
Photo: DPA

The company announced they had booked net profit of €2.545 billion ($3.4 billion) last year, a drop of 49.6 percent from a year earlier.

In the fourth quarter alone, net profit fell by 56.6 percent to €492 million.

The decline “was mainly due to very conservative write-downs of €1.9 billion from Greek sovereign debt and investments, particularly in financials,”

Allianz explained.

But at an operating level, the insurer insisted that it achieved its targets for 2011, “despite volatile financial markets and an unusually high level of natural catastrophes.”

Operating profit fell by 4.6 percent to €7.866 billion and revenues were down 2.7 percent at €106.5 billion, the statement said.

“2011 was a tough year. But we maintained our stability throughout. That’s an extraordinary achievement,” said chief executive Michael Diekmann.

As a result, Allianz said it would pay an unchanged dividend of €4.50 per share.

Looking ahead, “we are expecting similar global economic conditions in 2012 with a moderate improvement in the second half of the year,” Diekmann said.

“The first steps to stabilise the eurozone have already been implemented successfully. We are confident about our strong business opportunities in 2012,” he said.

Allianz was therefore raising its operating profit outlook to “€8.2 billion, plus or minus €0.5 billion,” the chief executive said.

Investors appeared satisfied with the results and Allianz shares were the main gainers on the Frankfurt stock exchange on Thursday, adding 1.04 percent to €90.75.

AFP/jcw

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ECONOMY

How is Denmark’s economy handling inflation and rate rises?

Denmark's economy is now expected to avoid a recession in the coming years, with fewer people losing their jobs than expected, despite high levels of inflation and rising interest rates, The Danish Economic Council has said in a new report.

How is Denmark's economy handling inflation and rate rises?

The council, led by four university economics professors commonly referred to as “the wise men” or vismænd in Denmark, gave a much rosier picture of Denmark’s economy in its spring report, published on Tuesday, than it did in its autumn report last year. 

“We, like many others, are surprised by how employment continues to rise despite inflation and higher interest rates,” the chair or ‘chief wise man’,  Carl-Johan Dalgaard, said in a press release.

“A significant drop in energy prices and a very positive development in exports mean that things have gone better than feared, and as it looks now, the slowdown will therefore be more subdued than we estimated in the autumn.”

In the English summary of its report, the council noted that in the autumn, market expectations were that energy prices would remain at a high level, with “a real concern for energy supply shortages in the winter of 2022/23”.

That the slowdown has been more subdued, it continued was largely due to a significant drop in energy prices compared to the levels seen in late summer 2022, and compared to the market expectations for 2023.  

The council now expects Denmark’s GDP growth to slow to 1 percent in 2023 rather than for the economy to shrink by 0.2 percent, as it predicted in the autumn. 

In 2024, it expects the growth rate to remain the same as in 2003, with another year of 1 percent GDP growth. In its autumn report it expected weaker growth of 0.6 percent in 2024.

What is the outlook for employment? 

In the autumn, the expert group estimated that employment in Denmark would decrease by 100,000 people towards the end of the 2023, with employment in 2024  about 1 percent below the estimated structural level. 

Now, instead, it expects employment will fall by just 50,000 people by 2025.

What does the expert group’s outlook mean for interest rates and government spending? 

Denmark’s finance minister Nikolai Wammen came in for some gentle criticism, with the experts judging that “the 2023 Finance Act, which was adopted in May, should have been tighter”.  The current government’s fiscal policy, it concludes “has not contributed to countering domestic inflationary pressures”. 

The experts expect inflation to stay above 2 percent in 2023 and 2024 and not to fall below 2 percent until 2025. 

If the government decides to follow the council’s advice, the budget in 2024 will have to be at least as tight, if not tighter than that of 2023. 

“Fiscal policy in 2024 should not contribute to increasing demand pressure, rather the opposite,” they write. 

The council also questioned the evidence justifying abolishing the Great Prayer Day holiday, which Denmark’s government has claimed will permanently increase the labour supply by 8,500 full time workers. 

“The council assumes that the abolition of Great Prayer Day will have a short-term positive effect on the labour supply, while there is no evidence of a long-term effect.” 

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