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Germany dubbed ‘master of Europe’ in euro crisis

Germany is emerging as the master of Europe, analysts said on Thursday ahead of a make-or-break summit on the euro – as the European Central Bank (ECB) set the scene by cutting its key interest rates.

Germany dubbed 'master of Europe' in euro crisis
Photo: DPA

“For the first time in the history of the EU, Germany is the unquestioned leader, and France is number two,” said Charles Grant, of the Centre for European Reform think tank, citing growing inequality ever since the financial crisis struck in 2008.

“Regular summits between Angela Merkel and Nicolas Sarkozy maintain the appearance of parity,” he said. But citing divergent performance whether in terms of public finances, exports or the spreads on bond markets, France has been “forced” to bow to German leadership on economic policy.

Germany strongly backs the ECB’s refusal so far to simply print enough money to buy up a large part of the mountain of debt that many eurozone countries have amassed.

But the ECB’s governing council, under intense pressure to do something, reduced eurozone borrowing costs for the second time in two months, cutting the rate for its main refinancing operations by a quarter of a percentage point to 1.00 percent on Thursday.

The euro immediately firmed to $1.3418 from its rate of $1.3380 before the rate decision, which came just hours before Chancellor Angela Merkel was due to meet other European leaders for a crucial summit in Brussels to save the debt-wracked eurozone.

Yet the bank also said it was expecting eurozone inflation was 2.7 percent in 2011, way above the ECB’s target of close to but just below 2.0 percent.

Merkel said on Thursday she was convinced that Europe would find the right solutions to the debt crisis.

“We will find good solutions. I’m convinced that we will find a solution to all these questions,” Merkel told a meeting of right-wing European parties in Marseille, admitting that talks would be “difficult” at the EU summit.

“I ask for understanding from those who do not have the euro. We must send a strong signal to the outside. Words alone are not enough, we need more ties, we need treaty changes,” she said.

The ECB’s interest rate cut came as no surprise to ECB watchers following a similar move last month as the debilitating debt crisis pushes the 17 eurozone countries to the brink of a new recession.

The high stakes for all EU institutions were highlighted by French President Nicolas Sarkozy who said in Paris that the risks of the EU exploding had never been so great. There would be no “second chance” if the summit failed to come up with a convincing solution, he said.

With the ECB rate cut widely priced in, the markets are waiting to see what other moves the bank – which many see as the only body able to contain the crisis – will take to shore up the debt-wracked euro.

The crucial question is whether the ECB will see commitments by Germany and France to tighten up eurozone budget discipline as sufficiently convincing to give it extra room for manoeuvre.

Under intense pressure to deal with the contagious debt crisis, European governments are moving towards radical changes on the road to fiscal, economic and political union.

In the future, governments that overspend and so increase the risk of market penalties for currency partner governments could be fined or see automatic “corrections” imposed by the European Commission.

A so-called “golden rule” obliging governments to fix balanced budgets and bring cumulative debts back within EU thresholds over time means the EU executive would acquire intrusive powers to rewrite national budgets.

The ECB would only increase its purchases of distressed government bonds, particularly Italian debt once it believed rules and policing mechanisms were in place to ensure that national governments tackle their fiscal deficits, said Chris Williamson, director and chief economist of Markit in London.

An announcement by international credit rating agency Standard & Poor’s putting the sovereign debt of the entire 27-nation on EU on downgrade watch has ramped up the pressure on Europe’s leaders to act.

“The entire world is watching. We must do everything” to save the euro, European Commission chief Jose Manuel Barroso told reporters in the French port city of Marseille.

“It is extremely important that we all together, all the EU, show that the euro is irreversible.”

S&P’s chief economist for Europe Jean-Michel Six insisted the agency was not working on the basis of an outlook that the single currency area would break up.

The ECB has played fire-fighter to a substantial extent throughout the long and debilitating crisis. But its officials insist that such a role is only temporary and it is ultimately up to governments to get their finances in order.

AFP/The Local/hc

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COVID-19

Court turns down AfD-led challenge to Germany’s spending in pandemic

The German Constitutional Court rejected challenges Tuesday to Berlin's participation in the European Union's coronavirus recovery fund, but expressed some reservations about the massive package.

Court turns down AfD-led challenge to Germany's spending in pandemic

Germany last year ratified the €750-billion ($790-billion) fund, which offers loans and grants to EU countries hit hardest by the pandemic.

The court in Karlsruhe ruled on two challenges, one submitted by a former founder of the far-right AfD party, and the other by a businessman.

They argued the fund could ultimately lead to Germany, Europe’s biggest economy, having to take on the debts of other EU member states on a permanent basis.

But the Constitutional Court judges ruled the EU measure does not violate Germany’s Basic Law, which forbids the government from sharing other countries’ debts.

READ ALSO: Germany plans return to debt-limit rules in 2023

The judgement noted the government had stressed that the plan was “intended to be a one-time instrument in reaction to an unprecedented crisis”.

It also noted that the German parliament retains “sufficient influence in the decision-making process as to how the funds provided will be used”.

The judges, who ruled six to one against the challenges, did however express some reservations.

They questioned whether paying out such a large amount over the planned period – until 2026 – could really be considered “an exceptional measure” to fight the pandemic.

At least 37 percent of the funds are aimed at achieving climate targets, the judges said, noting it was hard to see a link between combating global warming and the pandemic.

READ ALSO: Germany to fast-track disputed €200 billion energy fund

They also warned against any permanent mechanism that could lead to EU members taking on joint liability over the long term.

Berenberg Bank economist Holger Schmieding said the ruling had “raised serious doubts whether the joint issuance to finance the fund is in line with” EU treaties.

“The German court — once again — emphasised German limits for EU fiscal integration,” he said.

The court had already thrown out a legal challenge, in April 2021, that had initially stopped Berlin from ratifying the financial package.

Along with French President Emmanuel Macron, then chancellor Angela Merkel sketched out the fund in 2020, which eventually was agreed by the EU’s 27 members in December.

The first funds were disbursed in summer 2021, with the most given to Italy and Spain, both hit hard by the pandemic.

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