SHARE
COPY LINK

ECONOMY

Eurozone crisis fund ready to help Italy

The eurozone's crisis fund is ready to help Italy if requested, but this week's market volatility is an obstacle to increasing its firepower, the German head of the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) said on Friday.

Eurozone crisis fund ready to help Italy
Photo: DPA

In an interview published in several European newspapers, EFSF chief Klaus Regling said preparations had been made to help Italy if the current turmoil continued.

“If a country comes and says it needs help immediately, we’re ready,” Regling was quoted in the German daily Süddeutsche Zeitung as saying.

Nevertheless, time was “running out” for Italy, the EFSF chief said. “The country needs a functioning government as soon as possible.”

The sharp volatility seen on the markets was making it difficult to raise the firepower of the €440-billion ($598 billion) rescue fund to the €1 trillion that the bloc’s leaders had hoped for, the Wall Street Journal and theFinancial Times quoted Regling as saying.

Investors have fled from bonds issued by highly indebted countries, he told the FT.

Luring them back by offering insurance on losses – the centrepiece of a plan agreed in Brussels on October 26 – would now probably use up more of the funds resources, Regling said, according to the FT article.

“The political turmoil that we saw in the last 10 days probably reduces the potential for leverage,” he said. “It was always ambitious to have that number, but Im not ruling it out.”

The Wall Street Journal quoted Regling as saying there were not likely to be large, up-front commitments, and that many potential investors would want to know which country or countries need help before putting cash into the new vehicle.

“Don’t expect that there will be a few hundred billion sitting somewhere in December waiting to be used for our new instruments,” Regling told the paper.

However, he added that it was not necessary to have such a sum in place and that the fund should be able eventually to raise what it needs.

For the EFSF to step in and help Italy, Rome would have to submit a corresponding request to the so-called euro group and if they and the European Central Bank agreed, a number of different instruments would be made available, the Süddeutsche Zeitung quoted Regling as saying.

The instruments included market purchases of new or already issued bonds or the provision of credit lines, but any assistance would be tied to strict conditions, he insisted.

Regling said the EFSF could currently make €250 billion-€300 billion available in loans, since some of its current firepower of €440 billion had already been reserved for Ireland, Portugal and Greece. The fund would begin issuing short-term bonds in December, he said.

“We can borrow a lot of money from short-term bonds” with maturities of three, six and 12 months, he said.

The funds raised would be used to intervene quickly in the markets and buy up the bonds of countries in difficulty or recapitalise banks, he explained.

AFP/mry

Member comments

Log in here to leave a comment.
Become a Member to leave a comment.
For members

ECONOMY

How is Denmark’s economy handling inflation and rate rises?

Denmark's economy is now expected to avoid a recession in the coming years, with fewer people losing their jobs than expected, despite high levels of inflation and rising interest rates, The Danish Economic Council has said in a new report.

How is Denmark's economy handling inflation and rate rises?

The council, led by four university economics professors commonly referred to as “the wise men” or vismænd in Denmark, gave a much rosier picture of Denmark’s economy in its spring report, published on Tuesday, than it did in its autumn report last year. 

“We, like many others, are surprised by how employment continues to rise despite inflation and higher interest rates,” the chair or ‘chief wise man’,  Carl-Johan Dalgaard, said in a press release.

“A significant drop in energy prices and a very positive development in exports mean that things have gone better than feared, and as it looks now, the slowdown will therefore be more subdued than we estimated in the autumn.”

In the English summary of its report, the council noted that in the autumn, market expectations were that energy prices would remain at a high level, with “a real concern for energy supply shortages in the winter of 2022/23”.

That the slowdown has been more subdued, it continued was largely due to a significant drop in energy prices compared to the levels seen in late summer 2022, and compared to the market expectations for 2023.  

The council now expects Denmark’s GDP growth to slow to 1 percent in 2023 rather than for the economy to shrink by 0.2 percent, as it predicted in the autumn. 

In 2024, it expects the growth rate to remain the same as in 2003, with another year of 1 percent GDP growth. In its autumn report it expected weaker growth of 0.6 percent in 2024.

What is the outlook for employment? 

In the autumn, the expert group estimated that employment in Denmark would decrease by 100,000 people towards the end of the 2023, with employment in 2024  about 1 percent below the estimated structural level. 

Now, instead, it expects employment will fall by just 50,000 people by 2025.

What does the expert group’s outlook mean for interest rates and government spending? 

Denmark’s finance minister Nikolai Wammen came in for some gentle criticism, with the experts judging that “the 2023 Finance Act, which was adopted in May, should have been tighter”.  The current government’s fiscal policy, it concludes “has not contributed to countering domestic inflationary pressures”. 

The experts expect inflation to stay above 2 percent in 2023 and 2024 and not to fall below 2 percent until 2025. 

If the government decides to follow the council’s advice, the budget in 2024 will have to be at least as tight, if not tighter than that of 2023. 

“Fiscal policy in 2024 should not contribute to increasing demand pressure, rather the opposite,” they write. 

The council also questioned the evidence justifying abolishing the Great Prayer Day holiday, which Denmark’s government has claimed will permanently increase the labour supply by 8,500 full time workers. 

“The council assumes that the abolition of Great Prayer Day will have a short-term positive effect on the labour supply, while there is no evidence of a long-term effect.” 

SHOW COMMENTS